United Arab Emirates Autos Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 35

BMI View: This quarter we maintain our negative near-term view on the UAE autos sector. We continue to

target a 15.0% fall in sales over 2016, although luxury brands will outperform.

Key Views

? The commercial vehicle segment should outperform over 2016, as heavy vehicle demand remains robust

against the backdrop of an extensive pipeline of infrastructure projects.

? We continue to believe the planned introduction of VAT in 2018 may prompt consumers to buy greater

numbers of new passenger cars in 2017 before the tax is implemented.

? Our view that the UAE will retain positive demand for luxury cars, despite the wider market slowdown,

has been borne out by the relatively strong performance of luxury brands over 4M16.

United Arab Emirates Autos Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Key Views 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2014-2020) 9
Latest Developments 9
Structural Trends 9
Sales 9
Production 14
Passenger Vehicles 16
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 16
Key Players 16
Table: UAE - Top-10 Best-Selling Brands, 2015 16
Luxury Cars 17
Commercial Vehicles 18
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 19
Industry Risk Reward Index 19
Region Losing Global Standing 19
Saudi Arabia On The Brink 20
Morocco Becomes A Regional Bright Spot 20
Company Profile 21
Al-Futtaim Motors (Toyota) 21
Arabian Automobiles (Nissan) 23
Regional Overview 25
MENA 25
Table: MENA Autos Production Investment 25
Morocco Makes Its Mark 26
Oman Becoming A GCC Hub 26
PSA Commitment A Win For Iran 26
Demographic Forecast 27
Demographic Outlook 27
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 28
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 28
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 29
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 29
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 30
Methodology 32
Industry Forecasts 32
Sector-Specific Methodology 33
Sources 33
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 34
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 35

List of Tables

Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2014-2020)
Table: UAE - Top-10 Best-Selling Brands, 2015
Table: MENA Autos Production Investment
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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