Turkey Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 61

BMI View: We retain our generally positive outlook for the Turkish mobile market in our latest Q4 2016

report update. We hold the opinion that the telecoms market will be driven by advanced technologies, with

the launch of LTE services in April 2016 signalling a crucial turning point in the market dynamics, along

with the development of fibre networks in the country. We believe that this will help boost demand for

greater usage, enabling operators to monetise their investments, as well as proposing new types of offers,

such as convergence, as the market continues its development. However, we caution that the market may be

reaching saturation levels as organic growth prospects in terms of new subscriber numbers are set to

stagnate over the course of our forecast period.

Key Data

? The mobile market reached 73.16mn subscriptions in March 2016, as all three operators reported growth

and a higher percentage of post-paid customers. The market lost only 7,000 subscribers in Q116, a

negligible number.

? The demand for data and the growing share of contract users has driven ARPU, which has increased for

all three players, reaching TRY24.7 for Turkcell, TRY25.8 for Vodafone, and TRY24.0 for Avea at end

of Q1 2016.

Turkey Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Wireline Voice & Broadband 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2020) 15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 16
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 18
Turkey Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers And Trends 21
Mobile 23
Wireline Voice & Broadband 28
Pay-TV/Convergence 31
Regulatory Development 33
Regulatory Development 33
Industry Risks 33
Main Development: 4G Comes to Turkey & Possible New Operator 34
Table: August 2015 Auction Results 35
Competitive Landscape 36
Table: Key Players - Turkey Telecoms Sector 36
Table: Mobile Market Overview 37
Operator Data 37
Table: Turkcell 37
Table: Vodafone Turkey 38
Table: Avea 39
Company Profile 40
Türk Telekom 40
Turkcell 44
Vodafone Turkey 47
Demographic Forecast 50
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) 51
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) 51
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) 53
Glossary 55
Table: Glossary Of Terms 55
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2020)
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Table: August 2015 Auction Results
Table: Key Players - Turkey Telecoms Sector
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: Turkcell
Table: Vodafone Turkey
Table: Avea
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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