Home > > > > Report Detail

Digital Economy 2025 - The future of Telecom and Internet ecosystems

Publisher Name :
Date: 27-Jan-2016
No. of pages: 76

This report develops a perspective of where the digital economy, and in particular the telecoms and Internet sectors, might be headed over the next decade, to 2025.

The starting point of the study was to identify key trends that have clearly emerged and major uncertainties, which might push the industry to develop in one direction or another.

Four contrasting yet plausible scenarios for the digital economy industry in 2025 are developed. They are projected against a two-by-two matrix. One axis is the presence of enablers providing specialised solutions, which other companies can leverage to build their own businesses upon. The other dimension is the intensity with which personal data are being used, serving to indicate the range of services which telcos and Internet players will provide.

The report concludes by presenting quantitative projections for each scenario: Mall, Open, Automated and Trust.

List of players reviewed / mentioned


  • Airbnb

  • Alcatel-Lucent

  • AltaVista

  • Altice

  • Amazon

  • America Movil

  • American Apparel

  • Android

  • Apple

  • AT&T

  • Axonix

  • BASE

  • Broadband Genie

  • BuyIn

  • Cablevision

  • Cabovisao

  • craigslist

  • DataSpark

  • Decathlon

  • Deutsche Telekom

  • Digital Advertising Alliance

  • DoubleClick

  • eBay

  • Ebuzzing

  • Ericsson

  • Facebook

  • Flux Vision

  • Free

  • Get

  • Ghostery

  • Google

  • Hulu

  • IAB UK

  • Kabel Deutschland

  • Mozilla

  • MySpace

  • Nest

  • Netflix

  • Nokia

  • NTT DOCOMO

  • Numericable

  • O2

  • OECD

  • Ono

  • Orange

  • PT

  • Rakuten

  • SFR

  • SilverLight

  • SingTel

  • Skype

  • SoftBank

  • Sprint

  • Swisscom

  • Tata

  • TDC

  • Telefónica

  • Telenet

  • Telenor

  • TeliaSonera

  • Tencent

  • Tesco

  • Tesla

  • T-Mobile

  • Traffic Zen

  • Twitter

  • Uber

  • Verizon

  • Virgin Mobile

  • VKontakte

  • Vodafone

  • Walmart

  • WhatsApp

  • Yahoo!

  • Yammer

  • YouTube

  • YuMe


Slideshow contents


  • The key trends with reasonably predictable outcomes which affect the digital economy sphere

  • Major uncertainties affecting the digital economy up to 2025

  • Building four contrasting scenarios for the next decade

  • Scenario matrix

  • The four scenarios at a glance

  • Illustration of scenarios, using today's examples

  • Main quantitative results: growing revenues, shifting weights

  • The telecom sector: different revenues in the four scenarios

  • The Internet sector: continued healthy growth

Digital Economy 2025 - The future of Telecom and Internet ecosystems

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Methodology & definitions
2.1. General methodology of IDATE's reports
2.2. Definitions
2.3. Scenarios

3. Key trends
3.1. Technologies
3.1.1. Enhanced performance with 5G, LTE, fibre and more
3.1.2. Low-cost sensors
3.1.3. Cloud and virtualisation technologies
3.1.4. More powerful security solutions
3.2. Usages
3.2.1. From offline, to online, and now to mobile
3.2.2. Multiple device ownership and simultaneous use becoming the norm
3.2.3. Free (or at least low-cost) services increasingly becoming the default mindset
3.3. Business Models
3.3.1. Bundling
3.3.2. Segmentation
3.3.3. Disintermediation
3.3.4. Softwarisation
3.3.5. Data monetisation
3.4. Regulation
3.4.1. Transition from ex-ante to ex-post regimes
3.4.2. More symmetric regulation
3.4.3. Geographically differentiated rules
3.5. Consolidation

4. Major uncertainties
4.1. Technology
4.1.1. SDN
4.1.2. Network optimisation
4.1.3. Real network performance
4.1.4. Internet of Things
4.1.5. Big Data
4.1.6. RFID
4.1.7. NFC in mobile phones
4.1.8. Open Standards
4.1.9. 3D Printing
4.2. Players
4.2.1. Consolidation
4.2.2. New players on the Internet market
4.3. Investments
4.3.1. Rural NGA deployment
4.3.2. Access infrastructure in emerging and developing countries
4.3.3. OTTs and infrastructure: rent or internalise
4.4. Business models
4.4.1. Monetisation of personal data
4.4.2. Expansion into verticals
4.4.3. Servicisation
4.4.4. Two-sided business models
4.5. Regulation
4.5.1. Platforms
4.5.2. Privacy vs. law enforcement
4.5.3. Fiscal optimisation
4.6. Usages
4.6.1. Privacy / security concerns
4.6.2. Willingness to pay for Internet services

