Poland Mining Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 07-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 42

BMI View: Growth in the Polish mining sector will be modest over the coming years. The coal sector will

be overhauled as the government seeks to restructure unprofitable mines. Copper output will struggle as

falling copper ore grades and weak prices are set to hinder growth. Nevertheless, the rate of growth we

forecast indicates that the country will remain one of the most significant players in the European coal,

silver and copper markets.

Latest Developments And Structural Trends

? We expect only modest growth in Poland's copper sector over the coming years as weak copper prices

and declining ore grades coalesce to deter investment in the sector. We expect copper production in the

country to reach 470kt by 2020, an average annual growth rate of 1.8% y-o-y from 2015.

? In March 2016 it was announced that Poland's Finance Ministry could lower to 1bn zlotys

(USD262.2mn) the mining tax paid almost solely by state-controlled copper producer KGHM. The levy

introduced in 2012 weighs heavily on KGHM, Europe's second biggest copper producer, given falling

metal prices.

Poland Mining Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Poland - Mining Industry Value 5
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Coal: PGG To Drive Growth 9
Latest Developments 9
Table: Coal Production (Poland 2007-2020) 9
Table: Poland - New Coal Projects 10
Structural Trends 10
Copper: No New Entrants 14
Key Developments 14
Table: Poland - Selected Copper Projects 15
Structural Trends 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 18
Poland Risk/Reward Index 18
Rewards 18
Risks 18
Europe: Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: Europe - Mining Risk/Reward Index 20
Regulatory Development 21
Commodities Forecast 25
Commodities Outlook 25
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 25
Competitive Landscape 27
Table: Poland - Major Mining & Metals Companies - Financial Data 27
Company Profile 28
Jastrzebska Spólka Weglowa (JSW) 28
Table: JSW - Key Financial Data 30
Regional Overview 32
Methodology 39
Industry Forecast Methodology 39
Sources 40
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 41
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 42

List of Tables

Table: Poland - Mining Industry Value
Table: Coal Production (Poland 2007-2020)
Table: Poland - New Coal Projects
Table: Poland - Selected Copper Projects
Table: Europe - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts
Table: Poland - Major Mining & Metals Companies - Financial Data
Table: JSW - Key Financial Data
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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