Vietnam Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 03-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 68

BMI View: The Vietnamese mobile market has experienced strong growth in the past and the uptake of 3G

and fibre broadband has been robust in 2015, demonstrating the rising inclination towards both mobile and

fixed data usage. We continue to retain a positive view on the adoption of premium services and advanced

networks, although we believe that the governmental restrictions on 4G rollouts could restrict telecom

operators' abilities to satisfy growing data consumption needs, in the short term, at least. MobiFone is once

again in the spotlights with the government looking to sell 49% of the company. We believe that a good

foreign investor could inject a strong and positive impetus for renewed competition in the marketplace and

drive forward the uptake of 4G services in the coming years.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

? We are forecasting 134.1mn mobile subscribers by end-2020, for a 136.6% penetration rate. Out of

this number, 55.9mn will be 3G/4G connections. However, we highlight the figure is distorted by

inactive prepaid subscriptions and multiple SIM ownership.

• MobiFone's partial privatisation is once again dominating the Vietnamese telecommunications agenda

with Australia's Telstra and Norway's Telenor both interested in the operator. We hold a favourable

view of the foreign entrants looking to compete in Vietnam as it could provide new competition and drive

forward the uptake of advanced services and new technologies, especially with the country not yet having

officially rolled-out 4G services.

• Viettel has installed approximately 200 LTE-enabled base transmission stations in the residential area of

Vung Tau City, Ba Ria City and Long Dien District after being granted permission by the government to

conduct 4G trials. Rising data consumption could increase subscribers' appetite for faster data

transmission speeds through 4G, and Viettel is keen to be the first operator to move into the area.

Vietnam Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry 9
Industry Forecast 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Industry Risk/Reward Index 15
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 15
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316 17
Industry Risk Reward Index 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers & Trends 20
Mobile 21
Table: Value-Added Services 23
Wireline Voice & Broadband 25
Pay-TV 28
Regulatory Development 30
Regulatory Overview 30
Table: Vietnam - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 30
Legislation And Market Liberalisation 30
Regulation 31
Licensing And Spectrum 31
Competitive Landscape 34
Table: Key Players 34
Table: Vietnam Mobile Market Overview 34
Company Profile 35
Vietnam Posts & Telecommunications (VNPT) 35
VNPT-VinaPhone 40
MobiFone 44
Viettel 49
FPT Telecom 54
Demographic Forecast 57
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Vietnam 1990-2025) 58
Table: Key Population Ratios (Vietnam 1990-2025) 58
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Vietnam 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group (Vietnam 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group % (Vietnam 1990-2025) 60
Glossary 62
Table: Glossary Of Terms 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sources 66
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 66
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 68

List of Tables

Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316
Table: Value-Added Services
Table: Vietnam - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Table: Key Players
Table: Vietnam Mobile Market Overview
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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