Romania Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 05-Oct-2016
No. of pages: 62

BMI View: We have made only minor forecast revisions and in the Q416 update we retain our view that

organic subscription-led growth is no longer possible in Romania's saturated mobile market. Network

operators must instead deepen their relationships with existing customers, maximising monetisation

opportunities. 3G/4G uptake and technological adoption will show promise over the next few years out to

2020. A paucity of high-speed wireline broadband networks was a key driver in 3G uptake, but premium

service usage is low, souring investor appetites. Demand for converged services is growing, but ANCOM's

refusal to allow third parties to access cable operators' networks will impair further development. Orange

Romania's latest foray into converged services is a welcome development and we believe that it could offer

the carrier a variety of new revenue streams.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Mobile subscriptions decreased in H116, contrary to expectations, due to inactive shedding. We estimate

27.42mn subscriptions at the end of 2016, rising to only 27.67mn in 2020; ongoing efforts to eliminate

inactive subscriptions will lead to variations in annual growth rates.

Romania Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Romania 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk/Reward Index 15
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 15
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 17
Romania Risk/Reward Index 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers & Trends 20
Mobile 21
Wireline Voice & Broadband 27
Pay-TV/Convergence 29
Regulatory Development 30
Regulatory Overview 30
Industry Risks 30
Main Development: Regulator Adopts ANCOM 2020 Strategy 31
Additional Developments 32
Competitive Landscape 34
Table: Key Players in the Romanian Telecoms Markets 34
Table: Mobile Market Overview 35
Mobile Operator Data 35
Table: Orange 35
Table: Vodafone 36
Table: Cosmote 37
Company Profile 39
Telekom Romania Communications 39
Telekom Romania Mobile 42
Vodafone Romania 45
Orange Romania 48
Demographic Forecast 51
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025) 52
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025) 52
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025) 53
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025) 53
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025) 54
Glossary 56
Table: Glossary Of Terms 56
Methodology 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Romania 2013-2020)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Table: Key Players in the Romanian Telecoms Markets
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: Orange
Table: Vodafone
Table: Cosmote
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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