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World Copper to 2019

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Date: 30-Apr-2015
No. of pages: 377
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World demand to rise 4.7% annually through 2019

Worldwide demand for copper metal (produced from refined copper and recycled scrap) is projected to advance 4.7 percent per year to 37.2 million metric tons in 2019. Robust gains in building construction expenditures are expected to boost the use of copper wire, tube, and other mill products in applications such as building wire, plumbing, and architecture. Increased infrastructure investment, particularly in developing countries, will further benefit copper suppliers, as updates to national power grids drive the production of wire and cable. In addition, advances in global manufacturing output are expected to bolster the use of copper metal in industrial machinery, domestic appliances, and other durable goods. Nevertheless, competition from competitive materials, such as plastic pipe in plumbing applications, will restrain faster overall growth.

Production of refined copper to accelerate

Global production of refined copper is forecast to expand 4.6 percent per year to 29.1 million metric tons in 2019. The Asia/Pacific region is expected to see the fastest annual gains, led by increased output in China and India. Electrolytic refining of primary copper will continue to represent the primary method of production in these countries, although recycled scrap will account for a greater share of refined copper output. Downstream copper mills are also expected to increasingly employ recycled scrap as worldwide recovery methods improve. Among other areas, the Africa/Mideast region is forecast to see the fastest gains in refined copper output, particularly in countries such as Congo, where domestic mine production is expanding at a rapid rate. North America is also projected to see copper mine output grow at a strong pace, supported by major expansions in Mexico and Canada

China dominates demand, India to post fastest growth

China drives the global copper market, accounting for more than 40 percent of worldwide demand. The country’s massive building construction and electrical and electronic sectors consume huge volumes of copper in the production of electrical wire, pipe, consumer and business electronics, and telecommunications equipment. Strong domestic output of industrial machinery and household appliances further bolster copper demand in China.

India is forecast to register the strongest performance of any major copper market through 2019. Robust increases in domestic building construction, driven in part by an expanding urban population and government investment, will boost copper consumption. Advances in construction spending are also forecast to fuel copper demand in North America, particularly in the US, where building construction activity will significantly accelerate. More moderate increases in copper demand are forecast for Western Europe, where construction and manufacturing output will climb at a below average pace.

Company Profiles

Profiles 30 global players such as Aurubis, BHP Billiton, Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile, Jianxi Copper & Freeport McMoRan

Additional Information

This study analyzes the global market for copper metal, defined as the copper content of semi finished copper and copper alloy mill products, which are manufactured from refined copper and/or from directly melted scrap metal. Semi finished copper products include items that do not require further manufacturing (such as pipe). This study also covers demand for, and production of, refined copper cathode (99.99 percent copper). Electrolytic copper encompasses cathode produced from blister and anode copper, and/or recycled scrap; electrowon copper is produced via solvent extraction/electrowinning processes. Totals for mined copper production include leached ore as well as concentrates produced via conventional crushing, grinding, and concentrating methods. Net export totals for mined copper, refined copper, and copper mill products include stockpile changes.

Historical data for 2004, 2009, and 2014 and forecasts for 2019 and 2024 are provided in metric tons and current US dollars unless otherwise indicated. The term “demand” refers to “sales” or “apparent consumption” (including both merchant and captive consumption) and is defined as shipments (also referred to as “production,” “output,” or “supply”), plus imports, less exports. Tabular details may not add to totals due to independent rounding, and ratios may be rounded for the sake of clarity.

World Copper to 2019

Table of Contents

Introduction XII

I. Executive Summary 1

II. Market Environment 4
General 4
World Economic Overview 5
Recent Historical Trends 5
World Economic Outlook 6
World Population Outlook 9
World Manufacturing Outlook 11
World Construction Outlook 14
World Electrical & Electronics Sector Outlook 17
World Motor Vehicle & Parts Outlook 19
Copper Production Process 21
Mining & Smelting 23
Refining 24
Electrolytic Refining 24
Solvent Extraction/Electrowinning 24
Copper Metal Fabrication 25
Copper Recycling 26
Pricing Trends 27
Competitive Materials 29
Environmental & Regulatory Considerations 31

III. World Copper Mining 33
General 33
Reserves by Country 34
Production by Country 36
International Trade 41

IV. World Copper Supply & Demand 43
General 43
Refined Copper Overview 44
Demand by Region 44
Production by Region 47
Electrolytic 49
Primary 51
Secondary 52
Electrowon 54
International Trade & Stockpiles 55
Copper Metal Overview 57
Demand by Region 57
Scrap Utilization 61
Demand by Market 62
Building Construction 64
Electrical & Electronic 67
Transportation Equipment 70
Industrial Products 71
Consumer & Other 73
International Trade 76

V. North America 78
Economic Overview 78
Copper Supply & Demand 79
Copper Markets 81
United States 84
Canada 91
Mexico 97

VI. Western Europe 104
Economic Overview 104
Copper Supply & Demand 105
Copper Markets 108
Germany 110
Italy 117
France 122
United Kingdom 128
Spain 134
Belgium 140
Other Western Europe 145

