The Western Europe telecoms market: interim forecast update 2015–2020
Table of Contents
4. Executive summary and regional forecasts
5. Telecoms retail revenue in Western Europe will continue to decline, but at a slower pace than previously expected
6. Growth in handset data and fixed broadband revenue will be outpaced by a decline in fixed and mobile voice services
7. Smartphones and LTE: 78% of handsets in Western Europe will be LTE smartphones by 2020
8. Key regional changes since our previous forecast
9. Forecast revision: Revenue will continue to decline, despite a more positive outlook in fixed broadband and handset data services
10. Individual country forecasts
11. France: Telecoms service revenue is almost unchanged as higher data revenue will be offset by faster mobile voice revenue decline
12. Germany: Mobile revenue will return to growth as convergence discounts disappear and operators monetise 4G usage
13. Italy: Telecoms service revenue will decline slower thanks to faster handset data and fixed broadband revenue growth
14. Spain: There will be faster revenue stabilisation due to LTE, driven by growth in data usage and increasing fixed broadband revenue
15. United Kingdom: Total service revenue will decline more slowly than expected, boosted by faster growth in fixed broadband
16. About the authors and Analysys Mason
17. About the authors
18. About Analysys Mason
List of Figures
Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Western Europe, 2010–2020
Figure 2: Telecoms retail revenue growth by service type, Western Europe, 2014–2020
Figure 3: Smartphones as a percentage of handsets, and LTE’s share of total connections (excluding M2M), Western Europe, 2014 and 2020
Figure 4: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast for Western Europe
Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue, previous and new forecasts, Western Europe, 2014 and 2020
Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Western Europe, 2014–2020
Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, Western Europe, 2014–2020
Figure 8: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, France, 2010–2020
Figure 9: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, France
Figure 10: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Germany, 2010–2020
Figure 11: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Germany
Figure 12: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Italy, 2010–20204
Figure 13: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Italy
Figure 14: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Spain, 2010–2020
Figure 15: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Spain
Figure 16: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, UK, 2010–2020
Figure 17: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, UK
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