Future of the South Korean Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Future of the South Korean Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Table of Contents

1. Introduction 10
1.1. What is this Report About? 10
1.2. Definitions 10
1.3. Summary Methodology 12
1.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence 13
2. Executive Summary 14
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 17
3.1. Current Market Scenario 18
3.1.1. Primary threat perception 18
3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy 19
3.1.3. Military Fleet Size 21
3.2. Procurement Programs 25
3.2.1. Ongoing procurement programs 25
3.2.2. Future procurement programs 27
3.2.3. Top Procurement Programs By Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 29
3.2.4. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects 30
3.2.5. Political & Strategic Alliances 31
3.3. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 32
3.3.1. South Korean defense expenditure expected to grow significantly during the forecast period 32
3.3.2. Nuclear threats from North Korea, acquisition of new technology, and reduction in reliance on imports set to drive defense expenditure 34
3.3.3. Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to remain at the same levels during the forecast period 35
3.4. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 37
3.4.1. Capital expenditure share to increase over the next five years 37
3.4.2. Capital expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.85% over the forecast period 39
3.4.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period 41
3.5. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 42
3.5.1. Homeland security (HLS) expenditure expected to grow steadily during the forecast period 42
3.5.2. The majority of terror threats are from North Korea 44
3.5.3. South Korea faces some threat from foreign terrorist organizations 45
3.5.4. South Korea faces some level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations 46
3.5.5. South Korea has a terrorism index score of 0.2 48
3.6. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 49
3.6.1. South Korean defense expenditure expected to remain modest compared to leading spenders 49
3.6.2. South Korea military expenditure is limited compared to the leading countries worldwide 51
3.6.3. South Korea allocates a significant percentage of GDP towards defense 52
3.7. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 53
3.7.1. Top 10 Defense market sectors by value (US$ Million) - Projections over period 2018-2023 53
3.7.2. Fighters & Multi-Role Aircraft 54
3.7.3. Fighters and Multi-Role Aircraft MRO 56
3.7.4. Military IT- Networking 57
3.7.5. Infrastructure Construction 58
3.7.6. Attack Helicopters 59
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 60
4.1. Import Market Dynamics 62
4.1.1. Defense imports expected to decrease during the forecast period 62
4.1.2. The US dominated South Korean defense imports during the historic period 63
4.1.3. Aircraft were the major defense imports during 2012-2016 64
4.2. Export Market Dynamics 65
4.2.1. Defense exports grew considerably during the historic period 65
4.2.2. Turkey dominated the South Korean defense export market during the historic period 66
4.2.3. Artillery accounts for the major defense exports during 2012-2016 67
5. Industry Dynamics 68
5.1. Five Forces Analysis 68
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to medium 69
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium to High 69
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium 69
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Medium 69
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: High 69
6. Market Entry Strategy 70
6.1. Market Regulation 70
6.1.1. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry 70
6.1.2. FDI in the defense sector to become less complicated 71
6.2. Market Entry Route 72
6.2.1. Budgeting process 72
6.2.2. Procurement policy & process 74
6.2.3. Technology transfer provides good market entry opportunities 74
6.2.4. Research and development collaborations offer market access 74
6.2.5. Joint ventures and licensing agreements open new market entry strategy choices 75
6.3. Key Challenges 76
6.3.1. Intense Emphasis on Technology Transfer 76
6.3.2. Industrial disputes and rigidity of labor market deter investment 76
7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 77
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 77
7.2. Key Public Sector Companies 79
7.2.1. Korea Aerospace Industries: overview 79
7.2.2. Korea Aerospace Industries: Major Products and Services 79
7.2.3. Korea Aerospace Industries: recent announcements and strategic initiatives 80
7.2.4. Korea Aerospace Industries: alliances 81
7.2.5. Korea Aerospace Industries: recent contract wins 82
7.2.6. Korea Aerospace Industries: financial analysis 84
7.2.7. Hanwha Techwin America: overview 86
7.2.8. Hanwha Techwin: Major Products 86
7.2.9. Hanwha Techwin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives: 87
7.2.10. Hanwha Techwin: Alliances 88
7.2.11. Hanwha Techwin: Recent Contract Wins 89
7.2.12. Hanwha Corporation: overview 90
7.2.13. Hanwha Corporation: Major products 90
7.2.14. Hanwha Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives 91
7.2.15. Hanwha Corporation: alliances 92
7.2.16. Hanwha Corporation: recent contract wins 92
7.2.17. Hanwha Corporation: Financial Analysis 93
7.2.18. Hyundai Heavy Industries: overview 95
7.2.19. Hyundai Heavy Industries: products 95
7.2.20. Hyundai Heavy Industries: recent announcements and strategic initiatives 95
7.2.21. Hyundai Heavy Industries: alliances 96
7.2.22. Hyundai Heavy Industries: recent contract wins 97
7.2.23. Hyundai Heavy Industries: Financial Analysis 98
7.2.24. Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering: overview 100
