New Zealand Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 03-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 76

BMI View: New Zealand telecommunications market growth will be driven by a roll-out of wireline and

mobile broadband infrastructure and services to a large number of rural areas previously underserved.

This will help with market prospects as new customers will be hard to acquire and there is little more in

terms of upselling premium services as the market faces maturity. We believe that the infrastructure

dimension will prove challenging as consumers may be slow to take full advantage of 3G/4G services and

fibre networks in the short-term. Nevertheless, the recent merger between Sky and Vodafone to create a

converged services player will bode well for the market in our opinion as it will increase competition and

allow the player to offer innovative offerings.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

? BMI estimates that there were 4.111mn 3G/4G subscriptions in 2015 and this will rise to 4.787mn by

2020. However, we do not expect a significant number to be 4G-only by the end of the five-year forecast

period.

? The June 2016 merger between Vodafone and Sky will create a new strengthened player in terms of

converged services as the Vodafone-Sky entity will join the 0.83mn TV consumers of Sky with

Vodafone's 2.35mn mobile subscribers and 0.5mn wireline broadband subscribers.

? Broadband subscription growth is being driven by the mobile sector, but the ambitious fibre-to-thehome

initiative will provide additional upside in the longer term. We forecast total broadband

subscriptions to grow from 5.226mn in 2015 to 6.151mn by 2020.

New Zealand Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (New Zealand 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 15
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 15
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316 17
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers & Trends 20
Mobile 20
Wireline Voice & Broadband 28
Ultra-Fast Broadband 33
Rural Broadband Initiative 35
Pay-TV 36
Regulatory Development 38
Regulatory Overview 38
Table: New Zealand: Telecoms Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 38
Regulatory Developments 40
Competitive Landscape 43
Table: Key Players, New Zealand 43
Table: Key Players' Performance Indicators 44
Table: Market Overview 44
Mobile Operator Data 44
Table: Vodafone 44
Table: Spark 45
Table: 2degrees 46
Fixed Operator Data 46
Table: Chorus Connections By Type ('000) 46
Table: Spark Access Lines By Business ('000) 47
Table: SKY New Zealand, Residential ARPU By Customer Type (NZD/month) 48
Company Profile 49
Spark 49
Chorus 53
Vodafone New Zealand 58
2degrees 62
Demographic Forecast 65
Table: Population Headline Indicators (New Zealand 1990-2025) 66
Table: Key Population Ratios (New Zealand 1990-2025) 66
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (New Zealand 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group (New Zealand 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group % (New Zealand 1990-2025) 68
Glossary 70
Table: Glossary Of Terms 70
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Sources 74
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 75
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 76

List of Tables

Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316
Table: New Zealand: Telecoms Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Table: Key Players, New Zealand
Table: Key Players' Performance Indicators
Table: Market Overview
Table: Vodafone
Table: Spark
Table: 2degrees
Table: Chorus Connections By Type ('000)
Table: Spark Access Lines By Business ('000)
Table: SKY New Zealand, Residential ARPU By Customer Type (NZD/month)
Table: Population Headline Indicators (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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