Vietnam Power Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 59

BMI View: There are significant opportunities for independent power producers (IPPs), turbine

manufacturers and private investors in Vietnam's thermal power generation sector - particularly the coal

segment. A flurry of private sector activity in the coal sector will be supported by rapid growth in electricity

demand and market deregulation, as well as delays to nuclear expansion and insufficient domestic gas

supplies.

The thermal generation segment in Vietnam will continue to offer sizeable opportunities for investors and

equipment suppliers. A number of large-scale power projects have advanced in the last few months - with

institutional investors and utilities entering the sector to benefit from the huge growth potential.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

? Rosatom's involvement in Vietnam's emerging nuclear sector aligns with our view that nuclear projects in

Asia will be increasingly financed by foreign governments or state-owned utilities - particularly Russia

and China. Despite this development, we are not factoring any nuclear capacity into our 10-year power

forecasts in Vietnam, as there are still numerous barriers to project realisation.

Vietnam Power Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Vietnam 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Vietnam Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Vietnam 2015-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Vietnam 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Vietnam Power Forecast Scenario 11
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecast 12
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecasts 13
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecasts 14
Table: Vietnam - Planned and Proposed Nuclear Power Reactors to 2030 16
Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019) 16
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 17
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025) 19
Electricity Consumption 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019) 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025) 21
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports 21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019) 22
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025) 22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23
Asia Power Risk Reward Index 23
Table: Power RRI By Country (Scores Out Of 100) 29
Vietnam Power Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
Market Overview 32
Key Policies And Market Structure 32
Regulations And Competition 32
International Aid 33
Sustainable Energy Policies 34
Pricing 35
Vietnam Power Projects Database 36
Table: Vietnam Major Projects - Power 36
Competitive Landscape 45
Electricity Of Vietnam (EVN) 46
Regional Overview 47
Asia (Region) - Coal To Dominate, But Contribution To Slip 47
Table: Bmi's Japan Korea Marker Forecast 51
Glossary 53
Table: Glossary Of Terms 53
Methodology 54
Methodology And Sources 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

List of Tables

Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Vietnam 2015-2021)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Vietnam 2015-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Table: Vietnam - Planned and Proposed Nuclear Power Reactors to 2030
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Table: Power RRI By Country (Scores Out Of 100)
Table: Vietnam Major Projects - Power
Table: Bmi's Japan Korea Marker Forecast
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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