World Tractors to 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 26-Feb-2013
No. of pages: 407

This study analyzes the world tractor industry. It presents historical demand data (2001, 2006, 2011) with forecasts for 2016 and 2021 by market (e.g., agriculture, construction, mining, commercial and consumer), tractor type (e.g., wheeled, crawler, pedestrian-controlled), world region and major country. The study also considers market environment factors, details industry structure, evaluates company market share and profiles industry participants.

World demand to rise 6.8% annually through 2016

World demand for tractors is expected to increase 6.8 percent per annum through 2016 to $122 billion. A moderation in sales growth in many large, developing countries — particularly Brazil, China, and India — after a lengthy period of rapid gains will counterbalance a strong recovery in the US, Western Europe, and Japan from the effects of the 2008-2009 global economic recession.

Growth in China to lead Asia/Pacific gains

Demand for tractors in the Asia/Pacific region will be more than twice that of any other region in 2016, with China alone comprising 31 percent of the global total. Healthy population increases and economic growth in China and other developing Asian nations like India and Thailand will drive an expansion in construction activity in these countries and place heightened pressure on their agricultural sectors to become more efficient and productive, boosting associated tractor sales. Central and South America will post strong sales gains as well, due primarily to the large and increasingly mechanized agricultural sectors in Brazil and Argentina.

In the mature markets of the industrialized world, sales of tractors will continue to be largely determined by demand for replacement machinery and the efficiency gains provided by newer, more sophisticated equipment. During the 2008-2009 economic crisis, many tractor operators in the agriculture, mining, and construction sectors delayed replacing older machinery, and the inherent time lag in each of these markets in response to improving economic circumstances will govern tractor sales growth patterns going forward. While the mining and construction sectors tend to respond more slowly to changes in economic conditions due to the large amounts of capital that must be committed, the agricultural sector usually responds much more quickly. As a result, 2011 was the beginning of a spike in demand for agricultural tractors in many developed nations, while sales of mining and construction tractors had not yet rebounded to the same extent. This release of pent-up demand will act as a restraint on market growth for a number of years, until the start of a new replacement cycle.

Agricultural tractor sales to retain largest product share

Agricultural tractors will continue to account for the largest share of product sales in 2016, followed by tractors for construction and mining applications. However, due primarily to high 2011 levels of demand and the timing of replacement cycles in the US, Japan, and Western Europe, global agricultural tractor sales growth will slow through 2016. Greater construction expenditures and mining output in many areas of the world — including the US, China, and India — will drive healthy gains in these market segments.

Company Profiles

Company Profiles for 40 global Industry competitors including AGCO, caterpillar, CNH Global, John Deere, and Komatsu

Additional Information

This study analyzes global supply and demand for off-highway tractors. Tractors are defined as self-propelled machinery designed with the primary purpose of providing a high tractive effort at low speed in order to push or pull an attached implement or trailer. The specific products covered are:

  • Agricultural tractors
  • Tractors used in the construction and mining industries, including angledozers, backhoe loaders, bulldozers, wheel loaders, graders, scrapers, and skid-steer loaders
  • Tractors used in commercial and/or consumer applications, including lawn and garden tractors, compact and subcompact utility tractors, and compact loaders
  • Other tractor units, including pushback and baggage tractors used at airports and tractors used in ports for material handling purposes.

Excluded from the scope of the study are all tractors used for transportation purposes, including road tractor-trailer units and railway tractors.

Also excluded is machinery designed primarily to provide power in a different way — such as excavators, telehandlers, or compactors — even if that machinery can be used in a secondary manner to push or pull an implement. To distinguish them from riding lawnmowers, lawn and garden tractors are defined as units with a seat and a frontally mounted engine, regardless of whether the unit features a fixed cutting deck.

Historical data for 2001, 2006, and 2011 and forecasts for 2016 and 2021 are provided for demand by market (agricultural, construction, commercial and consumer, and other) and by product type (wheeled, crawler, and pedestrian controlled), total shipments, and net exports on a country-by-country basis in millions of current US dollars, including inflation. Also provided at the world level is tractor demand by product type in thousands of units. The term “demand” actually refers to “apparent consumption” and is defined as shipments (used interchangeably with the terms “production,” “output,” and “supply”) from tractor manufacturing facilities located in a country plus imports to that country minus exports. It is also referred to as “market,” “sales,” and consumption.”

