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Global Construction Outlook 2021

Publisher Name :
Date: 30-Apr-2017
No. of pages: 84

Synopsis

This report provides a detailed analysis of the prospects for the global construction industry up to 2021.

Informed by proprietary research from Timetric's construction analysts, the report includes an assessment of the impact of underlying growth trends in the global economy on the construction industry.

In addition, it contains regional outlooks and profiles of the leading 50 individual countries, highlighting opportunities for growth and the potential risks for participants in these markets

Summary

The pace of expansion in the global construction industry steadied in 2016, standing at 2.4%, but there will be an improvement in the next five years, with growth averaging 2.8%. The pick-up will reflect trends in the wider economy; in 2017-2021, the world economy is set to expand by close to 3% per year on average.

However, there a number of key risks; most notable is how the Chinese authorities will rein in credit growth and manage the ensuing economic slowdown, and how investors in advanced economies will respond to the shift towards monetary policy normalization, particularly in view of the likely pick-up in inflation as commodity prices bounce back.

In real value terms (measured at constant 2010 US$ exchange rates), global construction output reached US$8.8 trillion in 2016 - up from US$7.9 trillion in 2012 - and will stand at US$10.1 trillion in 2021. The value of construction activity in the emerging world (at real 2010 US$ exchange rates) surpassed that of advanced economies in 2014, and this difference will continue to widen. In 2012, emerging markets accounted for 46.7% of global output - a share that will rise to 52.8% by 2021. Asia-Pacific will continue to account for the largest share of the global construction industry, given that it includes the large markets of China, Japan and India.

However, the pace of growth will slow, given the relative sluggishness in China's construction industry, the expansion of which will be undermined by the glut of new residential property. The emerging markets of Southeast Asia will invest heavily in new infrastructure projects, supported by private investment.

Scope


  • An overview of the global economic outlook to 2021

  • Analysis of the outlook for the construction industry in six major global regions: North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia-Pacific and the Middle East and Africa

  • A comprehensive benchmarking of 50 leading construction markets according to construction market value and economic growth

  • Comparative global rankings for construction output. This includes data on the ranking change and average percentage change for construction output for the review period (2012 to 2016), in addition to projections for the forecast period (2017 to 2021)

  • A review of global construction risk in five key parameters: market risk, operating risk, economic risk, financial risk and political risk

  • Concise profiles of the 50 leading construction markets, providing highlights of market growth forecasts and focus points


Reasons To Buy


  • Determine competitive risk based on insights from Timetric's Construction Risk Index and realign business strategy, while being aware of any potential barriers to expansion plans.

  • Evaluate regional construction trends from insight on output values and forecast data to 2021. Identify the fastest growers to enable assessment and targeting of commercial opportunities in the markets best suited to strategic focus.

  • Identify the drivers in the global construction market and consider growth in emerging and developed economies. Formulate plans on where and how to engage with the market while minimizing any negative impact on revenues.


Key Highlights


  • What value will the global construction industry attain in 2021?

  • How much of global output was accounted for by emerging markets in 2016, and how is this share anticipated to rise by 2021?

  • Which region will continue to account for the largest share of the global construction industry?

  • Which emerging markets will have the fastest growing construction industries over the next five years?

  • Which countries present the highest levels of risk in terms of the expansion in construction activity?

Global Construction Outlook 2021

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Economic Outlook
2.1. Solid growth in the global economy
2.2. Risks abound for emerging markets

3. Global Construction Outlook
3.1. Ongoing Recovery
3.2. North America
3.3. Western Europe
3.4. Eastern Europe
3.5. Asia-Pacific
3.6. Middle East and Africa
3.7. Latin America

4. Global Construction Risk Review
4.1. Highlights
4.2. Market Risk
4.3. Operating Risk
4.4. Economic Risk
4.5. Financial Risk
4.6. Political Risk
4.7. CRI Methodology Brief

5. Asia-Pacific
5.1. Australia
5.2. China
5.3. Hong Kong
5.4. India
5.5. Indonesia
5.6. Japan
5.7. Malaysia
5.8. The Philippines
5.9. Singapore
5.10. South Korea
5.11. Thailand
5.12. Vietnam

6. Western Europe
6.1. Austria
6.2. Belgium
6.3. Denmark
6.4. Finland
6.5. France
6.6. Germany
6.7. Greece
6.8. Ireland
6.9. Italy
6.10. The Netherlands
6.11. Portugal
6.12. Spain
6.13. Sweden
6.14. Switzerland
6.15. The UK

7. Eastern Europe
7.1. The Czech Republic
7.2. Hungary
7.3. Poland
7.4. Romania
7.5. Russia
7.6. Turkey

8. North America
8.1. Canada
8.2. The US

9. Latin America
9.1. Argentina
9.2. Brazil
9.3. Chile
9.4. Colombia
9.5. Mexico
9.6. Peru
9.7. Venezuela

10. The Middle East and Africa
10.1. Algeria
10.2. Egypt
10.3. Morocco
10.4. Nigeria
10.5. Qatar
10.6. Saudi Arabia
10.7. South Africa
10.8. The UAE

