Spain Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 28-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 66

BMI View: In December 2015, the EC approved the regulator's proposal to open up Telefónica's fibre

network in Spain. Although we welcome this development, we maintain our view that the regulator needs to

strike a balance between encouraging investment in new technologies and ensuring competitive markets as

well as universal coverage. Meanwhile, reports suggest that MásMóvil has overtaken Zegona as the

frontrunner to acquire Yoigo from Telia in the Spanish mobile market. MásMóvil acquiring Yoigo would

confirm our view that a solid fourth player in the Spanish market must be a converged actor.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

? In March 2016, it was reported that TeliaSonera and Zegona had entered exclusive talks about the sale

of Yoigo in the Spanish market; however, in June reports suggested that MásMóvil has overtaken

Zegona as the frontrunner to acquire Yoigo.

? In December 2015, the European Commission approved the Comisión Nacional de los Mercados y la

Competencia (CNMC)'s proposal to open up Telefónica's fibre network in Spain. Under the regulator's

proposal, Telefónica will be required to share access to its network in all of Spain, except in 34 towns and

cities where superfast internet is already being offered by three or more operators. Telefónica has

threatened to stop the accelerated rollout of its Spanish fibre optic operations if the proposal is approved.

? In 2015 (latest data), fibre-to-the-home (FTTH) connections rose by 155,000, surpassing 3.1mn. Most of

these belong to Movistar. Total broadband lines reached 13.18mn in December 2015, with Vodafone

España gaining a net total of 182,000 lines, Movistar gaining 76,000 and Orange España 1.79mn (a

figure that includes the broadband customers served by JazzTel whose acquisition by Orange was

finalised in late 2014).

? We forecast only gradual growth in the number of mobile subscriptions, which are now expected to reach

51.218mn by 2020. However, 3G and 4G service uptake will be much more vibrant, with 40.615mn 3G/

4G subscriptions by 2020 accounting for 79.3% of the market.

Spain Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT Analysis 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Spain 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk/Reward Index 15
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index 15
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 17
Spain Risk/Reward Index 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers And Trends 20
Mobile 21
Wireline Voice And Broadband 26
Table: Spain - Broadband Subscriptions By Technology ('000) 28
Pay-TV/Convergence 28
Regulatory Development 32
Main Development 33
Other Developments 33
Competitive Landscape 34
Table: Key Players In Spain Telecoms Sector 34
Mobile Operator Data 34
Table: Mobile Market Overview 34
Table: Movistar 35
Table: Vodafone Spain 37
Table: Orange Spain 39
Table: Yoigo 40
Operator Profiles 42
Orange 42
Telefónica 46
Vodafone 51
Demographic Forecast 55
Demographic Outlook 55
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Spain 1990-2025) 56
Table: Key Population Ratios (Spain 1990-2025) 56
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Spain 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group (Spain 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group % (Spain 1990-2025) 58
Glossary 60
Table: Glossary Of Terms 60
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Spain 2013-2020)
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Table: Spain - Broadband Subscriptions By Technology ('000)
Table: Key Players In Spain Telecoms Sector
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: Movistar
Table: Vodafone Spain
Table: Orange Spain
Table: Yoigo
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Spain 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Spain 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Spain 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Spain 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Spain 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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