Croatia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 58

BMI View: We maintain a positive outlook for the Croatian telecommunications market, in view of the

additional competitive momentum provided by the launch of Tele2's 4G network in February 2016. Tele2

has traditionally competed heavily on pricing and we expect rivals will respond quickly to its aggressive

rollout programme. Mobile subscription numbers will likely rise sharply in 2016 as a result, but as most of

these new customers will be churning away from existing players, we believe large numbers of inactive

accounts will need to be eliminated in 2017/18, making for volatile growth through to 2020.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

? The mobile market experienced a net loss of 261,000 new subscribers in Q415 and a further 53,000 in

Q116 to bring the total number of subscribers to 4.698mn, but the market did recover slightly to 4.786mn

at the end of June 2016.

? In Q316 we upgraded our Croatian forecasts for the 3G/4G mobile market and we now anticipate a total

of 3.17mn subscribers by the end of 2016, and 4.33mn subscribers in 2020.

? Tele2 aggressively invested in network upgrades through expanding 3G coverage to 97% of the

population, expanding voice service to 99% of the country and rolling out 4G in Q116. Meanwhile,

Vipnet is gearing up for 4G competition as the operator spent EUR18.6mn in Q415 to strengthen its 4G

capabilities by acquiring two blocks of 4G spectrum.

Croatia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates & Industry Developments 7
SWOT Analysis 9
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Structural Trends 11
Wireline Voice & Broadband 14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Croatia 2014-2020) 15
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 16
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 18
Croatia Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers & Trends 21
Mobile 21
Wireline Voice & Broadband 26
Pay TV 30
Regulatory Development 32
Industry Risks 32
Main Development: Spectrum Allocation 33
Additional Developments 34
Competitive Landscape 35
Table: Key Players - Croatia Telecoms Sector 35
Table: Croatia Mobile Market Overview 35
Table: T Mobile HK 36
Table: VIP Net Overview 37
Table: Tele2 Overview 38
Company Profile 39
T-Hrvatski Telekom 39
Tele2 Croatia 43
Demographic Forecast 47
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Croatia 1990-2025) 48
Table: Key Population Ratios (Croatia 1990-2025) 48
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Croatia 1990-2025) 49
Table: Population By Age Group (Croatia 1990-2025) 49
Table: Population By Age Group % (Croatia 1990-2025) 50
Glossary 52
Table: Glossary Of Terms 52
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Croatia 2014-2020)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Table: Key Players - Croatia Telecoms Sector
Table: Croatia Mobile Market Overview
Table: T Mobile HK
Table: VIP Net Overview
Table: Tele2 Overview
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Croatia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Croatia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Croatia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Croatia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Croatia 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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