World LTE markets – 5G initiatives & MBB spectrum - Markets at June 2018 & Forecasts to 2022 - Markets – Players – Technologies – Spectrum
Table of contents
Key points
• Key take-aways
• 1980-2020: 40 years of mobile generations
1. LTE global success
1.1. LTE is mature and mainstream, pushing 2G/3G shut down
1.2. 4G migration continues: players’ push to increase pop. coverage
1.3. Players’ push to increase LTE performances and define 5G
1.4. LTE technology increasingly widespreading, subscriber growth in its full swing in emerging countries
1.5. LTE upgrades allowed new services…
1.6. … evolving towards a shift in focus from data allowance to customised products incorporating QoS
1.7. 5G: transformation for all
2. 5G – Expected in 2020-2021, mainstream in 2024
2.1. 5G expected in 2018-2019 in the USA and Asia, 2020 in Europe at the earliest with a few exceptions
2.2. 5G roadmap in Europe
2.3. More than 100 5G trials in « large » Europe so far
2.4. USA at the 5G forefront, the 5G race between the 2 leaders
2.5. 5G mainstream in 2024
2.6. 5G widespread technology enablers
2.7. Operators still cautious on 5G business model
3. More spectrum for LTE upgrades and 5G : Spectrum, the lifeblood for mobile networks
3.1. Operation in multiple frequency bands is key in LTE
3.2. All frequency bands harnessed for LTE and potentially 5G, below 6 GHz
3.3. All frequency bands harnessed for 5G, above 6 GHz: focus on medium
3.4. Potential 5G bands worldwide in the 20-45 GHz range, waiting for WRC-19
3.5. The spectrum burden, another cloud in the 5G business model?
3.6. The 3.5 GHz spectrum auctions wave has begun – mmwaves in sight
3.7 Announced Auctions for 5G/NR
Glossary
List of Tables and Figures
Key points
• From mobile voice to mobile everywhere
1. LTE global success
• LTE subscriptions distribution (Q4 2018 – Q4 2021)
• Breakdown of mobile customers by country and technology, end-2016
• China Mobile & China Telecom LTE capex and LTE coverage
• Outdoor LTE coverage
• Gigabit LTE players and Fastest peak DL speeds announced
• MNOs ranking by subscriber numbers, end 2018
• Subscriber numbers in leading countries
• 5G usage scenarios
• Launch cycle for unlimited plans
• 5G Performance Objectives
2. 5G
• 5G timeline
• 5G roadmap in Europe
• More than 100 5G trials in « large » Europe so far
• 2.4. USA at the 5G forefront, the 5G race between the 2 leaders
• 5G subscribers by region in 2025
• 5G subscribers forecasts
• 5G widespread technology enablers
• Three scenarions for 5G monetisation, MNO’s view
3. More spectrum for LTE upgrades and 5G
• IMT bands, below 6 GHz
• IMT bands, above 6 GHz
• Potential 5G bands worldwide in the 20-45 GHz range
• Price of premium licences/spectrum per MHz per pop., for 10 years
• Price of 700 MHz licences/spectrum per MHz per pop., for 10 years
• Price of 3.4-3.8 GHz spectrum per MHz per pop., for 10 years
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