United Kingdom Infrastructure Report Q1 2013

BMI View: Q312 data for the UK construction industry shows a deteriorating picture in year-on-year
terms. Consequently, we have further downgraded our estimate for growth to -7.7% for the year. The
data, combined with anecdotal evidence from industry participants, has also prompted us to revise down
our 2013 outlook, and we are now forecasting a 0.7% decline for the year.
Major developments in the sector:
Despite the first Q312 GDP estimate showing that the UK has emerged from its double dip recession, the
picture was less optimistic for the construction sector. In quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) terms the recession
which took hold of the industry over 2012 appeared to be easing, with industry output (gross value added)
down 2.5% q-o-q, compared to a 3% fall q-o-q in Q212. However, in year-on-year (y-o-y) terms a stark
divergence in trend was patent, with the industry contracting 10.8% compared to Q311, a continuation of
a steadily accelerating contraction. In the first nine months of 2012, the industry has contracted by an
average of 8.2% y-o-y, prompting us to further revise down our estimate for the year to -7.7%.

United Kingdom Infrastructure Report Q1 2013

BMI Industry View 5
SWOT Analysis 7
United Kingdom Infrastructure SWOT 7
Market Overview 8
Competitive Landscape 8
Table: EQS 8
Building Materials 10
Europe 10
Table: Cement Price / Volume, % Variance (6M11/6M12) 13
Cement Forecasts 15
Table: UK Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016 15
Table: UK Cement Production and Consumption Long-Term Forecast, 2014 -2021 15
Industry Forecast Scenario 16
Table: UK Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016 16
Table: UK Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 17
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 18
Transport Infrastructure 22
Table: UK Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016 22
Table: UK Transport Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 23
Transport Infrastructure Outlook And Overview 25
Major Projects Table - Transport 28
Table: Major Projects - Transport 28
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure 35
Table: UK Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016 35
Table: UK Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 36
Energy And Utilities Outlook And Overview 38
Major Projects Table - Energy and Utilities 44
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities 44
Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 49
Table: UK Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data, 2010-2016 49
Table: UK Residential and Non-residential Building Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 49
Residential/Non-Residential Construction Outlook And Overview 50
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 54
Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 54
Risk/Reward Ratings 58
United Kingdom's Risk/Reward Ratings 58
Rewards 58
Risks 59
Regional Overview 60
Developed States Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 60
Table: Developed States Infrastructure Risk Reward Ratings 64
Company Monitor 65
Carillion 65
Balfour Beatty 67
Global Overview 70
Methodology 77
Industry Forecasts 77
Construction Industry 78
Data Methodology 78
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors 78
Construction 79
Capital Investment 80
Construction Sector Employment 81
Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 81
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators 82Table: EQS
Table: Cement Price / Volume, % Variance (6M11/6M12)
Table: UK Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016
Table: UK Cement Production and Consumption Long-Term Forecast, 2014 -2021
Table: UK Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
Table: UK Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
Table: UK Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
Table: UK Transport Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
Table: Major Projects - Transport
Table: UK Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
Table: UK Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities
Table: UK Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data, 2010-2016
Table: UK Residential and Non-residential Building Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
Table: Developed States Infrastructure Risk Reward Ratings
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators

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