The Fixed services in Central and Eastern Europe: trends and forecasts 2016–2021

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Date: 28-Feb-2017
No. of pages: 26
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Revenue from fixed broadband services in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) is expected to grow over the next 5 years, driven by fibre network deployments and network upgrades. This report provides commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for CEE.

This report provides commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE).

The report forecasts are informed by on-the-ground market experts from our Research and Consulting divisions, and external interviews. We also draw upon Analysys Mason’s Telecoms Market Matrix, a comprehensive source of trusted quarterly data that sizes European telecoms markets.

Geographical Coverage

Regions modelled:


  • Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)


Countries modelled individually in the data:


  • Bulgaria

  • Croatia

  • Czech Republic

  • Estonia

  • Hungary

  • Latvia

  • Lithuania

  • Poland

  • Romania

  • Russia

  • Slovakia

  • Slovenia

  • Turkey

  • Ukraine


Key Metrics

Fixed connections


  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up

  • Narrowband voice, VoBB

  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other


Fixed revenue


  • Service,1retail

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS

  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other


Voice traffic


  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

The Fixed services in Central and Eastern Europe: trends and forecasts 2016–2021

Table Of Contents

5.Executive summary
6.Executive Summary
7.Worldwide trends
8.Revenue worldwide will increase in the mobile and fixed segments, driven by infrastructure investments in network roll-out
9.Fixed services: FTTP/B predominance in DVAP and EMAP will boost worldwide fibre penetration to 53% of all FBB lines in 2021
10.Fixed broadband: Household penetration will increase in all regions driven by the availability of NGA and attractive bundles
11.Regional trends
12.Revenue and ARPU: Mobile ARPU decline will slowdown because of increasing handset data spending
13.FTTP/B connections will account for more than half of all fixed broadband connections in 2021
14.Household penetration in CEE will increase from 47% in 2015 to 55% in 2021, supported by government investments
15.Geographical coverage: CEE will be dominated by NGA broadband access technology; 4G will account for half of all connections by 2021
16.Broadband household penetration will increase, driven by increasing take-up of bundled offers and NGA investments
17.Forecast methodology and assumptions
18.We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
19.We use a vast variety of primary and secondary research for data collection; we use five key drivers and follow strict principles in forecasts
20.A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
21.About the authors and Analysys Mason
22.About the authors
23.About Analysys Mason
24.Research from Analysys Mason
25.Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of Figures

Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Central and Eastern Europe, 2011–2021
Figure 2: Telecoms retail revenue growth by type and country, worldwide, 2015–2021
Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and mobile broadband, fixed voice, VoBBand IPTV connections, worldwide, 2011–2021
Figure 4: Fixed broadband penetration of households by region, 2011–2021
Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2011–2021
Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Central and Eastern Europe, 2015–2021
Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, Central and Eastern Europe, 2015–2021
Figure 8: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2010–2021
Figure 9a: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Central and Eastern Europe 2011–2021
Figure 9b: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2011–2021
Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation and NGA’s share of fixed broadband connections, by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2021
Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Central and Eastern Europe, 2011–2021
Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Central and Eastern Europe, 2011–2021
Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Central and Eastern Europe

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