Malawi and Mozambique Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 70

BMI View:The Government of Mozambique plans

to merge publicly owned mobile operator mCel with

wireline incumbent Telecomunicacoes de

Mocambique (TDM). An mCel-TDM merger will

reduce operational costs, enabling the enlarged

entity to pursue organic subscriber growth in both

low-margin rural markets and the niche high-value

enterprise segment. We do not, however, expect the

merger to lead to a dramatic change in operators'

market shares in the short to medium term, as

competitors are already employing low-cost

operational strategies.Telekom Networks Malawi

(TNM) launched 4G LTE in Blantyre, Lilongwe,

Mzuzu and Zomba. Telekom Networks Malawi's

launch of LTE will improve broadband connectivity

and quality across the country. However, the low

penetration of mobile services and the challenging

macroeconomic environment will inhibit the uptake

of 4G services.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

? We now estimate Malawi had 6.61mn mobile telephony subscribers at the end of 2015, up by 14.5%

y-o-y and equivalent to a mobile penetration rate of 38.4%. In the five years to 2020, we forecast

Malawi's mobile market will reach 9.883mn mobile customers. The percentage of 3G subscriptions

is expected to grow from 19.5% of mobile subscriptions in 2015 to 31.2% of the total market in 2020.

Malawi and Mozambique Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Malawi 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malawi 2013-2020) 16
Mozambique 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mozambique 2013-2020) 21
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 22
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 22
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 26
Malawi Risk/Reward Index 27
Mozambique Risk/Reward Index 28
Market Overview 30
Malawi 30
Market Drivers & Trends 30
Mobile 30
Wireline Voice & Broadband 32
Pay-TV/Convergence 33
Mozambique 34
Market Drivers & Trends 34
Mobile 35
Wireline Voice & Broadband 40
Table: Fixed Voice Market 40
Regulatory Development 41
Malawi Industry Risks 41
Main Development - New Communications Bill 41
Additional Developments 42
Mozambique Industry Risks 42
Main Development 42
Additional Developments 43
Competitive Landscape 44
Table: Key Players 44
Table: Mozambique Mobile Market 44
Table: mCel Mozambique 45
Table: Vodacom Mozambique 45
Table: Malawi Mobile Market 46
Table: Airtel Malawi 46
Table: TNM 46
Company Profile 47
Airtel Africa 47
Company Overview 47
Strategy 48
Developments 48
Financial Data 49
Operational Data 49
mcel Mozambique 51
Company Overview 51
Developments 52
Demographic Forecast 54
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malawi 1990-2025) 55
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malawi 1990-2025) 55
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malawi 1990-2025) 56
Table: Population By Age Group (Malawi 1990-2025) 56
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malawi 1990-2025) 57
Demographic Forecast 59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025) 60
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025) 60
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025) 62
Glossary 64
Table: Glossary Of Terms 64
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sources 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 70

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malawi 2013-2020)
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Table: Fixed Voice Market
Table: Key Players
Table: Mozambique Mobile Market
Table: mCel Mozambique
Table: Vodacom Mozambique
Table: Malawi Mobile Market
Table: Airtel Malawi
Table: TNM
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malawi 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malawi 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malawi 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Malawi 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malawi 1990-2025)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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