Emerging Asia-Pacific telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2021-2026

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Date: 03-Nov-2021
No. of pages: 72
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"There are sizeable opportunities to monetise the demand for mobile and fixed data connectivity in both high- and low-income countries in EMAP."

Revenue in emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP), excluding China, will increase at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2021 and 2026, driven by FTTP take-up, mobile data user base growth and the migration of customers towards top-tier mobile plans (using 5G in the wealthiest countries). China’s revenue growth will be slower because of market saturation and competition.

In this report, we examine key trends and drivers, and provide comprehensive telecoms market forecasts for the region and for 13 individually modelled countries.

This report provides:


  • a 5-year forecast of more than 180 mobile and fixed KPIs for the EMAP region as a whole and for 13 key countries

  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries

  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison

  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.


 

Geographical coverage

Region modelled


  • Emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP)


Countries modelled individually


  • Bangladesh

  • Cambodia

  • China

  • India

  • Indonesia

  • Malaysia

  • Myanmar

  • Nepal

  • Pakistan

  • Philippines

  • Sri Lanka

  • Thailand

  • Vietnam


Key performance indicators

Connections


  • Mobile:


    • total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT, business

    • handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets

    • mobile broadband

    • total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

    • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share

    • IoT

    • penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT




  • Fixed:


    • voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up

    • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, total business connections

    • penetration: voice, broadband (business sites and households)




  • Pay TV


    • operator, traditional



Traffic


  • Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU

  • Cellular data and messaging traffic


Network-independent metrics


  • GDP

  • Population

  • Households

  • Business sites

  • Exchange rates


Service revenue


  • Mobile:


    • total

    • share of GDP

    • per capita per month

    • prepaid, contract, prepaid share

    • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)




  • Fixed:


    • total (retail plus wholesale)

    • share of GDP

    • per capita per month



Retail revenue


  • Mobile:


    • total

    • share of GDP

    • per capita per month

    • per GB

    • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

    • voice, voice per minute

    • data, data per GB 

    • handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share

    • mobile broadband

    • IoT




  • Fixed:


    • total

    • share of GDP

    • per capita per month

    • voice

    • dedicated connections

    • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies




  • ICT services



  • Pay TV


    • operator, traditional



Wholesale revenue


  • Mobile

  • Fixed


ASPU


  • Mobile:


    • total

    • voice

    • data

    • mobile broadband

    • IoT

    • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data




  • Fixed:


    • voice

    • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies



ARPU


  • Mobile:


    • total

    • prepaid, contract

    • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G


Emerging Asia-Pacific telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2021-2026

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