Data on global tractor supply and demand are derived from differing sources and developed from statistical relationships. As a result, variations in this type of international reporting are common, and statistics presented in this study are historically consistent but may differ from other sources. Definitional differences, inventory accumulation, goods-in-transit, and undistributed exports might cause these variances. In order to minimize the impact of such discrepancies, total world tractor imports and exports have been assumed to balance. Due to independent rounding, tabular details may not add to totals. Ratios are rounded to the nearest significant digit. All dollar values cited for the industry are at the basic manufacturer level.

In addition, major tractor manufacturers worldwide are identified and profiled, and key competitive variables are discussed. This report is framed within the world tractor industry’s economic, market, and technological environments, and emphasizes environmental variables shaping tractors supply and demand patterns, such as agricultural production, construction spending, and fixed investment. Market share data by company for the world tractor market presented in the “Industry Structure” section are estimated based on consultation with multiple sources. These include annual reports, 10-K reports, security analyst reports, corporate product literature, and interviews with industry participants and competitors.

World Tractors to 2016

Table of Contents

Introduction xi

I. Executive Summary 1

II. Market Environment
General 4
World Economic Overview 5
Recent Historical Trends 5
World Economic Outlook 7
World Demographic Overview 11
Population 12
Nonurban Population 13
World Gross Fixed Investment Outlook 15
World Agricultural Outlook 17
World Construction Outlook 20
World Mining Outlook 25
Pricing Patterns 28
Technology Trends 31
Used & Rebuilt Equipment 34
Legal & Regulatory Environment 36

III. Overview
General 38
Regional Overview 39
Demand 39
Production 45
International Trade 48
Demand by Market 50
Agriculture 52
Construction 55
Mining 58
Consumer & Commercial 61
Other 64
Demand by Type 67
Wheeled 69
Crawler 72
Pedestrian-Controlled 75

IV. North America
General 78
Tractor Supply & Demand 79
Tractor Outlook & Suppliers 81
United States 83
Canada 90
Mexico 95

V. Western Europe
General 101
Tractor Supply & Demand 102
Tractor Outlook & Suppliers 105
Germany 107
France 112
Italy 117
United Kingdom 122
Spain 127
The Netherlands 132
Other Western Europe 137
Sweden 143
Norway 144
All Other 145

VI. Asia/ Pacific
General 147
Tractor Supply & Demand 148
Tractor Outlook & Suppliers 151
China 153
India 159
Japan 164
South Korea 169
Australia 174
Thailand 179
Other Asia/Pacific 184

VII. Other Regions
Central & South America 190
General 190
Tractor Supply & Demand 191
Tractor Outlook & Suppliers 194
Brazil 196
Argentina 202
Other Central & South America 206
Eastern Europe 211
General 211
Tractor Supply & Demand 213
Tractor Outlook & Suppliers 215
Russia 217
Poland 222
Other Eastern Europe 227
Africa/Mideast 236
General 236
Tractor Supply & Demand 237
Tractor Outlook & Suppliers 240
Turkey 242
Iran 247
Other Africa/Mideast 252

