The Emerging Asia–Pacific telecoms market: interim forecast update 2014–2019
Table of Contents
5.Executive summary
6.The telecoms revenue mix is changing significantly as mobile voice peaks and handset data and broadband become the main growth drivers
7.Fixed and mobile broadband services – on handsets and non-handset devices – offer the highest revenue growth opportunities through 2019
8.Smartphones and LTE will account for 55% and 27% of handsets and mobile connections (excluding M2M) respectively in the region in 2019
9.Key regional changes since our previous forecast: We have revised service revenue down slightly, driven by mobile services
10.Forecast revision: Mobile voice and messaging revenue has been revised down significantly, with China driving this change
11.Individual country forecasts
12.Bangladesh: A switch from WiMAX to LTE services will drive a decline in fixed broadband connections through 2019
13.China: Handset mobile data and fixed broadband revenue will continue to grow strongly, and MVNOs are entering the market
14.India: Growth in mobile handset connections slowed slightly, but ARPU and voice traffic per user are better than expected
15.Indonesia: Mobile messaging revenue revised down as smartphone take-up increases; fixed wireless decline driving voice market down
16.Malaysia: The mobile market is approaching saturation faster than previously expected
17.Pakistan: 3G launches drive adoption of mobile broadband and smartphones, but SIM verification undermines overall figures
18.Thailand: Methodology changes and a worsening outlook for mobile voice services have resulted in reductions to the forecast
19.Vietnam: Increasing 3G adoption and smartphone affordability will drive continued growth in the mobile handset market
20.About the authors and Analysys Mason
21.About the authors
22.About Analysys Mason
List of Figures
Figure 1: Summary of report coverage
Figure 2: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2009–2019
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue growth by service type, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2019
Figure 4: Smartphones as a percentage of handsets, and LTE’s share of total connections (excluding M2M), emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013 and 2019
Figure 5: Summary of major changes compared with our July 2014 forecast for emerging Asia–Pacific
Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue, previous and new forecasts, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013 and 2019
Figure 7: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2019
Figure 8: Connections by type, and growth rates, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2019
Figure 9: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Bangladesh, 2009–2019
Figure 10: Summary of KPI changes, Bangladesh
Figure 11: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, China, 2009–2019
Figure 12: Summary of KPI changes, China
Figure 13: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, India, 2009–2019
Figure 14: Summary of KPI changes, India
Figure 15: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Indonesia, 2009–2019
Figure 16: Summary of KPI changes, Indonesia
Figure 17: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Malaysia, 2009–2019
Figure 18: Summary of KPI changes, Malaysia
Figure 19: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Pakistan, 2009–2019
Figure 20: Summary of KPI changes, Pakistan
Figure 21: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Thailand, 2009–2019
Figure 22: Summary of KPI changes, Thailand
Figure 23: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Vietnam, 2009–2019
Figure 24: Summary of KPI changes, Vietnam
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