United States Retail Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 67

BMI View: The US retail sector will remain one of the most attractive markets for investors over the course

of our forecast period as a result of the country's mature business environment and increasingly affluent

population based in urban centres. The US retail sector's position as one of, if not the, world's most

innovative and developed markets only serves to boost its attractiveness. In the short term, concerns over

the strength of the economic recovery and alterations in consumer habits may stunt investment and growth,

but over the long term the sector will see growth as real wages and employment levels increase.

Key Recent Developments

? In July 2016 the National Retail Federation (NRF) raised its forecast for US retail sales growth for the

year from 3.1% to 3.4% on the back of high consumer confidence and almost 4% growth in retail sales in

H116. A key driver of growth remains online and non-store sales, which the NRF forecasts to rise

between 7% and 10%, up from between 6% and 9% previously.

? The Federal Trade Commission approved the merger of the Delhaize Group, owner of Food Lion, and

Royal Ahold NV, owner of Stop & Shop, in July 2016, in a deal that creates the fourth largest supermarket group in the US. The deal is worth USD29.0bn, and the new company has stated that it

expects to make 61% of its total revenue in the US from the 6,500 shops it operates under a wide range of

names.

United States Retail Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (United States 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (United States 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (United States 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (United States 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 19
Food, Drink & Tobacco 20
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (United States 2013-2020) 21
Clothing & Footwear 21
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (United States 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (United States 2013-2020) 23
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (United States 2013-2020) 24
Table: Toys, Sports, Gardens and Pets Spending (United States 2013-2020) 25
Personal Care 26
Table: Personal Care Spending (United States 2013-2020) 26
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 27
Table: Household Income Data (United States 2013-2020) 31
Table: Labour Market Data (United States 2013-2020) 32
Demographic Forecast 33
Table: Total Population (United States 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Babies (United States 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Children (United States 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Children (United States 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (United States 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Young People (United States 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (United States 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: 21yrs + (United States 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Young Adults (United States 2013-2020) 39
Table: Population: Middle Aged (United States 2013-2020) 39
Table: Population: Urban (United States 2013-2020) 40
Industry Risk/Reward Index 41
Developed States Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 41
Market Overview 43
Latest Updates 43
Competitive Landscape 49
Clothing And Footwear 49
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 49
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 50
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 50
Electronics 50
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 50
Department Stores 51
Table: Selected Department Stores 51
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 52
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 52
Pharmacies And Drugstores 53
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drugstores 53
Glossary 54
Methodology 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

List of Tables

Table: Total Household Spending (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Household Goods Spending (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Toys, Sports, Gardens and Pets Spending (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Personal Care Spending (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Household Income Data (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Labour Market Data (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Total Population (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Babies (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Children (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Children (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young People (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Adults (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Urban (United States 2013-2020)
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Table: Selected Department Stores
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drugstores
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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