Future of the Finnish Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018

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Date:27-Jul-2013
No. of pages: 113
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Synopsis

This report is the result of SDI’s extensive market and company research covering the Finnish defense industry, and provides detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values including key growth stimulators, analysis of the leading companies in the industry, and key news.

Introduction and Landscape

Why was the report written?

The Future of the Finnish Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018 offers the reader an insight into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to gain a market share in the Finnish defense industry.

What is the current market landscape and what is changing?

Finnish defense expenditure decreased at a CAGR of -0.74% during the review period and values US$3.8 billion in 2013. The focus of the Finnish government will be on the modernization of its armed forces, participation in peacekeeping operations, and the perceived threat from Russia.

What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?

Military modernization, threats from Russia, and participation in peacekeeping missions are the main factors driving the Finnish defense industry.

What makes this report unique and essential to read?

The Future of the Finnish Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018 provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018, including highlights of key growth stimulators. It also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.

Key Features and Benefits

  • The report provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018, including highlights of key growth stimulators, and also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.
  • The report includes trend analysis of imports and exports, together with their implications and impact on the Finnish defense industry.
  • The report covers five forces analysis to identify various power centers in the industry and how these are expected to develop in the future.
  • The report allows readers to identify possible ways to enter the market, together with detailed descriptions of how existing companies have entered the market, including key contracts, alliances, and strategic initiatives.
  • The report helps the reader to understand the competitive landscape of the defense industry in Finland. It provides an overview of key defense companies, both domestic and foreign, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

Key Market Issues

  • Finland has been perceived as a country with low levels of corruption. However, since 2006, three alleged instances of bribery and corruption involving the country’s defense sector have been highlighted. As a result, the country’s ranking in the Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index has been dropping since 2007.
  • The Finnish defense budget deficit in 2011 stood at US$10.6 billion, due to which the country is compelled to reduce its defense budget in the next ten years. The Ministry of Defense is currently contemplating reductions of US$90 million in its defense budget for 2013-2014, which may eventually lead to the cancellation of defense related projects and air defense modernization projects. A potential cut to Finland’s defense budget is an area of concern for foreign investors. This prospect deters the entry of foreign investors into the nation’s defense sector.

Key Highlights

  • In order to increase defense exports and cater to the international arms market, the Finnish government encourages domestic defense companies to collaborate with foreign defense firms. Conversely, foreign investors seek to capitalize on Finnish defense capabilities through the joint development of military hardware. Additionally, the country is focused on defense collaboration with other Nordic countries, thereby enhancing the domestic industrial capabilities of Finland, Norway, and Sweden, and forming a consolidated defense industry. For example, the country jointly established Nammo in 1998 through the merger of the ammunition activities of Raufoss ASA, which is based in Norway, and Celcius AB, which is based in Sweden.
  • During 2008-2012, Italy emerged as the largest supplier of defense systems to Finland with a share of 23% of total imports, followed by Switzerland with 20.3%, and Sweden with 16.2%. In 2008, Switzerland supplied 45.8% of the Finnish imports while France, with a 22.4% share, was the second largest supplier to the country. Due to the economic crisis during 2008-2009, defense imports slumped by 72.6%, declining from US$157 million during 2008 to US$43 million in 2009. During the forecast period it is expected that Sweden, France, and Italy will continue to be strong defense trade partners for the country.
  • The procurement deal signed with Croatia in 2007 meant that armored vehicles were the largest contributor to Finnish defense exports with 53.2% share during 2008-2012 followed by ships with 20%. However, from 2008 onwards, Finland made no exports of ships. During the forecast period, it is anticipated that armored vehicles will continue to dominate the country’s arms exports due to an increase in the global demand for this product.

Future of the Finnish Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018

Table Of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1 What is this Report About?
1.2 Definitions
1.3 Summary Methodology
1.4 SDI Terrorism Index
1.5 About Strategic Defence Intelligence (www.strategicdefenceintelligence.com)

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1 Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1 Finnish defense budget to grow at a CAGR of 1.56% during the forecast period
3.1.2 Modernization programs, international peacekeeping missions and a perceived security threat from Russia are the major drivers of the Finnish defense expenditure
3.2 Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1 Capital expenditure allocation expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2 Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to reach 1.20% by 2018
3.3 Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1 Homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 1.44% during the forecast period
3.3.2 Homeland security expenditure in Finland is mainly driven by organized crimes and maritime security threats
3.3.3 Finland considered a low risk country for terror activities
3.4 Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1 Finnish defense budget to increase at a low CAGR of 1.56% during 2014-2018
3.4.2 Finnish defense expenditure is smaller as compared to leading spenders
3.4.3 Finland behind on NATO specifications in defense spending
3.4.4 Finland has a moderate per-capita defense expenditure
3.5 Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
3.5.1 Fighters and Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.2 Surface-Air Missile Systems
3.5.3 Attack Aircraft MRO
3.5.4 Air-Surface Missile Systems
3.5.5 Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAVs)
3.5.6 Border Security

