Ukraine Tourism Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 31

BMI View: The outlook for Ukraine's tourism market remains extremely weak. Escalating conflict in the

country and rising tensions with Russia surrounding Crimea, including a growing military presence along

the border, will continue to deter visitors and investors. We therefore expect to see significant contractions

in inbound tourism and across key indicators for the hotel market over the course of the forecast period to

2020. Even prior to the current crisis, Ukraine was struggling to attract significant volumes of visitors or

sufficient investment into the ageing hotel sector, meaning the country faces a long road ahead to become a

competitive tourism destination in the region.

Key Updates And Forecasts

? Despite the conflict, Ukraine remains well connected to other markets in the region. A recent addition to

available flight routes includes a three times a week service between popular city-break destination Lviv

and Vilnius in Lithuania.

? We have downgraded our forecasts for Ukraine's tourism industry this quarter. Inbound arrivals are now

expected to continue their decline in 2016, falling by 2.5% to reach 12.1mn. This leaves the inbound

travel market less than half the size of the pre-crisis market.

Ukraine Tourism Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Key Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2020) 5
SWOT 7
Tourism 7
Industry Forecast 9
Table: Inbound Tourism (Ukraine 2013-2020) 14
Table: Tourism Receipts (Ukraine 2013-2020) 16
Table: Hotel Accommodation (Ukraine 2013-2020) 18
Table: Tourist Departures and Consumption (Ukraine 2013-2020) 19
Industry Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Tourism Risk/Reward Index 20
Rewards 21
Risks 21
Security Risk 22
Market Overview 23
Competitive Landscape 26
Domestic Hotel Groups 26
Table: Domestic Hotel Groups 26
International Hotel Groups 27
Table: International Hotel Groups 27
Methodology 28
Industry Forecast Methodology 28
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 29
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 31

List of Tables

Table: Key Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Table: Inbound Tourism (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Table: Tourism Receipts (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Table: Hotel Accommodation (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Table: Tourist Departures and Consumption (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Tourism Risk/Reward Index
Table: Domestic Hotel Groups
Table: International Hotel Groups
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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