Construction in the Philippines - Key Trends & Opportunities to 2022

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Date: 16-Apr-2018
No. of pages: 47
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Synopsis

The Philippine construction industry is expected to continue to expand in real terms over the forecast period (2018–2022), with investments in infrastructure construction, healthcare, energy plants, educational facilities and housing projects continuing to drive growth. Improvements in consumer and investor confidence, as well as positive developments in regional economic conditions, will provide growth momentum.

The industry’s expansion is expected to be supported by the government’s ongoing efforts to develop infrastructure through large-scale investments under the Build, Build, Build program 2017–2022. Under the program, the government aims to increase annual infrastructure spending from 6.3% of GDP in 2017 to 7.3% by 2022. This is expected to accelerate the pace of investments in the construction industry over the forecast period. Moreover, urbanization and population growth will continue to generate demand for residential and infrastructure development.

The industry’s output value in real terms is expected to rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.10% over the forecast period, compared to 10.01% during the review period.

Summary

Timetric’s Construction in the Philippines – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022 report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Philippine construction industry, including:


  • The Philippine construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity

  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Philippine construction industry

  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.


Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in the Philippines. It provides:


  • Historical (2013-2017) and forecast (2018-2022) valuations of the construction industry in the Philippines, featuring details of key growth drivers.

  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector

  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.

  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants


Reasons To Buy


  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using Timetric's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.

  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.

  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.

  • Formulate and validate strategy using Timetric's critical and actionable insight.

  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.

  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.


Key Highlights

Timetric expects the residential construction market to retain its leading position over the forecast period, with a share of 30% of the industry’s total value in 2022. The market is expected to be driven by public and private sector investments in the construction of new residential buildings to meet the increasing demand for housing. According to government estimates, 6.2 million new housing units are required to be constructed by 2030 in order to address the housing demand.

Timetric expects the infrastructure construction market output to record a forecast-period CAGR of 8.42% in nominal terms. Under the government’s flagship Build, Build, Build program, the government outlined plans to invest PHP8.1 trillion (US$160.8 billion) in developing infrastructure between 2017 and 2022 to improve mobility across the country. Through the plan, the government aims to increase annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP from 6.3% in 2017 to 7.3% by 2022.

The government aims to generate 35% of the country’s total energy needs through renewable sources by 2030. Accordingly, the government is planning to generate 15.3GW through renewable sources by 2030. Moreover, according to the Department of Energy (DOE), to support economic growth, the government plans to add 20,000MW power generation capacity from renewable sources by 2040.

Under the new six-year National Tourism Development Plan (NTDP), the government plans to invest PHP1.1 trillion (US$23.0 billion) on tourism infrastructure by 2022. The government aims to double the number of foreign tourist arrivals, increase tourism sector revenue by 90% and create 14.4% of the total employment from the tourism sector by 2022.

The total construction project pipeline in the Philippines as tracked by the Construction Intelligence Center (CIC), including all mega projects with a value above US$25 million, stands at PHP15.8 trillion (US$312.5 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is skewed to early-stage projects, with 56.4% of the pipeline value being in projects in the pre-planning and planning stages as of April 2018.

Construction in the Philippines - Key Trends & Opportunities to 2022

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance

3 Latest News and Indicators

4 Key Drivers and Risks
4.1 Economic Performance
4.2 Political Environment
4.3 Demographics
4.4 Risk Profile

5 Construction Outlook
5.1 All Construction
5.1.1 Outlook
5.1.2 Project analytics
5.2 Commercial Construction
5.2.1 Outlook
5.2.2 Project analytics
5.3 Industrial Construction
5.3.1 Outlook
5.3.2 Project analytics
5.4 Infrastructure Construction
5.4.1 Outlook
5.4.2 Project analytics
5.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
5.5.1 Outlook
5.5.2 Project analytics
5.6 Institutional Construction
5.6.1 Outlook
5.6.2 Project analytics
5.7 Residential Construction
5.7.1 Outlook
5.7.2 Project analytics

6 Key Industry Participants
6.1 Contractors
6.2 Consultants

7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 About Timetric
7.4 About CIC
7.5 Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Philippines, Key Economic Indicators
Table 2: Philippines, Construction Output Value (nominal, PHP Billion)
Table 3: Philippines, Construction Output Value (nominal, US$ Million)
Table 4: Philippines, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Philippines, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 6: Philippines, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Philippines, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 8: Philippines, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Philippines, Top Residential and Mixed-Use Construction Projects by Value
Table 10: Philippines, Key Contractors
Table 11: Philippines, Key Consultants
Table 12: Timetric Construction Market Definitions
Table 13: Construction Risk Index Ratings and Scores

List of Figures

Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix
Figure 2: Philippines, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (PHP Billion)
Figure 3: Philippines, Residential real estate price index
Figure 4: Philippines, Construction Permits (Total Numbers – Preliminary Results)
Figure 5: Philippines, Risk Comparison, Q1 2018
Figure 6: Philippines, Risk Comparison Review
Figure 7: Philippines, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ billion, 2010 prices and exchange rate)
Figure 8: Philippines, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix
Figure 9: Philippines, Construction Output Value, by Sector (PHP Billion), 2013–2022
Figure 10: Philippines, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (PHP Billion), 2017–2022
Figure 11: Philippines, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 12: Philippines, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (PHP Billion), 2013–2022
Figure 13: Philippines, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 14: Philippines, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 15: Philippines, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (PHP Billion), 2013–2022
Figure 16: Philippines, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 17: Philippines, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 18: Philippines, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (PHP Billion), 2013–2022
Figure 19: Philippines, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 20: Philippines, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 21: Philippines, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (PHP Billion), 2013–2022
Figure 22: Philippines, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 23: Philippines, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 24: Philippines, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (PHP Billion), 2013–2022
Figure 25: Philippines, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 26: Philippines, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 27: Philippines, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (PHP Billion), 2013–2022
Figure 28: Philippines, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 29: Philippines, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (PHP Billion)
Figure 30: Philippines, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 31: Philippines, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor)
Figure 32: Philippines, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 33: Philippines, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants)

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