Sudan and South Sudan Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 31-Aug-2016
No. of pages: 32

BMI View: Sudan and South Sudan continue to perform poorly for construction industry growth, as both

markets' high-risk operating environments deter significant foreign direct investment inflows and

government expenditure is funnelled into security expenditure rather than much-needed infrastructural

development.

Forecast & Industry Developments

? Sudan and South Sudan remain the weakest performing markets in Sub-Saharan Africa, with dim growth

prospects the result of continued economic and political instability. Government expenditure, already

constrained as by persistently low oil prices - the lifeblood of both economies -will continue to be

directed primarily towards security expenditure.

? Sudan is projected to emerge from a recession in 2019 to record 0.6% real growth. Over our 10-year

forecast period between 2016 and 2025 the market will grow at an annual average of 1.8% in real terms.

The market is supported by Saudi foreign direct invest inflows and involvement from China, with

western businesses sidelined as US-led sanctions persist.

? An escalation in conflict in South Sudan will further weaken infrastructure development in the market

and we do not expect planned projects with the East African community to gain traction in the short term.

Sudan and South Sudan Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Sudan 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Sudan 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Sudan 2016-2025) 9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 15
Sudan And South Sudan - Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 15
Rewards 15
Risks 15
SSA Infrastructure RRI: Volatile Markets Highlight Regional Risks 16
Table: SSA RRI 24
Methodology 25
Industry Forecast Methodology 25
Sector-Specific Methodology 26
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 30
Sector-Specific Methodology 31
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 31
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 32

List of Tables

Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Sudan 2016-2020)
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Sudan 2016)
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Sudan 2016-2025)
Table: SSA RRI
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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