Taiwan Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 70

BMI View: Taiwan has limited hydrocarbons reserves, which depresses domestic production levels and

makes the country a significant importer of oil and gas. Growing use of gas for power generation and the

ongoing modernization of the country's refining sector will further raise Taiwan's demand, thus imports of

crude oil and LNG over the coming decade. We believe that additional regasification capacity and LNG

supplies post-2020 will be needed to support higher gas consumption.

Latest Updates and Key Forecasts

? Taiwan has no major reserves of hydrocarbons; moreover, these modest reserves are set for a continuous

decline over the coming decade, despite Taiwan's efforts to promote exploration.

• Although initially slated for a start-up in mid-2017, state-owned CPC Corporation has brought forward

plans to instead target completion of upgrades at Dalin refinery by the end of 2016. This will moderate

the refining capacity reduction after the closure of Kaohsiung facility in January 2016.

• We forecast that upgrades at the Dalin refinery will reverse the negative refined fuels' production curve.

Over the next decade, refined fuels' production will rise at an average rate of 1.0% per annum, from

864,000b/d in 2015 to 951,730b/d in 2025.

Taiwan Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Taiwan 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil & Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Upstream Production - Oil 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Oil Production (Taiwan 2014-2019) 13
Table: Oil Production (Taiwan 2020-2025) 13
Upstream Production - Gas 14
Latest Updates 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Gas Production (Taiwan 2014-2019) 15
Table: Gas Production (Taiwan 2020-2025) 15
Refining 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Taiwan 2014-2019) 18
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Taiwan 2020-2025) 19
Refined Fuels Consumption 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Taiwan 2014-2019) 22
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Taiwan 2020-2025) 22
Gas Consumption 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Gas Consumption (Taiwan 2014-2019) 24
Table: Gas Consumption (Taiwan 2020-2025) 25
Trade - Oil 26
Crude Oil Trade Outlook 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Taiwan 2014-2020) 28
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Taiwan 2020-2025) 29
Refined Fuels Trade Outlook 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Taiwan 2014-2019) 31
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Taiwan 2020-2025) 32
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Gas Net Exports (Taiwan 2014-2019) 35
Table: Gas Net Exports (Taiwan 2020-2025) 36
Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 37
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Asia's Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 42
Taiwan - Risk/Reward Index 44
Upstream Index - Overview 44
Upstream Index - Rewards 44
Taiwan Upstream Index - Risks 44
Downstream Index - Overview 45
Market Overview 46
Taiwan Energy Market Overview 46
Regulatory Structure 46
Fiscal Regime 47
Table: Taiwan - Key Tax Rates 47
Licensing Regime 47
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 49
Oil Refineries 49
Table: Operational Refineries In Taiwan 49
Service Stations 49
Oil Storage 49
Table: LNG Terminals In Taiwan 50
Gas Pipelines 50
Competitive Landscape 51
Competitive Landscape Summary 51
Table: Key Players - Taiwan Oil & Gas Sector 52
Table: Key Upstream Players 52
Table: Key Downstream Players 52
Company Profile 53
Chinese Petroleum Corporation (CPC) 53
Latest Updates 53
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Taiwan 55
Table: Major Downstream Assets In Taiwan 55
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 55
Regional Overview 56
Asia - Positive Gas Output Growth In Conflict With Bearish Oil Outlook 56
Glossary 63
Table: Glossary Of Terms 63
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Source 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 69
Table: Weighting 70

List of Tables

Table: Headline Forecasts (Taiwan 2014-2020)
Table: Oil Production (Taiwan 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Taiwan 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Production (Taiwan 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Taiwan 2020-2025)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Taiwan 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Taiwan 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Taiwan 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Taiwan 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Consumption (Taiwan 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Taiwan 2020-2025)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Taiwan 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Taiwan 2020-2025)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Taiwan 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Taiwan 2020-2025)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Taiwan 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Taiwan 2020-2025)
Table: Asia's Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Taiwan - Key Tax Rates
Table: Operational Refineries In Taiwan
Table: LNG Terminals In Taiwan
Table: Key Players - Taiwan Oil & Gas Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Taiwan
Table: Major Downstream Assets In Taiwan
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting
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