The FTTx in emerging Asia–Pacific: trends and forecasts 2015–2020
Table of Contents
6.Executive summary
7.Worldwide trends
8.Worldwide: By 2020, over half the world will have access to FTTx or cable, which will make up 80% of broadband connections
9.Worldwide: Investment in FTTP will peak in 2015, and follow different paths in developed and emerging economies
10.Worldwide: Interest in copper acceleration is strong in Europe, but much of the rest of the world is going straight to FTTP
11.Worldwide: Older, purely cost-based, models are giving way to newer thinking about the optimal use of capital resources
12.Worldwide: The service use case for FTTx is compelling, and the multi-service use case for FTTP will shape technology strategy
13.Worldwide: Interest in FTTx is growing in emerging economies
14.Worldwide: Conversion rates for fibre-based access are improving, and forced migration from legacy access is increasing
15.Regional trends
16.Emerging Asia–Pacific: The success of centralised state planning leaves new entrants with difficult choices
17.Emerging Asia–Pacific: The major national schemes for NGA conversion have enviable take-up rates
18.Country-level trends
19.China: There are few signs of slowdown in the supply of fixed NGA to the Chinese domestic market
20.India: NGA coverage remains very low, and there is little impetus for change
21.Indonesia: The ambition of Telkom’s FTTx roll-out makes competition difficult
22.Malaysia: HSBB is proof-of-concept for middle-income FTTx
23.Philippines: TD-LTE is paving the way for FTTP
24.Thailand: Leading operators are looking to fibre as a new source of revenue and as a way to boost postpaid penetration
25.Forecast methodology and assumptions
26.Forecast methodology and assumptions
27.Methodology for coverage and conversion
28.Methodology for capex
29.About the author and Analysys Mason
30.About the author
31.About Analysys Mason
List of Figures
Figure 1: NGA premises passed by technology, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
Figure 2: Active NGA connections, by technology, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
Figure 3: Conversion rates for NGA overall, and FTTP and FTTx, worldwide, 2011–2020
Figure 4: NGA coverage by technology, worldwide, 2011–2020
Figure 5: Fixed broadband active connections, by technology, and NGA’s share of connections, worldwide, 2011–2020
Figure 6: FTTx capex by market type, and availability and affordability of NGA, worldwide, 2013–2020
Figure 7: Incumbent operator FTTC or FTTB coverage, by region, 2015 and 2020
Figure 8: Cost of deploying FTTx by centile, new and old cost models (illustrative)
Figure 9: Bandwidth consumed by pixel resolution and type of MPEG-4 compression
Figure 10: Emerging economies’ shares of worldwide FTTx premises passed and connected, and emerging economies’ FTTx coverage, 2011–2015
Figure 11: Conversion rates for NGA by technology, worldwide, 2011–2015
Figure 12: FTTx net additions by technology, worldwide, 2011–2015
Figure 13: NGA coverage by technology, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
Figure 14: FTTx capex by technology, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
Figure 15: Active connections per premises, by technology, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
Figure 16: Conversion rates for NGA overall, and FTTP and FTTx , emerging Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
Figure 17: FTTx premises passed and connected, conversion rates, China, 2014–2020
Figure 18: FTTx connections and coverage, China, 2013–2020
Figure 19: FTTx connections and coverage, India, 2013–2020
Figure 20: FTTx connections and coverage, Indonesia, 2013–2020
Figure 21: FTTx connections and coverage, Malaysia, 2013–2020
Figure 22: FTTx connections and coverage, Philippines, 2013–2020
Figure 23: FTTx connections and coverage, Thailand, 2013–2020
Figure 24: Regional breakdown used in this report
Figure 25: Coverage and conversion model outline
Figure 26: Capex model outline
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