The Fixed services in developed Asia–Pacific: trends and forecasts 2015–2020

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Date: 01-Apr-2016
No. of pages: 31
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"Telecoms retail revenue in developed Asia–Pacific will grow from USD189 billion in 2014 to over USD200 billion in 2020."

Operators must contend with pricing pressures associated with the mature and saturated telecoms market in developed Asia–Pacific (DVAP). Total retail revenue will grow, albeit slowly, during the forecast period, thanks to fixed broadband, IPTV and mobile handset data revenue growth.

This report and associated data annex provide:


  • commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for DVAP

  • worldwide context, regional analysis and commentary on four countries: Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore and South Korea

  • forecasting informed by on-the-ground market experts from our Research and Consulting divisions.


Geographical coverage

Countries modelled individually


  • Australia

  • Hong Kong

  • Japan

  • Singapore

  • South Korea

  • Taiwan


Detailed country commentary


  • Australia

  • Hong Kong

  • Singapore

  • South Korea


Data coverage

Fixed connections


  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up

  • Narrowband voice, VoBB

  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other


Fixed revenue


  • Service revenue, retail revenue

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS

  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other


Fixed voice traffic


  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

The Fixed services in developed Asia–Pacific: trends and forecasts 2015–2020

Table of Contents

5.Executive summary
6.Executive Summary
7.Worldwide trends
8.Worldwide: Developed regions will lead all others in spending on handset data and high-end fixed broadband services
9.Worldwide: Fixed network upgrades and IPTV bundles will drive fixed broadband connection growth in developed markets
10.Worldwide: DVAP and EMAP will have the highest FTTH/B penetration, and IPTV will be strong in developed regions
11.Regional trends
12.DVAP: Fixed telecoms service revenue will have mild growth, thanks to continuous bandwidth upgrades, bundles and IPTV
13.DVAP: Multi-play packages with IPTV have become mainstream offerings, and migration to FTTH/B will accelerate
14.DVAP: Government initiatives drive broadband development, but the markets will saturate in the long run
15.DVAP: FTTH/B and LTE will dominate in DVAP, and commercial 5G services are expected to launch by 2020
16.DVAP: The increase of broadband, IPTV and business network services revenue will offset fixed voice revenue losses
17.Country-level trends
18.Australia: NBN roll-out continues to focus on less-advanced, but more cost-efficient, technologies
19.Hong Kong: DSL phase-out will accelerate due to the fast growth of FTTB, and voice penetration will decline quickly
20.Singapore: Competition between operators will continue to intensify, and multi-play offerings will be the norm
21.South Korea: FTTB drives fixed broadband growth, and IPTV will reach 80% of the population
22.Forecast methodology and assumptions
23.We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
24.We use a vast variety of primary and secondary research for data collection; we use five key drivers and follow strict principles in forecasts
25.A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
26.About the authors and Analysys Mason
27.About the authors
28.About Analysys Mason
29.Research from Analysys Mason
30.Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
Figure 2: CAGRs for fixed and mobile retail revenue (2014–2020) and market size by total retail revenue (2020), by region, worldwide
Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, worldwide, 2010–2020
Figure 4: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, worldwide, 2010–2020
Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, developed Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, developed Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
Figure 8: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
Figure 9: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation and fixed broadband household penetration, by country, developed Asia–Pacific, 2020
Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, DVAP, 2010–2020
Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, DVAP, 2010–2020
Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, DVAP
Figure 14: Total fixed retail revenue, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue and CAGR, Australia, 2014–2020
Figure 15: Total fixed retail revenue, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue and CAGR, Hong Kong, 2014–2020
Figure 16: Total fixed retail revenue, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue and CAGR, Singapore, 2014–2020
Figure 17: Total fixed retail revenue, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue and CAGR, South Korea, 2014–2020

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