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The Fixed services in the Middle East and North Africa: trends and forecasts 2017–2022 based on 2Q 2017 data

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Date: 21-Mar-2018
No. of pages: 13
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"The telecoms service market in the Middle East and North Africa will grow at a modest 0.7% over the next 5 years, from USD69.5 billion in 2017 to USD72.1 billion in 2022."

Favourable demographic trends, coupled with continued investment in fixed infrastructure, will underpin robust growth in fixed broadband services in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Total fixed revenue growth will gradually slow down over the forecast period, however, due to the accelerating decline in fixed voice service revenue.

This report provides:


  • a 5-year forecast of 44 fixed KPIs for the MENA region as a whole and for six key countries

  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries

  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries

  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.


Geographical coverage

Countries analysed in this report:


  • Iran

  • Kuwait

  • Oman

  • Qatar

  • Saudi Arabia

  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)


Data coverage


  • Fixed connections


    • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up

    • Narrowband voice, VoBB

    • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other



  • Fixed revenue


    • Service revenue, retail revenue

    • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS

    • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other



  • Fixed voice traffic


    • Outgoing minutes, MoU



The Fixed services in the Middle East and North Africa: trends and forecasts 2017–2022 based on 2Q 2017 data

Table of Contents

5.Executive summary
6.The telecoms service market in MENA will grow to USD72.1 billion in 2022, amidst increased competition and challenging operating conditions
7.Worldwide trends
8.Worldwide: fixed revenue growth will stagnate during the forecast period due to market saturation
9.Regional trends
10.The total revenue increase will continue, but growth will slow over the forecast period
11.Fixed: broadband market penetration will grow in most countries driven by demand and new infrastructure investments
12.Fixed: broadband penetration will grow in all modelled countries, supported by competition and national broadband plans
13.Fixed: speed upgrades and increased penetration of fibre services will help to maintain broadband a high average revenue per line
14.Fixed: the broadband market will grow steadily, while voice revenue will decline due to reduced usage and mobile competition
15.Country-level trends
16.Iran: investment in fixed broadband infrastructure will underpin revenue growth
17.Kuwait: the fixed market is in need of liberalisation to support infrastructure investment and improve broadband penetration
18.Oman: fibre connections will grow strongly during the forecast period thanks to an ambitious national broadband plan
19.Qatar: bundled offerings will help to drive further demand for
fixed voice and broadband services
20.Saudi Arabia: the number of fixed voice and broadband connections will increase during the forecast period
21.UAE: fixed broadband connections will grow at a stable pace, underpinned by investment in infrastructure
22.About the author and Analysys Mason
23.About the author
24.About Analysys Mason
25.Research from Analysys Mason
Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of Figures:

Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 2: Fixed service revenue by location, Middle East and North Africa and worldwide, 2012–2022
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue by fixed service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2016–2022
Figure 5: Connections by type, and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2016–2022
Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2012–2022
Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Middle East and North Africa (USD billion), 2012–2022
Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 9: Fixed Internet traffic per broadband connection, Middle East and North Africa (MB per month), 2012–2022
Figure 10a: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 10b: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 11a: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 11b: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2012–2022
Figure 12: Fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Iran (IRR thousand per month), 2012–2022
Figure 13: Broadband connections by technology, Iran (million), 2012–2022
Figure 14: Fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Kuwait (KWD per month), 2012–2022
Figure 15: Broadband connections by technology, Kuwait (million), 2012–2022
Figure 16: Fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Oman (OMR per month), 2012–2022
Figure 17: Broadband connections by technology, Oman (million), 2012–2022
Figure 18: Fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Qatar (QAR per month), 2012–2022
Figure 19: Broadband connections by technology, Qatar (million), 2012–2022
Figure 20: Fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Saudi Arabia (SAR per month), 2012–2022
Figure 21: Broadband connections by technology, Saudi Arabia (million), 2012–2022
Figure 22: Fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, UAE (AED per month), 2012–2022
Figure 23: Broadband connections by technology, UAE (million), 2012–2022

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