5. Scenarios for 2025
5.1. Defining dimensions to shape the industry by 2025
5.1.1. Availability of enablers
5.1.2. Intensity of use of personal data
5.2. Scenario matrix
5.3. Mall
5.3.1. Scenario characteristics
5.3.2. Industry structure
5.3.3. Usages
5.3.4. Business Models
5.3.5. Regulation
5.3.6. The moves necessary to attain this scenario
5.4. Open
5.4.1. Scenario characteristics
5.4.2. Industry structure
5.4.3. Usages
5.4.4. Business models
5.4.5. Regulation
5.4.6. The moves necessary to attain this scenario
5.5. Automated
5.5.1. Scenario characteristics
5.5.2. Industry structure
5.5.3. Usages
5.5.4. Business model
5.5.5. Regulation
5.5.6. The moves necessary to attain this scenario
5.6. Trust
5.6.1. Scenario characteristics
5.6.2. Industry structure
5.6.3. Usages
5.6.4. Business models
5.6.5. Regulation
5.6.6. The moves necessary to attain this scenario

6. Signals
6.1. Mall
6.1.1. Diversification (M2M and Big Data)
6.1.2. Internet players open physical outlets
6.1.3. Infrastructure internalisation
6.1.4. Large-scale acquisitions
6.1.5. Associated connected objects (bundles)
6.2. Open
6.2.1. Network APIs
6.2.2. Big data initiatives
6.2.3. Insights and aggregated data sales
6.2.4. MVNOs
6.2.5. HTML5
6.2.6. Standards IoT
6.2.7. VRM / data control tools
6.3. Automated
6.3.1. Self-service
6.3.2. Network outsourcing
6.3.3. Sharing economy / Uberisation
6.3.4. Just-in-time strategy
6.4. Trust
6.4.1. National routing
6.4.2. Encryption
6.4.3. Payment security tools

7. Main results
7.1. Overall market sizing
7.2. Breakdown per category

8. Impact along the value chain
8.1. Mall
8.2. Open
8.3. Automated
8.4. Trust

List of Figures

Figure 1: 2025 scenario matrix
Figure 2: Number of LTE subscribers worldwide, 2012-2019
Figure 3: Adoption of cloud computing, by industry sector
Figure 4: Numbers of Internet users, by access, 2010-2019
Figure 5: Comparison of ownership levels for laptop and desktop computers, tablets and smartphones in selected countries, in October 2014
Figure 6: User willingness to change to a paid ad-free model on favourite site
Figure 7: Verizon and AT&T shared data plans
Figure 8: Time Warner Cable Signature Home
Figure 9: Disintermediation of the value chain
Figure 10: Consolidation drivers/hurdles matrix
Figure 11: Capex and opex reduction from implementation of NEC SDN solution (programmableFlow)
Figure 12: Standards initiatives relevant to the Smart Home
Figure 13: 3D printing main barriers
Figure 14: High-tech acquisitions by Google, Apple, Facebook and Amazon
Figure 15: Top Internet companies by market cap as of May 2015, together with top Internet start-up valuations
Figure 16: FTTH cost per home passed by type of area (EUR/hh)
Figure 17: Rural fixed broadband coverage
Figure 18: Facebook Internet drone concept
Figure 19: Amazon AWS cloud infrastructure locations
Figure 20: Growth of ad-blocking software users worldwide
Figure 21: Google attempts at territorial expansion
Figure 22: The automotive value chain and business activities for stakeholders
Figure 23: Spotify premium and free users
Figure 24: Members of Reform Government Surveillance coalition, in April 2015
Figure 25: Number of VoD providers in selected European countries
Figure 26: World's largest security breaches, as of October 2015
Figure 27: Frequently used online services: comparison of their use and trust levels (2015 survey)
Figure 28: Potential ways in which user can add more security and data over their data
Figure 29: The Ghostery browser extension giving browsers more control
Figure 30: User perception on whether they should be given the option to pay for services or receive them free in exchange for personal data and, should such an option exist, which they would take
Figure 31: Scenario matrix
Figure 32: Telcos upgrading their shops to 'Apple-like' look and feel
Figure 33: From traditional silos in M2M to a consolidated data usage
Figure 34: Amazon book store
Figure 35: Acquisition strategies, by Internet giants
Figure 36: A Samsung Galaxy smartphone offer bundled with Galaxy Gear smart watch
Figure 37: Communication APIs available from operators
Figure 38: i-concier service by NTT DOCOMO
Figure 39: Steps of the ladder of non-MNO-branded mobile offers
Figure 40: The Datacoup dashboard
Figure 41: Virgin Media: seven steps to select the most adequate package
Figure 42: Top Internet companies by market cap as of December 2015, together with top Internet start-up valuations
Figure 43: The 'e-mail made in Germany' consortium
Figure 44: Satisfaction and usage of Mobile BankID
Figure 45: WhatsApp Q&A stating that the messages are encrypted
Figure 46: The anatomy of an Apple Pay transaction
Figure 47: Worldwide market sizing for telecom and Internet services
Figure 48: Worldwide market sizing for telecom and Internet services
Figure 49: US market sizing for telecom and Internet services
Figure 50: EU5 market sizing for telecom and Internet services
Figure 51: Worldwide market sizing for telecom/access services
Figure 52: Worldwide market sizing for telecom/access services
Figure 53: Worldwide market sizing for Internet services
Figure 54: Worldwide market sizing for Internet services
Figure 55: Mobile data revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios
Figure 56: Paid VoD world revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios
Figure 57: Paid digital contents (music and eBooks) world revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios
Figure 58: Consumer fixed data revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios
Figure 59: IoT services world revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios
Figure 60: Big data, RTB and social ads world revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios
Figure 61: Cloud world revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios
Figure 62: Corporate fixed data revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios,
Figure 63: E-commerce world revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios
Figure 64: Online security world revenues in 2014, with forecasts for 2025 for the four scenarios

