Brazil Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 88

BMI View: We believe that grains production growth over the next five years will slow relative to the

preceding five. Soybean production will outpace that of corn, as lower production costs for soybean relative

to corn will make the commodity more attractive to grow. However, we see comparatively limited growth

out to 2019/20 given the scarcity of area available for expansion, as well as high import costs for fertilisers.

We hold a more positive view on the sugar industry now than we have held in the past, due to reforms in the

ethanol sector. The eventual return of real weakness will be a net positive for the country's agricultural

sector.

Key Forecasts

? Soybean average production growth 2015/16 to 2019/20: 1.8% to 106.0mn tonnes. We see limited

growth out to 2019/20 given the scarcity of area available for expansion, as well as high import costs for

fertilisers.

Brazil Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Sugar Outlook 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Brazil - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020) 15
Grains Outlook 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Brazil - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Risks To Outlook 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020) 19
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020) 19
Cocoa Outlook 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Brazil - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook 20
Table: Risks To Outlook 20
Structural Trends 21
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020) 23
Dairy Outlook 24
Latest Updates 24
Table: Brazil - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook 24
Table: Risks To Outlook 24
Structural Trends 25
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020) 27
Coffee Outlook 28
Latest Updates 28
Table: Brazil - Coffee Production & Consumption Outlook 28
Table: Risks To Outlook 28
Structural Trends 29
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020) 31
Livestock Outlook 32
Latest Updates 32
Table: Brazil - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook 32
Table: Risks To Outlook 32
Structural Trends 33
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020) 35
Cotton Outlook 37
Latest Updates 37
Table: Brazil - Cotton Production & Consumption Outlook 37
Table: Risks To Outlook 37
Structural Trends 38
Table: Cotton Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020) 41
Soybean Outlook 42
Latest Updates 42
Table: Brazil - Soybean Production & Consumption Outlook 42
Table: Risks To Outlook 42
Structural Trends 43
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020) 45
Commodities Price Analysis 46
Commodities Forecasts 46
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 46
Upstream Analysis 48
Americas Machinery Outlook 48
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 51
Americas GM Outlook 55
Americas Fertiliser Outlook 63
Downstream Analysis 70
Food 70
Latest Updates 70
Structural Trends 71
Table: Food Sales (Brazil 2013-2020) 73
Regional Overview 75
Competitive Landscape 81
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 81
Demographic Forecast 82
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 83
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 83
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 84
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 84
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 85
Methodology 87
Industry Forecast Methodology 87
Sector-Specific Methodology 88

List of Tables

Table: Brazil - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Brazil - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Brazil - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Brazil - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Brazil - Coffee Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Brazil - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Brazil - Cotton Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cotton Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Brazil - Soybean Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)
Table: Food Sales (Brazil 2013-2020)
Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
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