VIII. Industry Structure
General 258
Industry Composition 259
Market Share 260
Product Development & Manufacturing 265
Marketing & Distribution 267
Cooperative Agreements 268
Financial Requirements 276
Mergers & Acquisitions 278
Company Profiles 280
AGCO Corporation 281
Altai Motor Plant JSC, see Concern Tractor Plants
ARGO SpA 286
Ashok Leyland John Deere Construction Equipment
Private, see Deere
Bell Equipment, see Deere
Bobcat, see Doosan Infracore
Briggs & Stratton Corporation 288
Case New Holland Construction Equipment India
Private, see Fiat Industrial
Caterpillar Incorporated 291
Changzhou Dongfeng Agricultural Machinery Group
Company Limited 296
Chelyabinsk Tractor Plant-Uraltrac Limited 297
China Foma Group, see China National Machinery
Industry
China National Machinery Industry Corporation 299
China SINOMACH Heavy Industry, see China National
Machinery Industry
CLAAS KGaA mbH 303
CNH Global, see Fiat Industrial
Concern Tractor Plants NV 306
Daedong Industrial Company Limited 308
Deere & Company 310
Doosan Infracore Company Limited 316
Escorts Limited 319
Fiat Industrial SpA 322
First Tractor, see China National Machinery Industry
Foton Lovol International Heavy Industries Company
Limited 327
GIMA, see AGCO and CLAAS
Goldhofer AG 328
HTC holdings as 330
Husqvarna AB 332
Hyundai Heavy Industries Company Limited 334
Iseki & Company Limited 336
Jiangsu World Agricultural Machinery, see WORLD
Group
JCB Limited 338
John Bean Technologies Corporation 340
Jonsered, see Husqvarna
Komatsu Limited 342
Kubota Corporation 346
Kurganmashzavod JSC, see Concern Tractor Plants
Liebherr-International AG 350
Lonking Holdings Limited 353
MAFI Transport-Systeme, see Trepel Airport Equipment
Mahindra & Mahindra Limited 355
McCormick France, see China National Machinery
Industry
MTD Products Incorporated 359
Perkins Engines, see Caterpillar
Promtractor JSC, see Concern Tractor Plants
Same Deutz-Fahr Group SpA 362
SCHOPF Holding, see Goldhofer
Shandong Changlin DEUTZ-FAHR Machinery, see Same
Deutz-Fahr
Shandong Engineering Machinery, see Caterpillar
Shandong Lingong Construction Machinery, see Volvo
Shandong Shifeng Group Company Limited 366
SIAM KUBOTA, see Kubota
Terex Corporation 367
Toro Company 369
Tractors and Farm Equipment Limited 372
Trepel Airport Equipment GmbH 374
TUG Technologies Corporation 376
Türk Traktör ve Ziraat Makineleri, see Fiat Industrial
Vietnam-Uraltrac Construction Machinery JVC, see
Chelyabinsk Tractor Plant-Uraltrac
Vladimir Motor-Tractor Works JSC, see Concern Tractor
Plants
Volvo AB 378
WORLD Group 381
World Heavy Industry, see WORLD Group
Xuzhou Construction Machinery Group Company Limited 382
Xuzhou XCMG Doosan Engine, see Doosan Infracore
and Xuzhou Construction Machinery Group
Yanmar Company Limited 384
YTO Group, see China National Machinery Industry
ZETOR TRACTORS as, see HTC holdings as
Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology
Company Limited 386
Other Companies Mentioned in Study 388

List of Tables

Section I -- Executive Summary
Summary Table 3

Section II -- Market Environment
1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region 11
2 World Population by Region 13
3 World Nonurban Population by Region 15
4 World Gross Fixed Investment by Region 17
5 World Agricultural Value Added by Region 19
6 World Construction Expenditures by Region 24
7 World Mining Output by Region 27
8 World Tractor Pricing Patterns 30

Section III -- Overview
1 World Tractor Demand by Region 42
2 World Tractor Shipments by Region 47
3 World Tractor Net Exports by Region 50
4 World Tractor Demand by Market 51
5 World Agricultural Tractor Demand by Region 54
6 World Construction Tractor Demand by Region 57
7 World Mining Tractor Demand by Region 60
8 World Consumer & Commercial Tractor Demand by Region 63
9 World Other Tractor Demand by Region 66
10 World Tractor Demand by Type 68
11 World Wheeled Tractor Demand by Region 72
12 World Crawler Tractor Demand by Region 75
13 World Pedestrian-Controlled Tractor Demand by Region 77

Section IV -- North America
1 North America: Tractor Supply & Demand 80
2 North America: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 83
3 United States: Tractor Supply & Demand 87
4 United States: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 90
5 Canada: Tractor Supply & Demand 93
6 Canada: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 95
7 Mexico: Tractor Supply & Demand 98
8 Mexico: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 100

