Ukraine Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 03-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 60

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

•The mobile market served 61.526mn subscribers at end of Q116, down by 2% y-o-y. We have not made

further downward adjustments to our mobile forecasts yet, but will monitor the market in the months ahead

before making further revisions.

? 3G uptake throughout the 2016-2020 period will be strong and will constitute the primary engine of

mobile growth in the mobile market. The real opportunities in this segment lie in content and services.

BMI View: We maintain our core view that the Ukrainian telecoms market faces significant headwinds,

ranging from a collapsing currency, low consumer spending powers, market saturation and an uncertain

political climate. We believe that operators hold a significant number of inactive accounts that will be shed

in the coming quarters. Furthermore, there is very little room for new organic subscriber growth and we

forecast a gradual decrease in total subscriber numbers out to 2020. Growth and revenues to 2020 and beyond will be driven by 3G and advanced data technology uptake as the national mobile market begins to

advance and mature in technological terms.

Ukraine Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2020) 13
Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Central And Eastern Europe Industry Risk/Reward Index 15
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 18
Market Overview 19
Market Drivers And Trends 19
Mobile 19
Table: Operator Revenues: Struggling Due To Currency Weakness But Stable In AUH 22
Wireline Voice And Broadband 23
Regulatory Development 27
Table: Regulatory Body Responsibilities 28
Regulatory Developments 30
Table: Selected Regulatory Developments 31
Competitive Landscape 32
Table: Ukraine - Key Telecoms Players 32
Mobile Operator Data 32
Table: Mobile Market Overview 32
Table: MTS 33
Table: VimpelCom (Bee Line) 34
Table: Astelit 35
Company Profile 36
Astelit 36
MTS Ukraine 39
Ukrtelecom 42
VimpelCom (Kyivstar) 46
Demographic Forecast 49
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025) 50
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025) 50
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025) 52
Glossary 54
Table: Glossary Of Terms 54
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 60

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016
Table: Operator Revenues: Struggling Due To Currency Weakness But Stable In AUH
Table: Regulatory Body Responsibilities
Table: Selected Regulatory Developments
Table: Ukraine - Key Telecoms Players
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: MTS
Table: VimpelCom (Bee Line)
Table: Astelit
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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