7.2.25. Daewoo Shipbuilding: products 100
7.2.26. Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering (DSME): recent announcements and strategic initiatives. 100
7.2.27. Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering: alliances 101
7.2.28. Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering: recent contract wins 101
7.2.29. Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering: Financial Analysis 103
7.2.30. Huneed Technologies: overview 105
7.2.31. Huneed Technologies: products and services 105
7.2.32. Huneed Technologies: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 106
7.2.33. Huneed Technologies: Alliances 106
7.2.34. Huneed Technologies: recent contract wins 108
7.2.35. STX Engine: overview 109
7.2.36. STX Engine: products and services 109
7.2.37. STX Engine recent announcements and strategic initiatives 110
7.2.38. STX Engine: alliances 111
7.2.39. STX Engine: recent contract wins 112
7.2.40. STX Engine: Financial Analysis 113
7.2.41. S&T Dynamics overview 115
7.2.42. S&T Dynamics: products 115
7.2.43. S&T Dynamics: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 116
7.2.44. S&T Dynamics: Recent Contract Wins 116
7.2.45. S&T Dynamics: Financial Analysis 117
7.2.46. Poongsan Corporation: overview 119
7.2.47. Poongsan: products 119
7.2.48. Poongsan Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives 120
7.2.49. Poongsan Corporation: alliances 120
7.2.50. Poongsan Corporation: recent contract wins 120
7.2.51. Poongsan Corporation: Financial Analysis 121
7.3. Key Private Sector Companies 123
7.3.1. Samsung Thales: overview 123
7.3.2. Samsung Thales: products and services 123
7.3.3. Samsung Thales: recent announcements and strategic initiatives 125
7.3.4. Samsung Thales: Alliances 125
7.3.5. Samsung Thales: Recent Contract Wins 126
7.3.6. LIG NEX1: overview 127
7.3.7. LIG NEX1: Major Products 127
7.3.8. LIG NEX1: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives 129
7.3.9. LIG NEX1: Alliances 130
7.3.10. LIG NEX1: Recent Contract Wins 130
7.3.11. Doosan DST: Overview 131
7.3.12. Doosan DST: products and services 131
7.3.13. Doosan DST: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives 132
7.3.14. Doosan DST: Recent contract wins 132
8. Business Environment and Country Risk 133
8.1. Economic Performance 133
8.1.1. GDP Per Capita 133
8.1.2. GDP, Current Prices 134
8.1.3. Export of Goods and Services (LCU Billion) 135
8.1.4. Import of Goods and Services (LCU Billion) 136
8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion) 137
8.1.6. Local Currency Unit per USD 138
8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion) 139
8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% GDP) 140
8.1.9. Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU) 141
8.1.10. Goods Exports as % of GDP 142
8.1.11. Goods Imports as % of GDP 143
8.1.12. Service Imports as % of GDP 144
8.1.13. Service Exports as % of GDP 145
8.1.14. Foreign Direct Investments 146
8.1.15. Net Foreign Direct Investments as % of GDP 147
8.1.16. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output 148
9. Appendix 149
9.1. About SDI 149
9.2. Disclaimer 149

List of Tables
Table 1: South Korean Army Strength 21
Table 2: South Korean Navy Strength 23
Table 3: South Korean Air Force Strength 24
Table 4: South Korean Ongoing Procurement Programs 25
Table 5: South Korean Future Procurement Programs 27
Table 6: Top South Korean Defense Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 29
Table 7: South Korean Defense Expenditure (KRW Trillion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 32
Table 8: South Korean GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023 35
Table 9: South Korean Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 37
Table 10: South Korean Defense Capital Expenditure (KRW Trillion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 39
Table 11: South Korean Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 41
Table 12: South Korean Homeland Security Expenditure (KRW Trillion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 42
Table 13: Terrorism Index, 2018 46
Table 14: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 49
Table 15: Top 10 South Korea Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) - 2018-2023 53
Table 16: Offset Regulations in South Korea 70
Table 17: South Korean Budget Formation Timetable: 72
Table 18: Top 10 Defense Suppliers in South Korean Defense Industry - By Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 77
Table 19: Competitive Landscape of the South Korean Defense Industry 78
Table 20: Korean Aerospace Industries - Major Products & Services 79
Table 21: Korean Aerospace Industries - Alliances 81
Table 22: Korean Aerospace Industries - Recent Contract Wins 82
Table 23: Hanwha Techwin - Major Products 86
Table 24: Hanwha Techwin - Alliances 88
Table 25: Hanwha Techwin - Recent Contract Wins 89
Table 26: Hanwha Corporation - Major Products 90
Table 27: Hanwha Corporation - Alliances 92
Table 28: Hanwha Corporation - Recent Contract Wins 92
Table 29: Hyundai Heavy Industries - Major Products 95
Table 30: Hyundai Heavy Industries - Alliances 96
Table 31: Hyundai Heavy Industries - Recent Contract Wins 97
Table 32: Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering - Major Products 100
Table 33: Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering - Alliances 101
Table 34: Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering - Recent Contract Wins 101
Table 35: Huneed Technologies - Products & Services 105
Table 36: Huneed Technologies - Alliances 106
Table 37: Huneed Technologies - Recent Contract Wins 108
Table 38: STX Engine - Products & Services 109
Table 39: STX Engine - Alliances 111
Table 40: STX Engine - Recent Contract Wins 112
