Vietnam Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 90

BMI View: Recent developments in Vietnam's economic and business environments add further weight to

our positive view on its agribusiness sector. The industry holds strong growth opportunities in terms of

production, exports and retail sales, particularly with regard to the rice, coffee, livestock and dairy

sectors. Moreover, economic and financial integration in South East Asia will benefit Vietnam's exports of

rice, dairy and coffee. However, Vietnam faces growing competition in its key markets.

The fulfilment of its promising potential will only be achieved if the country steps up its competitiveness and

improves product quality and supply chain efficiency. Vietnam will have to significantly ramp up

investments on crop productivity in order to not be left behind and, if it does, it will be able to produce more

value-added crops and maintain its status as an export spearhead.

Key Forecasts

? Pork production growth to 2019/20: 19.9% to 3.0mn tonnes. After going through challenging times

amidst high feed costs, disease outbreaks and weaker growth, the livestock sector has been on the

recovery trend since 2014-2015. Growth will remain strong in the medium term, helped by higher local

meat prices and economic growth.

• Milk production growth to 2019/20: 61.9% to 876,000 tonnes. Dramatic increases in cattle numbers

and increased public and private sector investment - part of the effort to reduce the country's growing

import dependency - will be the main boost to growth. Commercialisation will also play a key role as

larger, more efficient farms come to play a greater role in milk production.

Vietnam Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Vietnam - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020) 15
Rice Outlook 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Vietnam - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020) 20
Dairy Outlook 21
Latest Updates 21
Table: Vietnam - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Risks To Outlook 22
Structural Trends 23
Table: Vietnam - Planned Investment In Milk Production Capacity 24
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2013-2020) 28
Livestock Outlook 29
Latest Updates 29
Table: Vietnam - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 30
Table: Vietnam - Risks To Livestock Outlook 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2013-2020) 35
Coffee Outlook 36
Latest Updates 36
Table: Vietnam - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook 37
Table: Vietnam - Risks To Coffee Outlook 37
Structural Trends 38
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020) 42
Commodities Price Analysis 43
Commodities Forecasts 43
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 43
Upstream Analysis 45
Asia GM Outlook 45
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) 50
Asia Machinery Outlook 51
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 56
Downstream Analysis 58
Food 58
Latest Updates 58
Structural Trends 59
Table: Food Sales (Vietnam 2013-2020) 61
Regional Overview 65
Company Profile 71
Vinamilk 71
Table: Vietnam - Planned Investment In Milk Production Capacity 78
Table: Vinamilk - M&A Activity Outside Vietnam 79
Table: Vinamilk - Financial Highlights, 2011-2015 82
Competitive Landscape 83
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies (USDmn) 83
Demographic Forecast 84
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Vietnam 1990-2025) 85
Table: Key Population Ratios (Vietnam 1990-2025) 85
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Vietnam 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group (Vietnam 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group % (Vietnam 1990-2025) 87
Methodology 89
Industry Forecast Methodology 89
Sector-Specific Methodology 90

List of Tables

Table: Vietnam - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020)
Table: Vietnam - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020)
Table: Vietnam - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Vietnam - Planned Investment In Milk Production Capacity
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2013-2020)
Table: Vietnam - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Vietnam - Risks To Livestock Outlook
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2013-2020)
Table: Vietnam - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Vietnam - Risks To Coffee Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020)
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares
Table: Food Sales (Vietnam 2013-2020)
Table: Vietnam - Planned Investment In Milk Production Capacity
Table: Vinamilk - M&A Activity Outside Vietnam
Table: Vinamilk - Financial Highlights, 2011-2015
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies (USDmn)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Vietnam 1990-2025)
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