  • Global Smart Parking System Market Research Report 2024
    Published: 08-Jan-2024        Price: US 2900 Onwards        Pages: 99
    Smart Parking refers to The comprehensive application of wireless communication technology, mobile terminal technology, GPS positioning technology, GIS technology, etc. to The collection, management, query, reservation and navigation services of urban parking spaces to realize real-time update, query, reservation and navigation of parking space resources. The integration of navigation services can maximize The utilization of parking space resources, maximize The profit of The parking lot and opt......
  • Global Smart Office Market Research Report 2024
    Published: 08-Jan-2024        Price: US 2900 Onwards        Pages: 91
    Smart office products help in promoting efficient use of available resources and also ensure sustainability through use of ecofriendly processes. This report analyzed The smart office by product: smart lighting, security systems, HVAC control and by building type: retrofit, new construction. Usually it contains three important parts that is Underlying hardware systems, Network protocol, Terminal. The global Smart Office market was valued at US$ 1215 million in 2023 and is anticipate......
  • Global Online Smartphone & Tablet Games Market Growth (Status and Outlook) 2024-2030
    Published: 04-Jan-2024        Price: US 3660 Onwards        Pages: 113
    According to our LPI (LP Information) latest study, the global Online Smartphone & Tablet Games market size was valued at US$ 120570 million in 2023. With growing demand in downstream market, the Online Smartphone & Tablet Games is forecast to a readjusted size of US$ 279460 million by 2030 with a CAGR of 12.8% during review period. The research report highlights the growth potential of the global Online Smartphone & Tablet Games market. Online Smartphone & Tablet Games are expected to s......
  • Global Smart Parking System Market Growth (Status and Outlook) 2024-2030
    Published: 04-Jan-2024        Price: US 3660 Onwards        Pages: 128
    According to our LPI (LP Information) latest study, the global Smart Parking System market size was valued at US$ 3655.3 million in 2023. With growing demand in downstream market, the Smart Parking System is forecast to a readjusted size of US$ 10060 million by 2030 with a CAGR of 15.6% during review period. The research report highlights the growth potential of the global Smart Parking System market. Smart Parking System are expected to show stable growth in the future market. However, ......
  • Global High Performance Computing Market Growth (Status and Outlook) 2024-2030
    Published: 04-Jan-2024        Price: US 3660 Onwards        Pages: 127
    According to our LPI (LP Information) latest study, the global High Performance Computing market size was valued at US$ 31270 million in 2023. With growing demand in downstream market, the High Performance Computing is forecast to a readjusted size of US$ 65340 million by 2030 with a CAGR of 11.1% during review period. The research report highlights the growth potential of the global High Performance Computing market. High Performance Computing are expected to show stable growth in the f......
  • Global Social Media Analytics Market Growth (Status and Outlook) 2024-2030
    Published: 04-Jan-2024        Price: US 3660 Onwards        Pages: 129
    According to our LPI (LP Information) latest study, the global Social Media Analytics market size was valued at US$ million in 2023. With growing demand in downstream market, the Social Media Analytics is forecast to a readjusted size of US$ million by 2030 with a CAGR of % during review period. The research report highlights the growth potential of the global Social Media Analytics market. Social Media Analytics are expected to show stable growth in the future market. However, product di......
  • Global Interactive Kiosk Market Growth 2024-2030
    Published: 04-Jan-2024        Price: US 3660 Onwards        Pages: 128
    According to our LPI (LP Information) latest study, the global Interactive Kiosk market size was valued at US$ 1001.7 million in 2023. With growing demand in downstream market, the Interactive Kiosk is forecast to a readjusted size of US$ 1487.4 million by 2030 with a CAGR of 5.8% during review period. The research report highlights the growth potential of the global Interactive Kiosk market. Interactive Kiosk are expected to show stable growth in the future market. However, product diff......