11. Appendix
11.1. About The Construction Intelligence Center
11.2. Disclaimer
11.3. Main Sources of Data

List of Tables

Table 1: North America - Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)
Table 2: Western Europe - Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)
Table 3: Eastern Europe - Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)
Table 4: Asia-Pacific - Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)
Table 5: Middle East and Africa - Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)
Table 6: Latin America - Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion)
Table 7: Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion), Global Ranking by Value
Table 8: Construction Risk Index, Q1 2017
Table 9: Australia - Key Indicators
Table 10: China - Key Indicators
Table 11: Hong Kong - Key Indicators
Table 12: India - Key Indicators
Table 13: Indonesia - Key Indicators
Table 14: Japan - Key Indicators
Table 15: Malaysia - Key Indicators
Table 16: Philippines - Key Indicators
Table 17: Singapore - Key Indicators
Table 18: South Korea - Key Indicators
Table 19: Thailand - Key Indicators
Table 20: Vietnam - Key Indicators
Table 21: Austria - Key Indicators
Table 22: Belgium - Key Indicators
Table 23: Denmark - Key Indicators
Table 24: Finland - Key Indicators
Table 25: France - Key Indicators
Table 26: Germany - Key Indicators
Table 27: Greece - Key Indicators
Table 28: Ireland - Key Indicators
Table 29: Italy - Key Indicators
Table 30: The Netherlands - Key Indicators
Table 31: Portugal - Key Indicators
Table 32: Spain - Key Indicators
Table 33: Sweden - Key Indicators
Table 34: Switzerland - Key Indicators
Table 35: The UK - Key Indicators
Table 36: The Czech Republic - Key Indicators
Table 37: Hungary - Key Indicators
Table 38: Poland - Key Indicators
Table 39: Romania - Key Indicators
Table 40: Russia - Key Indicators
Table 41: Turkey - Key Indicators
Table 42: Canada - Key Indicators
Table 43: US - Key Indicators
Table 44: Argentina - Key Indicators
Table 45: Brazil - Key Indicators
Table 46: Chile - Key Indicators
Table 47: Colombia - Key Indicators
Table 48: Mexico - Key Indicators
Table 49: Peru - Key Indicators
Table 50: Venezuela - Key Indicators
Table 51: Algeria - Key Indicators
Table 52: Egypt - Key Indicators
Table 53: Morocco - Key Indicators
Table 54: Nigeria - Key Indicators
Table 55: Qatar - Key Indicators
Table 56: Saudi Arabia - Key Indicators
Table 57: South Africa - Key Indicators
Table 58: The UAE - Key Indicators
Table 59: Main sources of data

List of Figures

Figure 1: North America, Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007-2020
Figure 2: Eastern Europe Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007-2020
Figure 3: Western Europe Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007-2020
Figure 4: Middle East and Africa Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007-2020
Figure 5: Asia-Pacific Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 6: Latin America Construction Output Value (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007-2020
Figure 7: Global Economic Growth, 2010-2021
Figure 8: Construction Output (2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 9: Construction Output Growth, 2012-2016 and 2017-2021
Figure 10: Construction Output (average% change, 2012-2016)
Figure 11: Construction Output (average% change, 2017-2021)
Figure 12: Global Risk Review
Figure 13: Regional Risk, Q1 2017
Figure 14: Australia - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 15: China - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 16: Hong Kong - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 17: India - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 18: Indonesia - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 19: Japan - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 20: Malaysia - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007-2020
Figure 21: Philippines - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 22: Singapore - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 23: South Korea - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 24: Thailand - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 25: Vietnam - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 26: Austria - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 27: Belgium - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 28: Denmark - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 29: Finland - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 30: France - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 31: Germany - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 32: Greece - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 33: Ireland - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 34: Italy - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007-2020
Figure 35: The Netherlands - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 36: Portugal— Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 37: Spain - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 38: Sweden - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 39: Switzerland - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 40: The UK - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 41: The Czech Republic - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 42: Hungary - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 43: Poland - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 44: Romania - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 45: Russia - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 46: Turkey - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 47: Canada - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 48: US - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 49: Argentina - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 50: Brazil - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 51: Chile - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 52: Colombia - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 53: Mexico - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 54: Peru - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 55: Venezuela - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2007-2020
Figure 56: Algeria - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 57: Egypt - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 58: Morocco - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 59: Nigeria - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 60: Qatar - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 61: Saudi Arabia - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 62: South Africa - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021
Figure 63: The UAE - Construction Output (Real 2010 US$ Billion), 2010-2021

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