Sri Lanka Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 71

BMI View: Sri Lanka's pharmaceutical and healthcare markets will continue to expand over the next 10

years driven by economic development. Despite an increased level of fiscal tightening in the coming

quarters, healthcare system strengthening and facilities upgrade will remain a policy priority. We expect

growing demand for healthcare and medical treatment of chronic diseases to create commercial

opportunities for drugmakers and medical operators, although the government's pro-generic drugs stance

and low spending per capita on medicine will continue to tarnish the market potential appeal to innovative

drugmakers.

Headline Expenditure Projections

? Pharmaceuticals: LKR82.88bn (USD610mn) in 2015 to LKR90.57bn (USD610mn) in 2016; +9.3 in

local currency terms and +0.4 in US dollar terms. Forecast broadly in line with last quarter.

? Healthcare: LKR273.32bn (USD2.01bn) in 2015 to LKR293.79bn (USD1.99bn) in 2016; +7.5 in local

currency terms and -1.2 in US dollar terms. Forecast revised downwards from last quarter.

Sri Lanka Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 11
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2012-2020) 13
Healthcare Market Forecast 14
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2012-2020) 16
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2012-2020) 16
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2012-2020) 17
Sri Lanka 18
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast 20
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2014-2020) 22
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts local currency (Sri Lanka 2014-2020) 22
Industry Risk Reward Indices 23
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2016 23
Sri Lanka - Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
Regulatory Review 31
Intellectual Property Issues 35
Pricing And Reimbursement Regimes 36
Market Overview 38
Healthcare Sector 39
Clinical Trials 42
Epidemiology 43
Competitive Landscape 47
Research-Based Industry 47
Table: Multinational Market Activity 48
Pharmaceutical Distribution 49
Pharmaceutical Retail Sector 50
Company Profile 51
GlaxoSmithKline 51
Hemas Holdings 54
State Pharmaceuticals Corporation (SPC) 57
Demographic Forecast 60
Demographic Outlook 60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Sri Lanka 1990-2025) 61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Sri Lanka 1990-2025) 61
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Sri Lanka 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group (Sri Lanka 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Sri Lanka 1990-2025) 63
Glossary 65
Methodology 67
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 67
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 67
Notes On Methodology 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Index Overview 70
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 70
Indicator Weightings 71

List of Tables

Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2014-2020)
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2012-2020)
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2012-2020)
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2012-2020)
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2012-2020)
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (Sri Lanka 2014-2020)
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts local currency (Sri Lanka 2014-2020)
Table: Multinational Market Activity
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Sri Lanka 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Sri Lanka 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Sri Lanka 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Sri Lanka 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Sri Lanka 1990-2025)
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators
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