  • Global IoT Platforms Market Growth (Status and Outlook) 2024-2030
    Published: 04-Jan-2024        Price: US 3660 Onwards        Pages: 153
    According to our LPI (LP Information) latest study, the global IoT Platforms market size was valued at US$ 4474.8 million in 2023. With growing demand in downstream market, the IoT Platforms is forecast to a readjusted size of US$ 20970 million by 2030 with a CAGR of 24.7% during review period. The research report highlights the growth potential of the global IoT Platforms market. IoT Platforms are expected to show stable growth in the future market. However, product differentiation, red......
  • Global Drone Data Services Industry Research Report, In-depth Analysis of Current Status and Outlook of Key Countries 2023-2028
    Published: 04-Jan-2024        Price: US 3380 Onwards        Pages: 99
    Market Overview of Global Drone Data Services market: According to our latest research, the global Drone Data Services market looks promising in the next 5 years. As of 2022, the global Drone Data Services market was estimated at USD 1371.56 million, and it's anticipated to reach USD 20095.26 million in 2028, with a CAGR of 56.43% during the forecast years. This report covers a research time span from 2018 to 2028, and presents a deep and comprehensive analysis of the global ......
    • SERVICES
    Value for Money
    We believe in "optimum utilization of available budget and resources". While servicing our clients' (your) market research requirements, we keep the same approach in focus to help you get the best value for your $$s.
    Ever Growing Inventory
    Ranging from the smallest feasible / required data (datasheets, data facts, SWOT analysis, company profiles, etc) to full research reports that help you make decisions, our inventory is updated almost on a daily basis with the latest industry reports from domain experts that track more than 5000 niche sectors.
    One Stop Solution
    Need a custom research report on medical devices market? Require all available business intelligence on 3D printing industry? Exploring F&B sector of a particular country/region? RnRMarketResearch.com is your one-stop-solution to all market intelligence needs. We not only offer custom research and consulting services, we also "bundle" reports to meet your needs and help you fetch the data analysis you require for your business.
    Dedicated Client Engagement
    Not limited to only "finding" relevant reports for you, our client engagement team dedicates its efforts to understand your "business need" and accordingly maps available research data to help you move forward. Call "your" client engagement executive any time of your day and get your questions answered in order to make the correct business decision.
    Saving Time and Efforts
    Simply share your research requirement details with us and let us do all the hard work to find required intelligence for you. When you add up our "one stop solution" and "dedicated client engagement" services mentioned above, you obviously know the time and effort saving you do by working with us.
    Payment Flexibility
    Working with Fortune 500 organizations, we understand the importance of being flexible for payments. Share your payment terms with us and we will surely match up to them to ensure you get access to required business intelligence data without having to wait for the payment to be done.
    Post-Purchase Research Support
    Have questions after reading a report / datasheet bought through us? Not sure about the methodology used for data available in the research? Talk to us / Share your questions with us and if required, we will connect you with the analyst(s)/author(s) of the report(s) and ensure you get satisfactory answers for the same. Need more data / analysis / report(s) on the topic of your research/project? The RnRMarketResearch.com team is here for you 24X7 to support you with your post-purchase requirements. Subscription Offers & Packages (Get in touch with us for more details - [email protected] / +1 888 391 5441 )
    • Ad Hoc
    • Pay - as - you - go / Bucket Subscriptions
    • Fixed Cost for #of reports
    • Customize / Personalize as per your needs