Slovakia Oil and Gas Report Q3 2013

Publisher Name :
Date:5-Jun-2013
No. of pages: 88

BMI View: As a net importer of energy, Slovakia faces the challenge of securing long-term gas supplies
without becoming too dependent on Russia. Linking its gas network to others in the region is therefore a
priority, as it will allow for more flexibility when negotiating gas purchases. Reduced nuclear power usage
points to a greater reliance on gas, until sufficient renewables capacity can be established. However, efforts
to raise domestic gas prices are being resisted by the government, which may reduce the attractiveness of
the Slovak gas sector to foreign investors.
The key trends and developments in Slovakia’s oil and gas sector are:
? German utility E.ON and France’s GDF Suez said in February 2013 they have agreed to sell their
combined 49% stake in Slovak gas group SPP for EUR2.6bn to Czech investment fund Energeticky a
Prumyslovy Holding (EPH). The SPP deal had been long expected and was pending the formal
agreement of the Slovak government, whose 51% stake will also be sold to EPH. E.ON and GDF Suez
had an equal share of their stake.

Slovakia Oil and Gas Report Q3 2013

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast .. 10
Oil And Gas Reserves .. 10
Table: Slovakia Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2011-2016 . 10
Table: Slovakia Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2017-2022 . 11
Oil Supply And Demand .. 12
Table: Slovakia Oil Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2011-2016 12
Table: Slovakia Oil Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2017-2022 12
Gas Supply And Demand . 14
Table: Slovakia Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2011-2016 . 14
Table: Slovakia Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2017-2022 . 15
Refining And Oil Products Trade .. 17
Table: Slovakia Refining - Production And Consumption, 2011-2016 . 17
Table: Slovakia Refining - Production And Consumption, 2017-2022 . 17
Revenues/Import Costs . 18
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario . 18
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 19
CEE - Risk/Reward Ratings .. 19
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings . 20
Caspian Retains Lead In Upstream Ratings . 20
Table: Upstream Risk/Reward Rating 21
Russian Trouble Persists . 23
Regional Minnows Breaking In .. 25
Downstream Stabilisation 25
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Slovakia - Risk/Reward Ratings 29
Slovakia Upstream Rating - Overview .. 29
Slovakia Upstream Rating - Rewards 29
Slovakia Upstream Rating - Risks .. 29
Slovakia Downstream Rating - Overview . 29
Market Overview 30
Slovakia Energy Market Overview .. 30
Overview/State Role . 31
Licensing And Regulation 31
Government Policy 32
International Energy Relations .. 33
Oil & Gas Infrastructure 35
Oil refineries .. 35
Table: Refineries In Slovakia 35
Service Stations . 36
Oil Storage Facilities 36
Oil Pipelines .. 36
Gas Storage Facilities .. 37
Gas Pipelines . 37
Competitive Landscape . 39
Table: Key Players - Slovak Oil And Gas Sector 40
Table: Key Downstream Players . 40
Company Profile . 41
Slovnaft . 41
OMV .. 44
Other Companies - Summary 46
Regional Overview 48
Europe Energy Overview .. 48
A Dependent Relationship 50
Looking For A Break Up . 52
Central Asia: Beneficiaries Of Europe's Russian Fatigue . 54
Moving From Pipeline To LNG .. 55
Russia Strikes Back .. 56
Eastern Europe: Black Sea Gold Rush . 57
Shale Gas Showdown 58
Global Industry Overview .. 60
Global Energy Market Overview . 60
Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts & Bloomberg Analyst Consensus, Average Price (US$/bbl) . 61
Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts 68
Industry Trend Analysis . 70
Growing Implementation Base 71
Developed Drive 73
Appendix . 74
Central And Eastern Europe - Regional Appendix 74
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d) . 74
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) . 75
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d) 75
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) . 76
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d) 77
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 77
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 78
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 79
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2016 (bcm) 79
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 80
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 (bcm) 81
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 81
Methodology . 82
Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 82
Ratings Overview .. 82
Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Risk Reward Ratings - Structure . 83
Indicators 83
Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings - Methodology 83
Oil & Gas Forecasts Methodology 85
Energy Industry . 85
Cross checks .. 86
Sources 86
Glossary .. 87
Table: Glossary Of Terms 87Table: Slovakia Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2011-2016
Table: Slovakia Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2017-2022
Table: Slovakia Oil Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2011-2016
Table: Slovakia Oil Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2017-2022
Table: Slovakia Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2011-2016
Table: Slovakia Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2017-2022
Table: Slovakia Refining - Production And Consumption, 2011-2016
Table: Slovakia Refining - Production And Consumption, 2017-2022
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Upstream Risk/Reward Rating
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Refineries In Slovakia
Table: Key Players - Slovak Oil And Gas Sector
Table: Key Downstream Players
Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts & Bloomberg Analyst Consensus, Average Price (US$/bbl)
Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2016 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm)
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 (bcm)
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm)
Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Risk Reward Ratings - Structure
Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings - Methodology
Table: Glossary Of Terms

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