VII. Asia/Pacific 152
Economic Overview 152
Copper Supply & Demand 153
Copper Markets 156
China 158
Japan 165
India 171
South Korea 177
Taiwan 183
Indonesia 188
Thailand 194
Other Asia/Pacific 199

VIII. Other Regions 206
Central & South America 206
Economic Overview 206
Copper Supply & Demand 207
Copper Markets 209
Brazil 211
Other Central & South America 217
Eastern Europe 223
Economic Overview 223
Copper Supply & Demand 225
Copper Markets 227
Russia 229
Poland 235
Other Eastern Europe 240
Africa/Mideast 246
Economic Overview 246
Copper Supply & Demand 247
Copper Markets 249
Turkey 251
Iran 257
Other Africa/Mideast 261

IX. Industry Structure 269
General 269
Market Composition 269
Market Share 272
Acquisitions & Divestitures 276
Cooperative Agreements 279
Exploration & Development 279
Mining 282
Refining & Mill Products 286
Production & Development 288
Company Profiles 289
Aditya Birla Minerals, see Hindalco Industries African Rainbow Minerals Limited 290
Anglo American plc 291
Antofagasta plc 294
ASARCO, see Grupo México Aurubis AG 297
Baiyin Nonferrous Group, see CITIC Group BHP Billiton Limited 300
BioSigma, see Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile and JX Holdings Boliden Group 303
CABLO Metall-Recyling & Handel, see Aurubis China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Limited 304
Chinalco Yunnan Copper Resources, see Yunnan Copper Industry Group CITIC Group Corporation 306
Codelco, see Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile Compañía Minera Antamina, see BHP Billiton and
Glencore Compañía Minera Doña Inés de Collahuasi SCM, see Anglo American, Glencore, and JX Holdings Compañía Minera Milpo SAA 308
Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile 310
Ernest Henry Mining Proprietary, see Glencore First Quantum Minerals Limited 314
Freeport-McMoRan Incorporated 317
Glencore plc 322
Gould Electronics, see JX Holdings Grupo México SAB de CV 327
Hindalco Industries Limited 332
Inmet Mining, see First Quantum Minerals Jiangxi Copper Corporation 334
Jinchuan Group Company Limited 337
Jinlong Copper, see Sumitomo Metal Mining and Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Holdings JX Holdings Incorporated 340
Kamoto Copper, see Glencore Kennecott Utah Copper, see Rio Tinto Group KGHM Polska Miedz SA 345
Kobelco & Materials Copper Tube, see Mitsubishi Materials LS-Nikko Copper Incorporated 348
Lumina Copper, see First Quantum Minerals Minera Escondida Limitada, see BHP Billiton, JX Holdings, Mitsubishi Materials, and Rio Tinto Group Mining and Metallurgical Company Norilsk Nickel 350
Minmetals Jiangxi Copper Mining Investment, see Jiangxi Copper Mitsubishi Materials Corporation 353
Mutanda Mining Sarl, see Glencore National Iranian Copper Industries Company 357
Northparkes Mines, see Sumitomo Metal Mining Oyu Tolgoi, see Rio Tinto Group Pan Pacific Copper, see JX Holdings Philippine Associated Smelting and Refining, see Glencore PolyMet Mining, see Glencore
PT Newmont Nusa Tenggara 359
PT Smelting, see Freeport-McMoRan, JX Holdings, and Mitsubishi Materials Resolution Copper Mining, see BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto Group Rio Tinto Group 360
Sable Zinc Kabwe, see Glencore Schwermetall Halbzeugwerk, see Aurubis Sesa Sterlite, see Vedanta Resources SH Copper Products, see Sumitomo Metal Mining Southern Copper, see Grupo México Sumitomo Metal Mining Company Limited 364
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Holdings Company Limited 368
Ural Mining and Metallurgical Company 371
Vedanta Resources plc 372
Xiangguang Copper Company Limited 374
Xstrata, see Glencore Yunnan Copper Industry Group Company Limited 375

List of Tables

Section I -- Executive Summary
Summary Table 3

Section II -- Market Environment
1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region 9
2 World Population by Region 11
3 World Manufacturing Value Added by Region 14
4 World Construction Expenditures by Type & Region 17
5 World Electrical & Electronic Equipment Manufacturing Value Added by Region 19
6 World Motor Vehicle & Parts Manufacturing Value Added by Region 21

Section III -- World Copper Mining
1 World Copper Ore Reserves by Country, 2014 35
2 World Copper Mine Production by Country 36
3 World Copper Mine Net Exports by Region 42

Section IV -- World Copper Supply & Demand
1 World Refined Copper Demand by Region 46
2 World Refined Copper Production by Method & Region 48
3 World Production of Electrolytic Refined Copper by Source & Region 51
4 World Production of Electrolytic Refined Copper from Primary Sources by Region 52
5 World Production of Electrolytic Refined Copper from Secondary Sources by Region 54
6 World Production of Electrowon Refined Copper by Region 55
7 World Net Exports of Refined Copper by Region 57
8 World Copper Metal Demand by Product & Region 60
9 World Scrap Use in Copper Mills by Region 62
10 World Copper Metal Demand by Market 63
11 World Building Construction Market for Copper by Application & Region 67
12 World Electrical & Electronic Market for Copper by Application & Region 69
13 World Transportation Equipment Market for Copper by Application & Region 71
14 World Industrial Product Market for Copper by Application & Region 73
15 World Consumer & Other Markets for Copper by Application & Region 75
16 World Net Exports of Copper Mill Products by Region 76

