United Kingdom Consumer Electronics Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 03-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 58

BMI View: The UK Brexit referendum result produced a sharp depreciation of sterling against the US

dollar, as a consequence of which we have downgraded the outlook for consumer electronics device sales in

2016 and over the medium term. Several vendors announced device price rises in the weeks following

Brexit, and we expect more to follow in all three segments, but with the PC and AV categories forecast to be

worst effected where margins are narrowest so the scope for absorbing cost increases are most limited.

Over the medium term, we consider the consumer electronics market to be one of the least directly affected

by political and regulatory uncertainty, but there will nonetheless be negative spill over from any impact on

growth and investment that arises if UK-EU negotiations are prolonged or fractious.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

? Computer Hardware Sales: USD22.2bn in 2016 to USD22.4bn in 2020, a CAGR of 0.2% in US dollar

terms. The growth outlook was already subdued as a result of the peak in tablet first time buyers having

passed, but Brexit made us downgrade the outlook for both 2016-2017 when price rises will result in

deferred replacement purchases.

? AV And Gaming Sales: USD7.4bn in 2016 to USD7.4bn in 2020, a CAGR of -0.1%. A mature TV set

market was expected to be boosted by UHD upgrades, but with price rises the short-term outlook is weak

for non-essential purchases, though tariff reductions could catalyse UHD upgrades over the medium term

if Chinese vendors intensify price competition.

? Mobile Handset Sales: USD10.7bn in 2016 to USD11.0bn in 2020, a CAGR of 0.7%. Higher margins in

the handset segment should mean it is the most insulated from sterling depreciation, but this is largely

restricted to the premium segment and mid-range Android vendors will have to pass on higher costs to

consumers.

United Kingdom Consumer Electronics Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates & Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Consumer Electronics Market 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Core Scenario 11
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview (United Kingdom 2014-2020) 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Europe Consumer Electronics Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 19
Market Overview 20
Recent Developments 20
Computers 20
Table: PC Sales (United Kingdom 2014-2020) 20
AV Devices 25
Table: AV Sales (United Kingdom 2014-2020) 25
Mobile Handsets 30
Table: Mobile Communications (United Kingdom 2014-2020) 30
Industry Trends And Developments 36
Consumer Electronics Trade 36
Table: Western Europe Consumer Electronics (CE) Trade, 2010-2015 36
Table: UK Consumer Electronics (CE) Trade, 2010-2015 37
Consumer Electronics Industry Analysis 38
Table: UK Electronics Industry Performance, 2009-2014 41
Regulatory Development 42
Table: Government Authorities 42
Competitive Landscape 45
UK Consumer Electronics Vendors 45
EMEA Consumer Electronics Vendor Performance, 2015 46
Table: Computer Hardware 46
Table: TV Sets - 2015 47
Table: Mobile Phones 47
Retailers 48
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 48
Table: Selected E-Commerce/Online-Only Retailers 48
Demographic Forecast 49
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 50
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 50
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 52
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sector-Specific Methodology 55
Sources 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Table: Consumer Electronics Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

List of Tables

Table: Consumer Electronics Overview (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
Table: Europe Consumer Electronics Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Table: PC Sales (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
Table: AV Sales (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
Table: Mobile Communications (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
Table: Western Europe Consumer Electronics (CE) Trade, 2010-2015
Table: UK Consumer Electronics (CE) Trade, 2010-2015
Table: UK Electronics Industry Performance, 2009-2014
Table: Government Authorities
Table: Computer Hardware
Table: TV Sets - 2015
Table: Mobile Phones
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Table: Selected E-Commerce/Online-Only Retailers
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Table: Consumer Electronics Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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