Table 41: S&T Dynamics - Products 115
Table 42: S&T Dynamics - Recent Contract Wins 116
Table 43: Poongsan Corporation - Products 119
Table 44: Poongsan Corporation - Alliances 120
Table 45: Poongsan Corporation - Recent Contract Wins 120
Table 46: Samsung Thales - Products & Services 123
Table 47: Samsung Thales - Alliances 125
Table 48: Samsung Thales - Recent Contract Wins 126
Table 49: LIG NEX1 - Products 127
Table 50: LIG NEX1 - Alliances 130
Table 51: LIG NEX1 - Recent Contract Wins 130
Table 52: Doosan DST - Products & Services 131
Table 53: Doosan DST - Recent Contract Wins 132

List of Figures
Figure 1: South Korean Defense Expenditure (KRW Trillion), 2014-2023 33
Figure 2: South Korean Defense Expenditure (US$ billion), 2014-2023 33
Figure 3: South Korean GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023 36
Figure 4:South Korean Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (% Share), 2014-2023 38
Figure 5: South Korean Capital Budget Allocation (KRW Trillion), 2014-2023 40
Figure 6: South Korean Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 40
Figure 7: South Korean Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 41
Figure 8: South Korean Homeland Security Expenditure (KRW Trillion), 2014-2023 43
Figure 9: South Korean Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 43
Figure 10: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 45
Figure 11: Terrorism Index, 2018 48
Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 50
Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion),2018 and 2023 51
Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2018 52
Figure 15: Fighters & Multi Role Aircraft (US$ Million), 2017-2023 55
Figure 16: Fighters and Multi-role aircraft MRO (US$ Million), 2017-2023 56
Figure 17: Military-IT Networking (US$ Million), 2017-2023 57
Figure 18: Infrastructure Construction (US$ Million), 2017-2023 58
Figure 19: Attack Helicopter (US$ Million), 2017-2023 59
Figure 20: South Korean Defense Procurements In Terms Of Their Supplier Relationships 61
Figure 21: South Korean Defense Imports Trend, 2012-2016 62
Figure 22: South Korean Defense Imports by Country (%), 2012-2016 63
Figure 23: South Korean Defense Imports by Category (%), 2012-2016 64
Figure 24: South Korean Defense Exports by Value, 2012-2016 65
Figure 25: South Korean Defense Exports by Country (US$ million), 2012-2016 66
Figure 26: South Korean Defense Exports by Category (%), 2012-2016 67
Figure 27: Industry Dynamics Porter’s Five Forces Analysis 68
Figure 28: Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI) - Revenue Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 84
Figure 29: Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI) - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 85
Figure 30: Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI) - Net Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 85
Figure 31: Hanwha Corporation - Revenue Trend Analysis, 2012-2016 93
Figure 32: Hanwha Corporation - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 93
Figure 33: Hanwha Corporation - Net Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 94
Figure 34: Hyundai Heavy Industries - Revenue Trend Analysis, 2012-2016 98
Figure 35: Hyundai Heavy Industries - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 98
Figure 36: Hyundai Heavy Industries - Net Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 99
Figure 37: Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering - Revenue Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 103
Figure 38: Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 104
Figure 39: Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering - Net Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 104
Figure 40: STX Engine - Revenue Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 113
Figure 41: STX Engine - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 114
Figure 42: STX Engine - Net Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 114
Figure 43: S&T Dynamics - Revenue Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 117
Figure 44: S&T Dynamics - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 117
Figure 45: S&T Dynamics - Net Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 118
Figure 46: Poongsan Corporation - Revenue Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 121
Figure 47: Poongsan Corporation - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 122
Figure 48: Poongsan Corporation - Net Profit Trend Analysis (2012-2016) 122
Figure 49: South Korean GDP Per Capita (US$), 2015-2025 133
Figure 50: South Korean GDP Current Prices, 2015-2025 134
Figure 51: South Korean Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 135
Figure 52: South Korean Import of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 136
Figure 53: South Korean Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005-2013 137
Figure 54: South Korean LCU per USD, 2015-2024 138
Figure 55: South Korean Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012 139
Figure 56: South Korean Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% GDP), 2005-2012 140
Figure 57: South Korean Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2005-2011 141
Figure 58: South Korean Good Exports as (% of GDP), 2005-2014 142
Figure 59: South Korean Good Imports as (% of GDP), 2005-2014 143
Figure 60: South Korean Service Imports (% GDP), 2005-2014 144
Figure 61: South Korean Service Exports (% GDP), 2005-2014 145
Figure 62: South Korean Net Foreign Direct Investments (BoP, current US$ billion), 2005-2014 146
Figure 63: South Korean Net Foreign Direct Investments (% GDP), 2005-2014 147
Figure 64: South Korean Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU billion), 2005-2014 148

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