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1 Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1 Defense imports are expected to increase during the forecast period
4.1.2 Italy was the major supplier to Finland during 2008-2012
4.1.3 Aircraft and missiles constitute the majority of Finnish arms imports
4.2 Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1 Finnish exports recovering from fall in 2009
4.2.2 EU countries account for a majority of Finnish defense exports
4.2.3 Armored vehicles are the largest exported defense hardware

5 Industry Dynamics
5.1.1 Bargaining power of supplier: low to high
5.1.2 Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3 Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4 Intensity of rivalry: low to high
5.1.5 Threat of substitution: low to high

6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1 Market Regulation
6.1.1 Government encourages offsets in order to order to develop domestic defense industrial base
6.1.2 Finnish defense sector is open to foreign direct investments
6.2 Market Entry Route
6.2.1 Partnerships with domestic defense firms offer attractive market entry route
6.2.2 Foreign OEMs gain industry access through joint RandD programs
6.2.3 Foreign military sales (FMS) to Finland
6.3 Key Challenges
6.3.1 Defense budget fluctuations challenging the domestic defense industry
6.3.2 Defense budget deficit may lead to a reduction in the overall military budget

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1 Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2 Key Foreign Companies
7.2.1 Elektrobit Corporation: overview
7.2.2 Elektrobit Corporation: products and services
7.2.3 Elektrobit Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4 Elektrobit Corporation: alliances
7.2.5 Elektrobit Corporation: recent contract wins
7.2.6 Elektrobit Corporation: financial analysis
7.2.7 Kiitokori Oy: overview
7.2.8 Kiitokori Oy: products and services
7.2.9 Kiitokori Oy: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.10 Millog Oy: overview
7.2.11 Millog Oy: products and services
7.2.12 Millog Oy: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.13 Millog Oy: alliances
7.2.14 Millog Oy: recent contract wins
7.2.15 Nammo Lapua Oy: overview
7.2.16 Nammo Lapua Oy: products and services
7.2.17 Nammo Lapua Oy: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.18 Nammo Lapua Oy: recent contract wins
7.2.19 Patria Aviation Oy: overview
7.2.20 Patria Aviation Oy: products and services
7.2.21 Patria Aviation Oy: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.22 Patria Aviation Oy: alliances
7.2.23 Patria Aviation Oy: recent contract wins
7.2.24 Patria Land Services Oy: overview
7.2.25 Patria Land Services Oy: products and services
7.2.26 Patria Land Services Oy: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.27 Patria Land Services Oy: recent contract wins
7.2.28 Patria Oyj: overview
7.2.29 Patria Oyj: products and services
7.2.30 Patria Oyj: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.31 Patria Oyj: alliances
7.2.32 Patria Oyj: recent contract wins
7.2.33 Patria Oyj: financial analysis
7.2.34 Patricomp Oy: overview
7.2.35 Patricomp Oyj: products and services
7.2.36 Patricomp Oy: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.37 Patricomp Oy: recent contract wins
7.2.38 TEMET Oy: overview
7.2.39 TEMET Oy: products and services

8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1 Demographics
8.1.1 Total Rural population
8.1.2 Total urban population
8.1.3 Number of households
8.2 Economic Performance
8.2.1 GDP per capita at constant prices
8.2.2 GDP at current prices (US$)
8.2.3 Exports of goods and services (current US$ bn)
8.2.4 Imports of goods and services (current US$ bn)
8.2.5 Gross national disposable income (US$ billion)
8.2.6 Manufacturing output (US$ bn)
8.2.7 Consumer price index
8.2.8 Wholesale price index
8.2.9 LCU per US$ (period average)
8.2.10 Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ bn)
8.2.11 Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP)
8.2.12 Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU billion)
8.2.13 Government cash surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP (LCU)
8.2.14 Central government debt (LCU billion)
8.2.15 Central government debt as a percentage of GDP (LCU)
8.2.16 Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.17 Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.18 Services imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.19 Service exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.20 Services balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.21 Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billions)
8.2.22 International reserves, including gold (US$ billion)
8.3 Energy and utilities
8.3.1 Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.2 Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.3 Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.4 Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million kW)
8.3.5 Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)
8.3.6 Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion kW)
8.4 Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1 Air transport, freight (million ton-km)
8.5 Mineral
8.5.1 Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ billion)
8.6 Technology
8.6.1 Research and development expenditure (LCU thousands)
8.6.2 Patents Granted
8.7 Telecommunication
8.7.1 Telephone lines (in mn)
8.7.2 Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people)

