Uganda Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 58

BMI View: Operators continue to make investments in advanced data networks. However, MFS is likely to

remain the primary VAS in the mobile market as traction in the take-up of advanced mobile data services

remains slow. Notwithstanding, low mobile penetration, which we forecast at 57% in 2016 and inactive

Sims in the market are both indicative of organic subscriber growth opportunities in underserved high

Capex/low margin regions. Should operators pursue this, the mobile market may see positive net subscriber

addition. We believe enterprise subscriptions will continue to drive moderate growth in the fixed voice

market. Low spending power and limited access to devices will, however, continue to keep broadband

penetration low and the pay TV market will experience growth constraints in 2016 deriving from single

digit inflation in the market.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

? The mobile market grew to 20.7mn in 2015, a penetration rate of 53%.

? The number of mobile money accounts in Uganda increased to 18.93mn in March 2016. The accounts

were down 56,000 from 18.99mn in March 2015.

? The mandatory mobile registration brought into effect towards end-2015 resulted in a significant decline

in the number of connections in H215. MTN lost over 2.5mn connections in Q415 alone. However, signs

of a recovery are evident as the operator posted growth of 695,000 subscribers in Q116.

? MTN took a loan of USD114mn from a consortium of international banks to invest in a network

infrastructure in the country. The company claims to be committed to` rolling out data services that

spread across the varied geography of the nation.

Uganda Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Uganda 2014-2020) 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 21
Market Overview 23
Market Drivers & Trends 23
Mobile 24
Wireline Voice & Broadband 27
Pay-TV/Convergence 30
Regulatory Development 32
Regulatory Overview 32
Industry Risks 32
Main Development: UCC's Unified Licensing Regime 33
Additional Developments 34
Competitive Landscape 36
Table: Table: Key Players - Uganda Telecoms Sector 36
Table: Mobile Market Overview 36
Table: MTN 37
Table: UTL 37
Table: Airtel 37
Table: Africel 38
Table: Total Internet Subscriptions 38
Table: Fixed Line Subscribers 38
Company Profile 39
MTN Uganda 39
Uganda Telecom 43
Demographic Forecast 47
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uganda 1990-2025) 48
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uganda 1990-2025) 48
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Uganda 1990-2025) 49
Table: Population By Age Group (Uganda 1990-2025) 49
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uganda 1990-2025) 50
Glossary 52
Table: Glossary Of Terms 52
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Uganda 2014-2020)
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Table: Table: Key Players - Uganda Telecoms Sector
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: MTN
Table: UTL
Table: Airtel
Table: Africel
Table: Total Internet Subscriptions
Table: Fixed Line Subscribers
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uganda 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uganda 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Uganda 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Uganda 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uganda 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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