Iran Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 74

Iran's petrochemicals exports have been boosted by the lifting of sanctions, opening the possibility for major

inward investment in the years ahead. In the first three months of FY2016/17, petrochemicals comprised

over a third of Iran's exports with 27.9mn tonnes sold on external markets worth a total of USD3.54bn. Iran

projects that its total petrochemicals output will reach 54.7mn tonnes in FY2016/17, an increase of 18% that

will be based on exports and supported by increased capacity utilisation and new plants coming onstream.

NPC has said the country's petrochemical output could increase by nearly 12% in FY2016/17 due to

capacity expansion and export recovery. NPC plans to launch 15 new petrochemical units by FY2016/17,

thereby increasing the country's capacity by 8.5mn tonnes.

A number of projects are due to be completed by 2016. The government has already confirmed the 14th

olefins complex, which will be built at Firouzabad and produce 1mn tonnes per annum (tpa) ethylene, and

the 15th olefins complex, planned at Genaveh with 500,000tpa of ethylene. The 17th olefins complex will

be built at Dehloran in Ilam Province by Dehloran Petrochemical Company, and will have a mixed-feed

cracker with the capacity to produce 607,000tpa ethylene. The 16th olefins and methanol complex is already

being constructed by Bushehr Petrochemical Company as part of Phase II of the Pars special economic

zone (SEZ) at Asaluyeh, with capacity for 1mn tpa ethylene and 1.65mn tpa methanol.

Iran Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Iran's Petrochemicals Industry, 2011-2020 ('000 tpa, Unless Otherwise Stated) 20
Macroeconomic Forecasts 22
Rapid Uptick In Growth As Shackles Are Removed 22
Table: Iran - Key Economic Indicators 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 26
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 26
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2016 30
Iran Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 31
Market Overview 32
Table: Iran's Cracker Capacity, 2013-2020 ('000 tpa) 34
Industry Trends And Developments 36
Post-Sanctions Outlook 36
Upstream Developments 40
Table: Proposed Greenfield Refineries 42
Company Profile 46
National Petrochemical Company 46
Regional Overview 51
Middle East And Africa Overview 51
Global Industry Overview 57
Demographic Forecast 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025) 67
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 69
Methodology 70
Industry Forecast Methodology 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 72
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 73
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 74

List of Tables

Table: Iran's Petrochemicals Industry, 2011-2020 ('000 tpa, Unless Otherwise Stated)
Table: Iran - Key Economic Indicators
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2016
Table: Iran's Cracker Capacity, 2013-2020 ('000 tpa)
Table: Proposed Greenfield Refineries
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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