Section V -- Western Europe
1 Western Europe: Tractor Supply & Demand 104
2 Western Europe: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 107
3 Germany: Tractor Supply & Demand 110
4 Germany: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 112
5 France: Tractor Supply & Demand 115
6 France: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 117
7 Italy: Tractor Supply & Demand 120
8 Italy: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 122
9 United Kingdom: Tractor Supply & Demand 125
10 United Kingdom: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 127
11 Spain: Tractor Supply & Demand 130
12 Spain: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 132
13 The Netherlands: Tractor Supply & Demand 135
14 The Netherlands: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 137
15 Other Western Europe: Tractor Supply & Demand 140
16 Other Western Europe: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 142
17 Other Western Europe: Tractor Supply & Demand by Country 143

Section VI -- Asia/Pacific
1 Asia/Pacific: Tractor Supply & Demand 150
2 Asia/Pacific: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 153
3 China: Tractor Supply & Demand 157
4 China: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 159
5 India: Tractor Supply & Demand 162
6 India: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 164
7 Japan: Tractor Supply & Demand 167
8 Japan: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 169
9 South Korea: Tractor Supply & Demand 172
10 South Korea: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 174
11 Australia: Tractor Supply & Demand 177
12 Australia: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 179
13 Thailand: Tractor Supply & Demand 182
14 Thailand: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 184
15 Other Asia/Pacific: Tractor Supply & Demand 187
16 Other Asia/Pacific: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 189

Section VII -- Other Regions
1 Central & South America: Tractor Supply & Demand 193
2 Central & South America: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 196
3 Brazil: Tractor Supply & Demand 199
4 Brazil: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 201
5 Argentina: Tractor Supply & Demand 204
6 Argentina: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 206
7 Other Central & South America: Tractor Supply & Demand 209
8 Other Central & South America: Tractor Demand by Market
& Type 211
9 Eastern Europe: Tractor Supply & Demand 214
10 Eastern Europe: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 217
11 Russia: Tractor Supply & Demand 220
12 Russia: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 222
13 Poland: Tractor Supply & Demand 225
14 Poland: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 227
15 Other Eastern Europe: Tractor Supply & Demand 230
16 Other Eastern Europe: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 232
17 Other Eastern Europe: Tractor Supply & Demand by Country 233
18 Africa/Mideast: Tractor Supply & Demand 239
19 Africa/Mideast: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 242
20 Turkey: Tractor Supply & Demand 245
21 Turkey: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 247
22 Iran: Tractor Supply & Demand 250
23 Iran: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 252
24 Other Africa/Mideast: Tractor Supply & Demand 255
25 Other Africa/Mideast: Tractor Demand by Market & Type 257

Section VIII -- Industry Structure
1 World Tractor Sales by Company, 2011 260
2 Selected Cooperative Agreements 271
3 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures 279

List of Charts

Section II -- Market Environment
1 World Agricultural Value Added by Region, 2011 20
2 World Construction Expenditures by Region, 2011 25
3 World Mining Output by Region, 2011 28
4 World Tractor Prices, 2001-2021 31

Section III -- Overview
1 World Tractor Demand by Region, 2011 43
2 World Tractor Demand: Projected 2011-2016 Annual Rate
of Growth 44
3 World Tractor Shipments by Region, 2011 48
4 World Tractor Demand by Market, 2011 51
5 World Agricultural Tractor Demand by Region, 2011 55
6 World Construction Tractor Demand by Region, 2011 58
7 World Mining Tractor Demand by Region, 2011 61
8 World Consumer & Commercial Tractor Demand
by Region, 2011 64
9 World Other Tractor Demand by Region, 2011 67
10 World Tractor Demand by Type, 2011 69

Section IV -- North America
1 North America: Tractor Demand by Country, 2011 81

Section V -- Western Europe
1 Western Europe: Tractor Demand by Country, 2011 105

Section VI -- Asia/Pacific
1 Asia/Pacific: Tractor Demand by Country, 2011 151

Section VII -- Other Regions
1 Central & South America: Tractor Demand by Country, 2011 194
2 Eastern Europe: Tractor Demand by Country, 2011 215
3 Africa/Mideast: Tractor Demand by Country, 2011 240

Section VIII -- Industry Structure
1 World Tractor Market Share, 2011 261

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