9 Appendix
9.1 Contact Us
9.2 About SDI
9.3 Disclaimer

List Of Tables

Table 1: Finnish Defense Expenditure, 2009-2013
Table 2: Finnish Defense Expenditure, 2014-2018
Table 3: Finnish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2009-2013
Table 4: Finnish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2018
Table 5: Finnish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2009-2013
Table 6: Finnish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2014-2018
Table 7: Finnish Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Table 8: Finnish Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Table 9: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2009-2013 vs. 2014-2018
Table 10: Offset Regulations in Finland
Table 11: Offset multiplier categories
Table 12: Market Entry Strategies by Key Foreign Companies
Table 13: Elektrobit Corporation - Product Focus
Table 14: Elektrobit Corporation - Alliances
Table 15: Elektrobit Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
Table 16: Kiitokori Oy- Product Focus
Table 17: Millog Oy - Product Focus
Table 18: Millog Oy - Alliances
Table 19: Millog Oy - Recent Contract Wins
Table 20: Nammo Lapua Oy - Product Focus
Table 21: Nammo Lapua Oy - Recent Contract Wins
Table 22: Patria Aviation Oy - Product Focus
Table 23: Patria Aviation Oy - Alliances
Table 24: Patria Aviation Oy - Recent Contract Wins
Table 25: Patria Land Services Oy - Product Focus
Table 26: Patria Land Services Oy - Recent Contract Wins
Table 27: Patria Oyj - Product Focus
Table 28: Patria Oyj - Alliances
Table 29: Patria Oyj - Recent Contract Wins
Table 30: Patricomp Oy - Product Focus
Table 31: Patricomp Oy - Recent Contract Wins
Table 32: TEMET Oy - Product Focus

List Of Figures

Figure 1: Finnish Defense Expenditure, 2009-2013
Figure 2: Finnish Defense Expenditure, 2014-2018
Figure 3: Finnish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2009-2013
Figure 4: Finnish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2018
Figure 5: Finnish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2009-2013
Figure 6: Finnish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2014-2018
Figure 7: Finnish Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Figure 8: Finnish Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Figure 9: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2012
Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Index, 2011
Figure 11: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2009-2013 vs. 2014-2018
Figure 12: Benchmarking with World's Largest Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2013 and 2018
Figure 13: Benchmarking with Large Defense Spenders as % of GDP - 2013
Figure 14: Per-capita Defense Expenditure of the Largest Military Spenders in the World (US$), 2013
Figure 15: Fighters and Multi-Role Aircraft (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 16: Surface-Air Missile Systems (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 17: Attack Aircraft MRO (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 18: Air-Surface Missile Systems (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 19: Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 20: Border Security (US$ Million), 2013-2023
Figure 21: Finnish Defense Imports (US$ million), 2008-2012
Figure 22: Finnish Defense Imports by Country (%), 2008-2012
Figure 23: Finnish Defense Imports by Category, 2008-2012
Figure 24: Finnish Defense Export Trend (US$ Million), 2008-2012
Figure 25: Finnish Defense Exports by Country (%), 2008-2012
Figure 26: Finnish Defense Exports by Category, 2008-2012
Figure 27: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 28: Elektrobit Corporation - Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR million), 2008-2012
Figure 29: Elektrobit Corporation - Operating Profit Analysis (EUR million), 2008-2012
Figure 30: Elektrobit Corporation - Net Profit Analysis (EUR million), 2008-2012
Figure 31: Patria Oyj - Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2008-2012
Figure 32: Patria Oyj - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2008-2012
Figure 33: Finnish Rural population (In million), 2008-2017
Figure 34: Finnish Urban population (In million), 2008-2017
Figure 35: Finland - Number of Households (Million), 2008-2017
Figure 36: Finnish GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2008-2017
Figure 37: Finnish GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2009-2018
Figure 38: Finnish Exports of goods and services (US$), 2002-2011
Figure 39: Finnish Imports of goods and services (US$), 2002-2011
Figure 40: Finnish Gross national disposable income (US$ billion), 2002-2011
Figure 41: Finnish Manufacturing output (US$ Billion), 2001-2010
Figure 42: Finnish Consumer price index, 2008-2017
Figure 43: Finnish Wholesale price index, 2002-2011
Figure 44: Finland LCU per US$, 2008-2017
Figure 45: Finnish market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion), 2002-2011
Figure 46: Finnish market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP), 2002-2011
Figure 47: Finnish Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU billion), 2001-2010
Figure 48: Finnish Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2001-2010
Figure 49: Finnish- Central government debt (LCU billion), 2001-2010
Figure 50: Finnish Central government debt as % of GDP (LCU), 2001-2010
Figure 51: Finland- Goods exports as a % of GDP (%), 2002-2011
Figure 52: Finland- Goods imports as a % of GDP (%), 2002-2011
Figure 53: Finnish Services imports as a % of GDP (%), 2002-2011
Figure 54: Finnish Service exports as a % of GDP (%), 2002-2011
Figure 55: Finland- Services balance as a % of GDP (%), 2001-2010
Figure 56: Finland- Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billion), 2002-2011
Figure 57: Finnish International reserves, including gold (US$ billion), 2002-2011
Figure 58: Finnish Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 59: Finnish Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 60: Finnish Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 61: Finnish Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
Figure 62: Finnish Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2002-2011
Figure 63: Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2001-2010
Figure 64: Finnish Air transport, freight (million ton-km), 2001-2010
Figure 65: Finnish Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ billion), 2001-2010
Figure 66: Finnish RandD expenditure (LCU thousands), 2002-2011
Figure 67: Finnish Patents Granted, 2002-2011
Figure 68: Finnish Telephone lines, 2001-2010
Figure 69: Finnish Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2002-2011

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