Peru Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 14-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 63

BMI View: Peru has a significant infrastructure deficit spanning across the transport, energy and

residential sectors which will ensure that demand for new projects remains high over the coming years,

indicating potential investment opportunities for a broad range of construction contractors. Headwinds to

growth for the construction sector include a lack of capacity from domestic firms, concerns surrounding the

transparency and timely implementation of public tenders and lack of access to adequate financing, which

all contributed to a construction value contraction in 2015. While we expect to see a small recovery in

2016, challenges to the infrastructure market remain significant, and, based on the current project pipeline,

growth will remain subdued.

Latest Updates

? Official construction industry values for 2015 have come in as forecast, with an overall decline in value

of 5.87% over the year. We have made a downwards revision to our forecasts for growth in 2016, to

2.62%, based on delays to key projects, while the outlook for the remainder of the forecast period is more

positive, with overall construction value growth averaging 3.11% between 2017 and 2025.

? The transport sector will prove the outperformer in Peru's construction market in 2016, growing by

7.04%. A number of projects are progressing, including the Red Vial 5 highway project, between Huacho

and Pativilca, which is due to be completed in early 2017 (almost a year later than originally planned).

? The election of Pedro Pablo Kuczynski in June 2016 is a positive indicator for Peru's infrastructure

sector, particularly the much delayed USD7.3bn Southern Peruvian Gas Pipeline project, which now

appears to be regaining traction after embattled Brazilian construction firm Odebrecht exited the project.

The new President has come out in strong support of the pipeline, and will have rapid access to the

required funds - including a USD7.9bn 'rainy day fund' and USD2.5bn in contingency loans from the

World Bank.

Peru Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Peru 2015-2021) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Peru) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 8
Latest Updates 8
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2015-2025) 8
Structural Trends 9
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 14
Latest Updates 14
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2015-2025) 14
Structural Trends 15
Table: Peru: Key Transport Projects 17
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 23
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Peru 2016-2026) 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities 31
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview 37
Latest Updates 37
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Peru 2015-2025) 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 41
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 42
Peru - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 42
Latin America Infrastructure RRI: Private Sector Participation Propelling Outperformers 44
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 51
Market Overview 52
Competitive Landscape 52
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Sector-Specific Methodology 62
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

List of Tables

Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Peru 2015-2021)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Peru)
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2015-2025)
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2015-2025)
Table: Peru: Key Transport Projects
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Peru 2016-2026)
Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Peru 2015-2025)
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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