New Zealand Retail Report Q4 2016

Publisher Name :
Date: 03-Sep-2016
No. of pages: 67

BMI View: The growth outlook for New Zealand's retail sector is mixed. On the one hand the country

presents an open and attractive investment environment which will continue to draw in major global

retailers, with a number of new additions to the market expected in the coming year. On the other hand,

slowing economic growth will dampen household consumption growth in 2016, and the retail sector faces a

challenge from the weak local currency which is dampening sales volumes in US dollar terms. Essentials

spending will continue to account for the bulk of household spending, though we are seeing growth in other

sectors as the retail sector diversifies and retail options are expanded.

Key Views And Developments

? Overall we expect to see total retail spending increase from NZD106.5bn in 2016 to NZD124.6bn in

2020 - in US dollar terms growing from USD69.2bn to USD74.7bn - supported by rising household

income levels and steady employment levels.

New Zealand Retail Report Q4 2016

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (New Zealand 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (New Zealand 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 19
Food, Drink & Tobacco 20
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020) 21
Clothing & Footwear 22
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods 23
Table: Household Goods Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020) 23
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020) 24
Table: Toys, Sports, Gardens and Pets Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020) 25
Personal Care & Effects 26
Table: Personal Care Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020) 26
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 27
Table: Household Income Data (New Zealand 2013-2020) 29
Table: Labour Market Data (New Zealand 2013-2020) 31
Demographic Forecast 33
Table: Total Population (New Zealand 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Babies (New Zealand 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Children (New Zealand 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Children (New Zealand 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (New Zealand 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Young People (New Zealand 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (New Zealand 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: 21yrs + (New Zealand 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Young Adults (New Zealand 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Middle Aged (New Zealand 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Urban (New Zealand 2013-2020) 39
Industry Risk/Reward Index 40
Developed States Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 40
Industry Risk/Reward Index 41
Rewards 41
Risks 42
Market Overview 44
Latest Updates 44
Competitive Landscape 50
Clothing And Footwear 50
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 50
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 51
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 51
Electronics 51
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 51
Department Stores 52
Table: Selected Department Stores 52
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 52
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 52
Drug Stores And Pharmacies 53
Table: Selected Drug Stores And Pharmacies 53
Glossary 54
Methodology 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

List of Tables

Table: Total Household Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Household Goods Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Toys, Sports, Gardens and Pets Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Personal Care Spending (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Household Income Data (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Labour Market Data (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Total Population (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Babies (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Children (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Children (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young People (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Adults (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Urban (New Zealand 2013-2020)
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Table: Selected Department Stores
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces
Table: Selected Drug Stores And Pharmacies
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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