The Mobile services in Latin America: trends and forecasts 2019–2024

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Date: 29-Aug-2019
No. of pages: 12
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Telecoms retail revenue in Latin America will increase by nearly 8% during the forecast period. Mobile handset revenue will be an important driver of total telecoms retail revenue growth. We expect mobile handset revenue to grow at a CAGR of 1.35% between 2018 and 2024. This will be driven by increasing data demand and growing contract-based share of mobile connections.

The Mobile services in Latin America: trends and forecasts 2019–2024

Table of contents

5.Executive summary
Executive summary
Worldwide trends
Worldwide: the demand for data will remain the main driver of mobile service revenue growth during the forecast period
Regional trends
Mobile handset revenue, particularly that from data services, will be one of the major drivers of telecoms retail revenue growth in LATAM in the next 5 years
4G and 5G will account for a majority of the mobile connections in Latin America by 2024
Mobile ARPU will increase during the forecast period as subscribers continue to move from prepaid to contract services
5G is expected to be launched between 2021 and 2022 in most of the countries in Latin America, and will rapidly penetrate the mobile market
Country-level trends
Argentina: despite challenging market conditions, the share of 4G and 5G connections will grow significantly during the forecast period
Brazil: the share of 4G and 5G connections will increase during the forecast period; data usage will therefore increase
Chile: the rapid take-up of smartphones and the demand for data will drive total telecoms revenue growth in the country
18.Colombia: mobile ASPU will remain stable during the forecast period, supported by an increasing share of contract-based mobile connections
Mexico: an increase in the number of 4G and 5G connections is expected to result in rapid acceleration of data usage
Peru: accelerated 4G service take-up, the launch of 5G services, and the growing demand for data will help to maintain relatively stable mobile ASPU
Forecast methodology and assumptions
Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
Examples of forecast input drivers
About the authors and Analysys Mason
About the authors
Analysys Mason’s consulting and research are uniquely positioned
Research from Analysys Mason
Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of Figures

Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue, by type, and total service revenue, Latin America, 2014–2024
Figure 2: Mobile service revenue, Latin America and worldwide, 2014–2024
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by mobile service type, and mobile ARPU, Latin America, 2014–2024
Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Latin Africa, 2014–2024
Figure 5: Mobile connections by type, Latin America (million), 2014–2024
Figure 6: Mobile connections by generation, Latin America (million), 2014–2024
Figure 7: Mobile ARPU by type, Latin America (USD per month), 2014–2024
Figure 8: Contract share of mobile connections (excluding IoT), Latin America, 2014–2024
Figure 9: Mobile data traffic per connection, Latin America (MB per month), 2014–2024
Figure 10: Mobile penetration by country, Latin America, 2014–2024
Figure 11: Mobile ARPU by country, Latin America, 2014–2024
Figure 12: Mobile ARPU, Argentina (ARS per month), 2014–2024
Figure 13: Mobile connections by type, Argentina (million), 2014–2024
Figure 14: Mobile ARPU, Brazil (BRL per month), 2014–2024
Figure 15: Mobile connections by type, Brazil (million), 2014–2024
Figure 16: Mobile ARPU, Chile (CLP per month), 2014–2024
Figure 17: Mobile connections by type, Chile (million), 2014–2024
Figure 18: Mobile ARPU, Colombia (COP thousand per month), 2014–2024
Figure 19: Mobile connections by type, Colombia (million), 2014–2024
Figure 20: Mobile ARPU, Mexico (MXN per month), 2014–2024
Figure 21: Mobile connections by type, Mexico (million), 2014–2024
Figure 22: Mobile ARPU, Peru (PEN per month), 2014–2024
Figure 23: Mobile connections by type, Peru (million), 2014–2024

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