The Mobile services in the Middle East and North Africa: trends and forecasts 2018–2023

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Date: 01-Aug-2018
No. of pages: 12
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"Mobile services will provide 69% of telecoms service revenue in the Middle East and North Africa in 2023."

This report examines the key trends and drivers, and provides telecoms market forecasts for mobile communication services the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). It includes worldwide context and commentary on six key countries: Egypt, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

This report provides:


  • a 5-year forecast of 127 mobile KPIs for the MENA region and for six key countries

  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile service, and for six key countries

  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, highlighting similarities and differences between countries

  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile operators.


Geographical coverage

Countries modelled individually


  • Algeria

  • Egypt

  • Iran

  • Iraq

  • Israel

  • Kuwait

  • Morocco

  • Oman

  • Qatar

  • Saudi Arabia

  • Tunisia

  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)


Detailed country commentary


  • Egypt

  • Kuwait

  • Oman

  • Qatar

  • Saudi Arabia

  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)


Data coverage

Mobile connections


  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT

  • Prepaid, contract

  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

  • Smartphone, non-smartphone


Mobile revenue


  • Service, retail

  • Prepaid, contract

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT

  • Handset voice, messaging, data


Mobile ARPU


  • SIMs, handset

  • Prepaid, contract

  • Handset voice, data


Voice traffic


  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

The Mobile services in the Middle East and North Africa: trends and forecasts 2018–2023

Table of Contents:

5.Executive summary
6.Executive summary
7.Worldwide trends
8.Worldwide: mobile handset data and next-generation access broadband services will drive telecoms retail revenue growth worldwide
9.Regional trends
10.Mobile: LTE take-up is accelerating in several markets and mobile 5G will launch in 2019; this is contributing to traffic growth and is also slowing down the ARPU drop
11.Mobile: market maturity, enforced SIM registration policies and economic slowdown have led to a contraction of the subscriber base in some countries
12.Mobile: growth in the demand for data services combined with the migration to postpaid plans, 4G and 5G will help to reduce the rate of decline of ARPU
13.Mobile: data revenue will help to offset the slowdown in revenue growth for legacy services
14.Country-level trends
15.Egypt: a new mobile entrant has shaken up the market, and newly launched 4G services account for 11.7% of all mobile connections
16.Kuwait: mobile revenue growth will be limited by market saturation and mobile broadband will face stiff long-term competition
17.Oman: the entrance of a new operator into the market will probably lead to a decrease in ARPU due to increased competition
18.Qatar: the market will struggle to maintain growth despite the apparent resilience of Qatar’s economy so far
19.Saudi Arabia: economic reforms and the award of new spectrum should help the market’s slow recovery
20.UAE: efforts from the government should create a positive outlook for the mobile market, despite slow economic growth
21.Forecast methodology and assumptions
22.Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
23.Examples of forecast input drivers
24.About the authors and Analysys Mason
25.About the authors
26.About Analysys Mason
27.Research from Analysys Mason
28.Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of Figures:

Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 2: Mobile service revenue by location, Middle East and North Africa and worldwide, 2012–2022
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by mobile service type, and mobile ARPU, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 5: Mobile connections by type, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2013–2023
Figure 6a: Mobile penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 6b: Mobile penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 7a: Mobile ARPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 7b: Mobile ARPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 8: Mobile ARPU, Egypt (EGP per month), 2013–2023
Figure 9: Mobile connections by type, Egypt (million), 2013–2023
Figure 10: Mobile ARPU, Kuwait (KWD per month), 2013–2023
Figure 11: Mobile connections by type, Kuwait (million), 2013–2023
Figure 12: Mobile ARPU, Oman (OMR per month), 2013–2023
Figure 13: Mobile connections by type, Oman (million), 2013–2023
Figure 14: Mobile ARPU, Qatar (QAR per month), 2013–2023
Figure 15: Mobile connections by type, Qatar (million), 2013–2023
Figure 16: Mobile ARPU, Saudi Arabia (SAR per month), 2013–2023
Figure 17: Mobile connections by type, Saudi Arabia (million), 2013–2023
Figure 18: Mobile ARPU, UAE (AED per month), 2013–2023
Figure 19: Mobile connections by type, UAE (million), 2013–2023

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