Sub-Saharan Africa Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 56

BMI View: Oil projects continue to remain the focus of investment in the SSA region, though the pullback

in capital expenditure is impacting all areas. Deepwater developments, LNG projects and refining plans are

being hardest hit.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Ceasefire between the Niger Delta Avengers and the Nigerian government offer a glimmer of hope for a

recovery in Nigeria's oil production.

- Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana and South Africa hold SSA's greatest potential as LNG export destinations.

- Commerciality of the SNE field supports our view for the emergence of Senegal as a frontier bright spot.

- The Afungi LNG project looks likely to progress despite a lack of binding Sales and Purchasing


Sub-Saharan Africa Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Regional Forecast Analysis 6
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 6
Table: Africa Oil & Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Africa - Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: BMI Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index 16
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 19
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 19
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 22
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 22
Industry Trends 25
Sub Saharan Africa - Power Demand Growth Supports Niche LNG Offtake 25
Table: Select SAA Countries - Forecast Annual Average Growth Rates, % (2016-2025) 28
Nigeria - Militant Group Propagation Ensures Underperformance 30
Senegal - Bright Spot Status Confirmed 32
Mozambique - Afungi A Bellwether For Project Financing 34
Price Forecasts 37
Global - Brent: Conventional Declines To Drive 2017 Recovery 37
Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus* WTI & Brent Annual Average Forecasts, USD/bbl 37
Asia - JKM Prices Set To Tumble 46
Glossary 49
Table: Glossary Of Terms 49
Methodology 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Source 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 55
Table: Weighting 56

List of Tables

Table: Africa Oil & Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade
Table: BMI Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Select SAA Countries - Forecast Annual Average Growth Rates, % (2016-2025)
Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus* WTI & Brent Annual Average Forecasts, USD/bbl
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting
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