Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 21-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 51

BMI View: The construction industry in Ukraine continues to face an unsettled outlook. While the

country has a substantial infrastructure deficit, which has been exacerbated by the ongoing conflict in the

east, the lack of public spending capacity and significant risks to private investment means little growth

will be realised in the construction sector. Ukraine will remain heavily reliant on the provision of

regional funding to drive forward transport and energy projects as the government contends with the

falling value of the local currency as well as high rates of inflation, which mean there is little no public

investment available for infrastructure.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

? Ukraine's economy is expected to remain sluggish in 2016 as the escalation in conflict derails a rebound

in industrial production. The resurge in the conflict poses a significant downside risk to our current

forecasts for the infrastructure sector: not only will existing infrastructure sustain further damage, but

vital and already restricted government resources will now be further curtailed.

? The solar power sector may be one of the few bright spots in Ukraine's construction market. In July 2016

the government announced plans to develop the uninhabitable land around Chernobyl into a large-scale

solar farm totalling 4GW. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) is

reportedly considering providing funding for the project in which two US investment firms and four

Canadian energy companies are also reportedly expressing an interest.

• The EBRD is also a major source of financing for transport projects in Ukraine, including road and rail

projects which will support some growth in value over the medium term. Overall however, this growth

will not be sufficient to keep Ukraine's construction industry in positive territory and following limited

growth of 1% in 2016 we expect to see further market contractions over our forecast period to 2025.

Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Ukraine 2015-2021) 7
Table: Ukraine Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 15
Latest Updates 15
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 15
Structural Trends 16
Table: Transport Infrastructure - Key Projects 19
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Energy And Utilities Key Projects 25
Residential And Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 26
Latest Updates 26
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 30
Ukraine - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
CEE Infrastructure RRI: EU Funding Essential As Risks Deter Private Investors 31
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 37
Market Overview 38
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: EQS Industry Data 38
Company Profile 40
Aerobud 40
Altis-Holding Corporation 42
Methodology 44
Industry Forecast Methodology 44
Sector-Specific Methodology 45
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Sector-Specific Methodology 50
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 51

List of Tables

Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Ukraine 2015-2021)
Table: Ukraine Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025)
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025)
Table: Transport Infrastructure - Key Projects
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Ukraine 2015-2025)
Table: Energy And Utilities Key Projects
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025)
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Table: EQS Industry Data
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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