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The Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak, dubbed COVID-19, is first and foremost a human tragedy, affecting millions of people globally. The contagious Coronavirus, which broke out at the close of 2019, has led to a medical emergency across the world, with the World Health Organization officially declaring the novel Coronavirus a pandemic on March 11, 2020.
Fears surrounding the impact of COVID-19 have already significantly impacted the global economy, with key markets across the world losing 20-50% of their value for the year to date. Many economists and institutions have cut their forecasts, with consensus global GDP growth currently at 2.6% for 2020 and many experts predicting the potential onset of recessionary environments.
The ongoing pandemic has affected the UAE's economy, resulting in a fall in tourism and in the domestic consumption of goods and services. The country's GDP has been revised downward for 2020 due to the economic disruption caused by Coronavirus. There has been a sharp rise in the cancellation of flights, hotel bookings, and major upcoming events across areas including music, entertainment, art, and sport as a direct result of the outbreak and worldwide restrictions on travel.
This report focuses on the impact of the Coronavirus outbreak on the UAE's economy and the country's retail savings and investment market. It also highlights the measures adopted by the government to combat COVID-19. Based on our proprietary datasets, the snap shot contrasts GlobalData's pre-COVID-19 forecasts and revised forecasts of total retail bond, deposits, equities and mutual funds holdings in terms of value and growth rates. It also analyses the effects on HNW wealth, examining the importance of different industries as a contributor to HNW wealth.
- UAE retail savings and investments are forecast to expand by 1.7% over the course of 2020 as the impact of COVID-19 and lower oil prices are taking a toll on economic productivity. Retail equity and mutual fund holdings are expected to take the brunt of the economy's slowdown, with respective declines of 21.2% and 17.2% anticipated in 2020.
- Retail deposits and bond holdings are set to fare better than initially expected over the forecast period courtesy of a flight to safety away from risk assets. However, more pronounced declines in risk asset holdings mean GlobalData's total retail holdings forecast for 2020 is 2.1 percentage points (pp) lower than before the onset of COVID-19.
- The effects on the different segments that make up the HNW market will be disproportionate. The financial services sector the largest contributor to HNW wealth has already taken a significant hit, as indicated by the 30% decrease of the ADX Banking & Fin index for the year to date.
- The fast-moving consumer goods industry, on the other hand is holding up more robustly as demand for staples, toiletries, and over-the-counter drugs remains high.
Reasons to Buy
- Make strategic decisions using top-level revised forecast data on the UAE's retail savings and investments industry.
- Understand the key market trends, challenges, and opportunities in the UAE's retail savings and investments industry.
- Receive a comprehensive insight into the retail liquid asset holdings in the UAE, including deposits, mutual funds, equities, and bonds.