Section V -- North America
1 North America: Copper Supply & Demand 81
2 North America: Copper Demand by Market 83
3 United States: Copper Supply & Demand 88
4 United States: Copper Demand by Market 91
5 Canada: Copper Supply & Demand 95
6 Canada: Copper Demand by Market 97
7 Mexico: Copper Supply & Demand 101
8 Mexico: Copper Demand by Market 103

Section VI -- Western Europe
1 Western Europe: Copper Supply & Demand 107
2 Western Europe: Copper Demand by Market 109
3 Germany: Copper Supply & Demand 114
4 Germany: Copper Demand by Market 116
5 Italy: Copper Supply & Demand 120
6 Italy: Copper Demand by Market 122
7 France: Copper Supply & Demand 126
8 France: Copper Demand by Market 128
9 United Kingdom: Copper Supply & Demand 131
10 United Kingdom: Copper Demand by Market 133
11 Spain: Copper Supply & Demand 137
12 Spain: Copper Demand by Market 139
13 Belgium: Copper Supply & Demand 143
14 Belgium: Copper Demand by Market 145
15 Other Western Europe: Copper Supply & Demand 149
16 Other Western Europe: Copper Demand by Market 151

Section VII -- Asia/Pacific
1 Asia/Pacific: Copper Supply & Demand 155
2 Asia/Pacific: Copper Demand by Market 157
3 China: Copper Supply & Demand 162
4 China: Copper Demand by Market 165
5 Japan: Copper Supply & Demand 169
6 Japan: Copper Demand by Market 171
7 India: Copper Supply & Demand 175
8 India: Copper Demand by Market 177
9 South Korea: Copper Supply & Demand 180
10 South Korea: Copper Demand by Market 183
11 Taiwan: Copper Supply & Demand 186
12 Taiwan: Copper Demand by Market 188
13 Indonesia: Copper Supply & Demand 192
14 Indonesia: Copper Demand by Market 194
15 Thailand: Copper Supply & Demand 197
16 Thailand: Copper Demand by Market 199
17 Other Asia/Pacific: Copper Supply & Demand 203
18 Other Asia/Pacific: Copper Demand by Market 205

Section VIII -- Other Regions
1 Central & South America: Copper Supply & Demand 209
2 Central & South America: Copper Demand by Market 211
3 Brazil: Copper Supply & Demand 215
4 Brazil: Copper Demand by Market 217
5 Other Central & South America: Copper Supply & Demand 221
6 Other Central & South America: Copper Demand by Market 223
7 Eastern Europe: Copper Supply & Demand 227
8 Eastern Europe: Copper Demand by Market 229
9 Russia: Copper Supply & Demand 233
10 Russia: Copper Demand by Market 235
11 Poland: Copper Supply & Demand 238
12 Poland: Copper Demand by Market 240
13 Other Eastern Europe: Copper Supply & Demand 243
14 Other Eastern Europe: Copper Demand by Market 245
15 Africa/Mideast: Copper Supply & Demand 249
16 Africa/Mideast: Copper Demand by Market 251
17 Turkey: Copper Supply & Demand 254
18 Turkey: Copper Demand by Market 256
19 Iran: Copper Supply & Demand 259
20 Iran: Copper Demand by Market 261
21 Other Africa/Mideast: Copper Supply & Demand 266
22 Other Africa/Mideast: Copper Demand by Market 268

Section IX -- Industry Structure
1 World Refined Copper Sales by Company, 2014 271
2 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures 277
3 Selected Cooperative Agreements for Exploration & Development 280
4 Selected Cooperative Agreements for Copper Mining 283
5 Selected Cooperative Agreements for Copper Refining & Milling 286

List of Charts

Section II -- Market Environment
1 Copper Production & Refining Process 22
2 World Copper Metal Price, 2004-2014 29

Section III -- World Copper Mining
1 World Copper Mine Production by Country, 2014 37

Section IV -- World Copper Supply & Demand
1 World Refined Copper Demand by Region, 2014 46
2 World Refined Copper Production by Method & Region, 2014 49
3 World Copper Metal Demand by Region, 2014 61
4 World Copper Metal Demand by Market, 2014 64
5 World Copper Net Exports by Type & Region, 2014 77

Section V -- North America
1 North America: Copper Metal Demand by Country, 2014 84

Section VI -- Western Europe
1 Western Europe: Copper Metal Demand by Country, 2014 110

Section VII -- Asia/Pacific
1 Asia/Pacific: Copper Metal Demand by Country, 2014 158

Section IX -- Industry Structure
1 World Refined Copper Market Share, 2014 272

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