Saudi Arabia Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 21-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 53

BMI View: The most prescient factor underpinning our growth forecasts for the freight sector and the

wider economy is the current low oil price, which dominates government decision making. The low price

has led to production being decreased, therefore we expect the Saudi economy will slow considerably

throughout the short term at least. This will lead to certain infrastructure projects being shelved. However,

growth in the rail freight sector is set to reach an impressive double-digit y-o-y increase in 2016 due to

increased investment in this mode of late. Growth in the air and road freight modes will be far less

spectacular in 2016 (1.3% and 0.9% respectively).

Key Updates And Forecasts

? Throughout the medium to longer term, we anticipate solid growth within the Saudi Arabian transport

infrastructure sector, although some non-strategic projects may be scaled back to allow for a focus on

delivering objectives under Vision 2030. Crucially for the future of the sector, the government is studying

opening up all transport sectors to greater private sector participation, which would help offset a

drawdown in government investment over the long-term.

? There are around USD124bn-worth of transport infrastructure projects in BMI's Infrastructure Key

Projects Database for Saudi Arabia, USD51bn of which are currently under construction, underlining the

potential growth in the freight sphere moving forward. This supports our forecast for strong growth over

the short term in the transport sector. While the value of pre-construction phase projects still in

preparatory stages has fallen slightly from 2015 to around USD60bn (some are ready to enter

construction, while some still in the early planning stages), there remains significant project opportunities

across all transport sub-sectors. That said, following a number of years of heavily stocking the project

pipeline, we believe that beyond our 10-year forecast period there will be a slowdown in the number of

major projects coming to market.

? Saudi Arabia's top trade partners over the short term will be China, Japan and the US (for exports), while

key import partners will be China, the US and India (in that order).

Saudi Arabia Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Trade Overview (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 6
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Trade Forecast 9
Table: Trade Overview (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 12
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 12
Table: Main Import Partners 13
Table: Main Export Partners 14
Road Freight Forecast 16
Table: Road Freight (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 20
Rail Freight Forecast 21
Table: Rail Freight (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 24
Air Freight Forecast 25
Table: Air Freight (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 28
Shipping Forecast 29
Table: Major Ports Data (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 32
Market Overview 34
Company Profile 38
Saudi Airlines Cargo (Saudia) 38
Naqel Express 42
Demographic Forecast 45
Demographic Outlook 45
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 46
Table: Key Population Ratios (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 46
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group % (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 48
Methodology 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sector-Specific Methodology 51
Sources 53

List of Tables

Table: Trade Overview (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Table: Trade Overview (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Table: Road Freight (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Table: Rail Freight (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Table: Air Freight (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Table: Major Ports Data (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025)
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