Vietnam Defence and Security Report 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 40

BMI View: Growth in Vietnam's defence expenditure over the coming years is all but assured owing to

increasing tension in the South China Sea. The China challenge in these waters has and will continue to

necessitate investment into strengthening the country's deterrence capabilities and its overall asymmetrical

defence strategy - especially in terms of its naval and air forces. The domestic industry remains underdeveloped

and incapable of providing for the technologically advanced requirements of its armed forces,

meaning the country will remain heavily dependent on foreign defence companies for supply in the coming

years. Further, a growing but still limited budget will restrain the country from making large-scale highend

purchases recently made available to it with the lifting of the decades-old US arms embargo.

Latest Updates

? On July 21 2016, a fleet of six Chinese fishing vessels were discovered operating within Vietnam's

territorial waters and consequently stopped and removed from the area by Vietnamese authorities,

reported the Border Defense Command of Quang Binh Province, Vietnam.

? On July 21 2016, Cuba and Vietnam discussed the potential improvement to defence cooperation ties,

working towards the signing of a cooperation plan in the near future.

? On July 18 2015, local media sources reported that Vietnam had received its first Israeli-made SPYDER

advanced surface-to-air missile systems.

? On July 12 2016, the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague, a tribunal under the United Nations

Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), ruled in favour of the Philippines in its case against China

and its claim to historic rights within most of the South China Sea. Beijing has dismissed the validity of

the ruling.

Vietnam Defence and Security Report 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (Vietnam 2015-2020) 5
Defence Industry SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Defence Expenditure 9
Table: Defence Expenditure (Vietnam 2014-2019) 10
Table: Defence Expenditure (2020-2025) 10
Defence Trade 12
Exports 12
Imports 13
Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Table: Asia Pacific - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Rewards 16
Risks 17
Market Overview 18
Defence Market Overview 18
Domestic Defence Sector 18
Domestic Defence Market 21
Table: Vietnam - Bilateral Defence Agreements 23
Armed Forces Overview 25
Armed Forces 25
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Vietnam 2006-2014) 26
Security Overview 30
Domestic Threats 30
Regional Threats 31
International Relations 34
Methodology 36
Industry Forecast Methodology 36
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 37
Sector-Specific Methodology 39
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 39
Weighting 40
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 40

List of Tables

Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (Vietnam 2015-2020)
Table: Defence Expenditure (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Defence Expenditure (2020-2025)
Table: Asia Pacific - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: Vietnam - Bilateral Defence Agreements
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Vietnam 2006-2014)
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index
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