Oman Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 80

BMI View: Oman's underexplored offshore acreage and attractive business environment offers

international oil and gas companies lucrative opportunities in the country's upstream sector. However, the

prevailing low price environment makes it more difficult for smaller energy producers, such as Oman, to

attract upstream investment. We believe that large infrastructure projects, including new refineries or

pipeline connections, will markedly strengthen Oman's standing in the downstream sector over the next few

years.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

? We hold our negative forecast for Oman's oil and gas reserves. We believe the country's oil reserves will

contract by more than 65% to 1.8mn bbl by 2025. Gas reserves will follow suit shrinking by nearly 25%

to 529bcm during 2016-2025.

? In late-August 2016, ARA Petroleum informed about its plans to conduct drilling and workover

campaigns in 2017 and 2018 on Omani Block 44.

• Despite short-term gains, Oman's oil production is set to decline by around 5.6% over the coming decade,

standing at 915,150b/d in 2025.

Oman Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Oman 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil & Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 15
Table: Oman Upstream Projects 15
Upstream Production - Oil 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Oil Production (Oman 2014-2019) 20
Table: Oil Production (Oman 2020-2025) 20
Upstream Production - Gas 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Oman Gas Prices 23
Table: Gas Production (Oman 2014-2019) 24
Table: Gas Production (Oman 2020-2025) 24
Refining 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Oman 2014-2019) 27
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Oman 2020-2025) 27
Refined Fuels Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Oman 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Oman 2019-2024) 29
Gas Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Gas Consumption (Oman 2014-2019) 31
Table: Gas Consumption (Oman 2020-2025) 32
Trade - Oil 33
Crude Oil Trade 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Oman 2014-2020) 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Oman 2020-2025) 35
Fuels Trade 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Oman 2014-2019) 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Oman 2020-2025) 37
Trade - Gas (Pipeline & LNG) 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Gas Net Exports (Oman 2014-2019) 40
Table: Gas Net Exports (Oman 2020-2025) 40
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 41
Middle East - Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: Middle East Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 41
Upstream: Index Resilient In Lower Price Environment 42
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Downstream: Limited Opportunities 44
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Oman - Risk/Reward Index 47
Market Overview 49
Oman Energy Market Overview 49
Regulatory Structure 49
Fiscal Regime 50
Table: Oman - Upstream Tax Regime 50
Licensing Regime 50
Table: Oman - Contracts and Licensing Regime 50
Licensing Rounds 50
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 51
Oil Refineries 51
Table: Refineries In Oman 51
Terminals 53
LNG Terminals 53
Table: LNG Terminals In Oman 54
Gas Pipelines 54
Competitive Landscape 56
Competitive Landscape Summary 56
Table: Key Companies In Oman's Energy Sector 57
Table: Key Upstream Players 58
Table: Key Downstream Players 58
Company Profile 59
PDO 59
Latest Updates 59
Table: Major Upstream Assets in Oman 60
Table: Key Financial Data 60
BP 61
Latest Updates 61
Table: Key Upstream Assets In Oman 62
Regional Overview 63
Middle East Oil & Gas Regional Overview 63
Oil Production: Output On Upward Trajectory 63
Oil Consumption: Gas And Subsidy Reform Tempering Demand 66
Table: Gasoline-95 Pump Price June 2015 & March 2016 (USD/Litre) 66
Refining Capacity: Mega Refineries To Outcompete 68
Gas Production: Upstream Focus Swaying To Gas 69
Gas Consumption: Industrial Growth And Power Drive Demand 71
Table: Middle East Oil & Gas Production, Refining Capacity & Trade 72
Glossary 73
Table: Glossary Of Terms 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Source 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 79
Table: Weighting 80

List of Tables

Table: Headline Forecasts (Oman 2014-2020)
Table: Oman Upstream Projects
Table: Oil Production (Oman 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Oman 2020-2025)
Table: Oman Gas Prices
Table: Gas Production (Oman 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Oman 2020-2025)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Oman 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Oman 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Oman 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Oman 2019-2024)
Table: Gas Consumption (Oman 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Oman 2020-2025)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Oman 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Oman 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Oman 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Oman 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Oman 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Oman 2020-2025)
Table: Middle East Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: Oman - Upstream Tax Regime
Table: Oman - Contracts and Licensing Regime
Table: Refineries In Oman
Table: LNG Terminals In Oman
Table: Key Companies In Oman's Energy Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Table: Major Upstream Assets in Oman
Table: Key Financial Data
Table: Key Upstream Assets In Oman
Table: Gasoline-95 Pump Price June 2015 & March 2016 (USD/Litre)
Table: Middle East Oil & Gas Production, Refining Capacity & Trade
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting
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