Southern Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2013

Publisher Name :
Date:19-Jun-2013
No. of pages: 143

BMI View: BMI’s Q313 Southern Africa report analyses the latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic
developments in the telecoms markets of seven countries: Angola, Botswana, Mozambique, Mauritius,
Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe. It also contains analysis of latest market data relating to the end of Q113
and updated five-year forecasts to 2017 for the mobile, fixed-line and internet sectors.
Key Data
? Zimbabwe’s mobile penetration rate is forecast to reach 100% in 2013. Botswana is forecast to have the
highest penetration rate at 145.9% at the end of 2013, while Mozambique will have the lowest 44.0%.
? 3G as a proportion of total mobile penetration is expected to reach double figures in four countries, the
highest of which is Mauritius at 27.1%.
? Although internet penetration is rising rapidly due to the increasing use of mobile phones to access the
web, broadband penetration still remains below 5% in most cases, held back by the high cost PCs and
laptops.

Southern Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2013

Table Of Contents

BMI Industry View 9
SWOT 11
Industry Forecast 13
Angola 13
Table: Angola Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts 13
Botswana 15
Table: Botswana Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts 15
Mauritius 17
Table: Mauritius Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts 17
Mozambique 19
Table: Mozambique Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts 19
Namibia 21
Table: Namibia Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts 21
Zambia 23
Table: Zambia Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts 23
Zimbabwe 25
Table: Zimbabwe Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts 25
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 28
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Ratings 28
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Industry Risk/Reward Ratings, Q313 31
Market Overview 32
Angola 32
Regional Perspective 32
Table: Angola - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012 32
Key Developments 32
Market Growth 33
Market Share 33
Networks 34
Table: Angola Mobile Market, Q113 35
Fixed Line And Internet 35
Botswana 37
Regional Perspective 37
Table: Botswana - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012 37
Key Developments 37
Market Growth 38
Market Share 38
Usage 40
Networks 40
Table: Botswana Mobile Market, Q113 41
Fixed Line And Internet 41
Mauritius 43
Regional Perspective 43
Table: Mauritius - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012 43
Key Developments 43
Market Growth 44
Market Shares 44
Networks 45
Table: Mauritius - Mobile Market, Q113 46
Fixed Line And Internet 46
Mozambique 49
Regional Perspective 49
Table: Mozambique - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012 49
Key Developments 49
Market Growth 50
Market Shares 51
ARPU 53
Networks 53
Table: Mozambique - Mobile Market, Q412 54
Fixed Line And Internet 54
Namibia 56
Regional Perspective 56
Table: Namibia - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012 56
Key Developments 56
Market Growth 57
Market Shares 58
Networks 58
Table: Namibia - Mobile Market, Q113 59
Fixed Line And Internet 59
Zambia 62
Regional Perspective 62
Table: Zambia - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012 62
Key Developments 62
Market Growth 63
Market Shares 64
ARPU 65
Networks 65
Table: Zambia - Mobile Market, Q113 66
Fixed Line And Internet 66
Zimbabwe 67
Regional Perspective 67
Table: Zimbabwe - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012 67
Key Developments 67
Market Growth 68
Market Shares 69
ARPU 70
Networks 70
Table: Zimbabwe - Mobile market, Q113 71
Fixed Line And Internet 71
Mobile Content 75
Non-Voice Revenue Contribution Head Into Double Digits 75
Diversity Of Services 77
Mobile Crossovers Still In The Mix 78
M2M Debuts In Africa 79
Regulatory Development 81
Table: Southern Africa Telecoms Regulators 81
Competitive Landscape 86
Table: Key Players: Southern African Telecoms 86
Company Profile 87
Unitel Angola 87
mcel Mozambique 90
Econet Zimbabwe 92
Mascom Botswana 96
Mauritius Telecom/Orange 98
MTC Namibia 101
Airtel Zambia 104
Regional Overview 107
Background 108
2012 Achievements 108
Financial Results 110
Table: Avanti Communications Group Results (GBP '000) 110
Demographic Forecast 111
Angola Demographic Outlook 111
Table: Angola's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 112
Table: Angola's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 113
Table: Angola's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 114
Table: Angola's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 114
Botswana Demographic Outlook 114
Table: Botswana's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 116
Table: Botswana's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 116
Table: Botswana's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 117
Table: Botswana's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 118
Mauritius Demographic Forecast 118
Table: Mauritius' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 119
Table: Mauritius' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 120
Table: Mauritius' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 121
Table: Mauritius' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 121
Mozambique Demographic Outlook 121
Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 123
Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 123
Table: Mozambique's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 124
Table: Mozambique's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 125
Namibia Demographic Outlook 125
Table: Namibia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 127
Table: Namibia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 127
Table: Namibia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 128
Table: Namibia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 129
Zambia Demographic Outlook 129
Table: Zambia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 131
Table: Zambia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 131
Table: Zambia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 132
Table: Zambia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 133
Zimbabwe Demographic Forecast 133
Table: Zimbabwe's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 135
Table: Zimbabwe's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 135
Table: Zimbabwe's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 136
Table: Zimbabwe's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 137
Glossary 138
Table: Glossary Of Terms 138
Methodology 140
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 140
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts 140
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings 141
Table: Ratings Indicators 142
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 143

List Of Tables

Table: Angola Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Botswana Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Mauritius Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Mozambique Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Namibia Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Zambia Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Zimbabwe Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Industry Risk/Reward Ratings, Q313
Table: Angola - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012
Table: Angola Mobile Market, Q113
Table: Botswana - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012
Table: Botswana Mobile Market, Q113
Table: Mauritius - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012
Table: Mauritius - Mobile Market, Q113
Table: Mozambique - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012
Table: Mozambique - Mobile Market, Q412
Table: Namibia - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012
Table: Namibia - Mobile Market, Q113
Table: Zambia - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012
Table: Zambia - Mobile Market, Q113
Table: Zimbabwe - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2012
Table: Zimbabwe - Mobile market, Q113
Table: Southern Africa Telecoms Regulators
Table: Key Players: Southern African Telecoms
Table: Avanti Communications Group Results (GBP '000)
Table: Angola's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Angola's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Angola's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Angola's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Table: Botswana's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Botswana's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Botswana's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Botswana's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Table: Mauritius' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Mauritius' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Mauritius' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Mauritius' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Mozambique's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Mozambique's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Table: Namibia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Namibia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Namibia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Namibia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Table: Zambia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Zambia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Zambia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Zambia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Table: Zimbabwe's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Zimbabwe's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Zimbabwe's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Zimbabwe's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Table: Ratings Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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