Uganda Retail Report Q1 2017

Publisher Name :
Date: 30-Nov-2016
No. of pages: 58

BMI View: We expect growing investment in Uganda's retail sector over our forecast period to be largely

driven by essential spending, stemming from low income households driving spending. The proportion of

essential and non-essential spending throughout the end of our forecast period to 2020 will remain largely

unchanged, on the back of marginal growth in disposable incomes. In light of this, prospect for

formalisation will dominantly be in the food and drink segment.

Key Views & Developments

? The balance between the essentials and non-essentials spending is set to remain almost unchanged across

our five-year forecast period. Food & non-alcoholic drinks and housing & utilities will remain the two

largest spending categories, together accounting for nearly 44% of the total spending across our forecast

period.

• Average net household incomes are set to increase from an estimated USD1,880 in 2015 to USD2,128 in

2020. Nonetheless, more than 94% of the country's households will have annual incomes lower than

USD5,000.

Uganda Retail Report Q1 2017

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Retail BMI View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Retail Sector Forecast 10
Structural Trends 11
Food, Drink & Tobacco 11
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Uganda 2013-2020) 11
Clothing & Footwear 12
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Uganda 2013-2020) 12
Household Goods 13
Table: Household Goods Spending (Uganda 2013-2020) 13
Personal Care & Effects 14
Table: Personal Care Spending (Uganda 2013-2020) 15
Market Overview 16
Retail Market Overview 16
Competitive Landscape 19
Clothing and Footwear 19
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 19
Household Goods, Homeware and Home Improvement 20
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware and Home Improvement Retailers 20
Electronics 20
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 21
Department Stores 21
Table: Selected Department Stores Retailers 21
E-Commerce and Online Marketplaces 22
Table: Selected E-Commerce and Online Marketplaces Retailers 22
Pharmacies and Drugstores 22
Table: Selected Pharmacies and Drugstores Retailers 22
BMI Industry View 23
Consumer Outlook 23
SWOT 26
Consumer SWOT 26
Industry Forecast 27
Headline Household Forecast 27
Table: Total Household Spending (Uganda 2013-2020) 28
Household Characteristics 30
Table: Household Income Data (Uganda 2013-2020) 32
Demographic Forecast 34
Table: Total Population (Uganda 2013-2020) 35
Table: Labour Market Data (Uganda 2013-2020) 40
Industry Risk/Reward Index 41
Sub-Saharan Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q117 41
Uganda Risk/Reward Index 42
Rewards 42
Risks 43
Glossary 45
Methodology 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Sources 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 55
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 56
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

List of Tables

Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Uganda 2013-2020)
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Uganda 2013-2020)
Table: Household Goods Spending (Uganda 2013-2020)
Table: Personal Care Spending (Uganda 2013-2020)
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware and Home Improvement Retailers
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Table: Selected Department Stores Retailers
Table: Selected E-Commerce and Online Marketplaces Retailers
Table: Selected Pharmacies and Drugstores Retailers
Table: Total Household Spending (Uganda 2013-2020)
Table: Household Income Data (Uganda 2013-2020)
Table: Total Population (Uganda 2013-2020)
Table: Labour Market Data (Uganda 2013-2020)
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q117
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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